November 2000 - cypherpunks-legacy

CDR: cyhperpunks on the web
by bill payne 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

You guys have done real DAMAGE! http://www.inet-one.com/cypherpunks/dir.1998.01.08-1998.01.14/msg00018.html Senior citizen Morales and I just want to get out of these messes. With our money, of course. But we are, of course, a bit on the wild side http://www.geocities.com/CapitolHill/Congress/8327/load1.html Best and , of course, KEEP UP-WIND!

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CDR: Boost your IT Connection&PC Speed! Protect your Privacy! -MIPD
by koree＠bigfoot.com 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

Hello cypherpunks! Boost your Internet Connection Speed by up to 200%! Speed up your computer! Protect your personal information while you use the Internet! Make money as partner! Just go to: http://www.virtue.nu/spdgu/ http://www.geocities.com/spdgu/ ******************************************************* Further transmissions to you by the sender of this email may be stopped at no cost to you by sending a reply to to this email address with the word REMOVE in the subject line.

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CDR: Re: Stop sending me these emails
by David Marshall 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

Gerry_Inman(a)mony.com writes: > Can anyone tell how I can stop receiving emails from your site? > > Gerry Inman My site isn't sending you any email. On the assumption that you're talking about the mailing list, try following the instructions you were given when you signed up. Clues are your friend. Find one. ObCypherpunks: Anyone notice the last name? :)

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CDR: [psychohistory] Daniel L. McFadden - 2000 Economics Nobel Prize (fwd)
by Jim Choate 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

____________________________________________________________________ He is able who thinks he is able. Buddha The Armadillo Group ,::////;::-. James Choate Austin, Tx /:'///// ``::>/|/ ravage(a)ssz.com www.ssz.com .', |||| `/( e\ 512-451-7087 -====~~mm-'`-```-mm --'- -------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 14 Nov 2000 01:06:37 -0000 From: "Marco A. Argotte" <margotte(a)theplanet.net.au> Reply-To: psychohistory(a)egroups.com To: psychohistory(a)egroups.com Subject: [psychohistory] Daniel L. McFadden - 2000 Economics Nobel Prize Hi everyone Glad to see that we are still alive and kicking. For those that might be interested, a brief extract from the this webpage: http://nobel.sdsc.edu/announcement/2000/ecoinfoen.html { Opening material on another laureate omitted } Daniel L. McFadden Daniel McFadden's most significant contribution is his development of the economic theory and econometric methodology for analysis of discrete choice, i.e., choice among a finite set of decision alternatives. A recurring theme in McFadden's research is his ability to combine economic theory, statistical methods and empirical applications, where his ultimate goal has often been a desire to resolve social problems. Discrete Choice Analysis Microdata often reflect discrete choices. In a database, information about individuals' occupation, place of residence, or travel mode reflects the choices they have made among a limited number of alternatives. In economic theory, traditional demand analysis presupposes that individual choice be represented by a continuous variable, thereby rendering it inappropriate for studying discrete choice behavior. Prior to McFadden's prizewinning achievements, empirical studies of such choices lacked a foundation in economic theory. McFadden's Contributions McFadden's theory of discrete choice emanates from microeconomic theory, according to which each individual chooses a specific alternative that maximizes his utility. However, as the researcher cannot observe all the factors affecting individual choices, he perceives a random variation across individuals with the same observed characteristics. On the basis of his new theory, McFadden developed microeconometric models that can be used, for example, to predict the share of a population that will choose different alternatives. McFadden's seminal contribution is his development of so-called conditional logit analysis in 1974. In order to describe this model, suppose that each individual in a population faces a number (say, J) of alternatives. Let X denote the characteristics associated with each alternative and Z the characteristics of the individuals that the researcher can observe in his data. In a study of the choice of travel mode, for instance, where the alternatives may be car, bus or subway, X would then include information about time and costs, while Z might cover data on age, income and education. But differences among individuals and alternatives other than X and Z, although unobservable to the researcher, also determine an individual's utility-maximizing choice. Such characteristics are represented by random "error terms". McFadden assumed that these random errors have a specific statistical distribution (termed an extreme value distribution) in the population. Under these conditions (plus some technical assumptions), he demonstrated that the probability that individual i will choose alternative j can be written as: { Formula omitted } In this so-called multinomial logit model, e is the base of the natural logarithm, while ... and ... are (vectors of) parameters. In his database, the researcher can observe the variables X and Z, as well as the alternative the individual in fact chooses. As a result, he is able to estimate the parameters and using well-known statistical methods. Even though logit models had been around for some time, McFadden's derivation of the model was entirely new and was immediately recognized as a fundamental breakthrough. Such models are highly useful and are routinely applied in studies of urban travel demand. They can thus be used in traffic planning to examine the effects of policy measures as well as other social and/or environmental changes. For example, these models can explain how changes in price, improved accessibility or shifts in the demographic composition of the population affect the shares of travel using alternative means of transportation. The models are also relevant in numerous other areas, such as in studies of the choice of dwelling, place of residence, and education. McFadden has applied his own methods to analyze a number of social issues, such as the demand for residential energy, telephone services and housing for the elderly. Methodological Elaboration Conditional logit models have the peculiar property that the relative probabilities of choosing between two alternatives, say, travel by bus or car, are independent of the price and quality of other transportation options. This property - called independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) - is unrealistic in certain applications. McFadden not only devised statistical tests to ascertain whether IIA is satisfied, but also introduced more general models, such as the so-called nested logit model. Here, it is assumed that individuals' choices can be ordered in a specific sequence. For instance, when studying decisions regarding place of residence and type of housing, an individual is assumed to begin by choosing the location and then the type of dwelling. Even with these generalizations, the models are sensitive to the specific assumptions about the distribution of unobserved characteristics in the population. Over the last decade, McFadden has elaborated on simulation models (the method of simulated moments) for statistical estimation of discrete choice models allowing much more general assumptions. Increasingly powerful computers have enhanced the practical applicability of these numerical methods. As a result, individuals' discrete choices can now be portrayed with greater realism and their decisions predicted more accurately. { Ending bit omitted } **** -------------------------- eGroups Sponsor -------------------------~-~> Create your business web site your way now at Bigstep.com. It's the fast, easy way to get online, to promote your business, and to sell your products and services. Try Bigstep.com now. http://click.egroups.com/1/9183/2/_/13676/_/974165026/ ---------------------------------------------------------------------_-> --------------------------------------------------------------------~-~> to unsubscribe from this group, send a blank message to mailto:psychohistory-unsubscribe@egroups.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------_->

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CDR: Extra-Absentee ballots
by Anonymous 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

Tim May wrote: > I did some more digging on various Florida sites which discuss > absentee ballots. [snip] > If the voter is unable to mail or personally deliver the ballot, the > voter may designate in writing a person to return the ballot. The > designated person may NOT return more than two (2) absentee ballots > per election, other than his or her own ballot, except that > additional ballots may be returned for members of the designee's > immediate family (as defined in the section on requesting absentee > ballots). The designee must provide a written authorization from the > voter as well as present his or her own picture identification. So if the Americans aboard the International Space Station were civilians from Florida, their franchise could be accommodated so long as they had willing "immediate family..."? Do those designees have to meet voter qualifications? i.e. could Joe Astronaut's 8yrold daughter (and Freedom user, of course) fill out daddy's ballot and take it to her local grade school voting place so long as she had daddy's written authorization? Given that many astronauts are active service members, how do they fulfill the following: > If the FPCA is not available, phone or send a written request to the > Supervisor of Elections Office, 300 E. 4th Street, Room 112, Panama > City, FL 32401-3093. ... > U.S. Embassies and Consulates can assist in completing, witnessing, > notarizing and mailing FPCA forms, absentee ballots and other election > materials. Federal portions of general election and presidential > preference primary ballots voted by persons outside the U.S. are counted > if postmarked no later than election day and received within 10 days of > the election. No mention of whether immediate family members can be "designated" (power of attorney?) Think of the awful jading lesson our children might learn if they found out their hero, Joe Astronaut, most-patriotic-man-in-the-universe didn't, or more importantly, *couldn't* perform his civic duty.

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CDR: [Fwd: First Quarterly Cryptuk Meeting on 29Nov2000] (fwd)
by Jim Choate 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

____________________________________________________________________ He is able who thinks he is able. Buddha The Armadillo Group ,::////;::-. James Choate Austin, Tx /:'///// ``::>/|/ ravage(a)ssz.com www.ssz.com .', |||| `/( e\ 512-451-7087 -====~~mm-'`-```-mm --'- -------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Fri, 10 Nov 2000 11:05:39 +0000 From: Ben Laurie <ben(a)algroup.co.uk> To: UK Crypto <ukcrypto(a)chiark.greenend.org.uk>, Cryptography <cryptography(a)c2.net>, OpenSSL Dev <openssl-dev(a)openssl.org> Subject: [Fwd: First Quarterly Cryptuk Meeting on 29Nov2000] -- http://www.apache-ssl.org/ben.html "There is no limit to what a man can do or how far he can go if he doesn't mind who gets the credit." - Robert Woodruff

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CDR: what hell
by ernesto leonardo soberanes rendon 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

AM IN THIS PAGE AND I DONT GET IT WHAT ITS ALL ABOUT SO PLEASE TELL ME WHAT CAND I DO WITH THIS INFORMATION I CAN LEARN FROM THIS OR WHAT I CAN TALK WITH SOMEBODY AM CONFUSE I WAS READING A FEW EMAILS FROM PEOPLE I NEVER MEET BEFORE SO THIS IS LEGAL I APRECIATE YOU CAN ANSWER THIS MAIL THANKS. ERNESTO. _________________________________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free E-mail from MSN Hotmail at http://www.hotmail.com. Share information about yourself, create your own public profile at http://profiles.msn.com.

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None
by Albert Hui 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

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CDR: New FISHER CD/Win an iMac
by singleserving＠mp3.com 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

Hello, MP3.com, FarmClub.com and Interscope Records have sent you a singleserving Greeting. To view the card and hear the music that was chosen for you, click on the following web address: http://click.mp3.com/c/n_037988308/t_db0/u_click/ct/o_fisher/u_www.mp3.com/… ============================================================= Regards, MP3.com, FarmClub.com and Interscope Records ---------------------------[unsubscribe]------------------------- To unsubscribe cypherpunks(a)toad.com, please forward this e-mail to unsubscribe(a)mp3.com or click on the web address below: http://click.mp3.com/c/n_037988308/t_dlX/u_reg/ecm/editCampaign?id=AEHUp0MC… Copyright (c) 1996-2000 MP3.com, Inc. All rights reserved. Legal Information, Privacy Policy. 11.8.00 vol. 1 ver. 4 http://click.mp3.com/c/n_037988308/t_dBS/u_click/ct/o_fisher_aboutus/u_www.… http://click.mp3.com/c/n_037988308/t_db3/u_click/ct/o_fisher_legal/u_www.mp… http://click.mp3.com/c/n_037988308/t_db4/u_click/ct/o_fisher_privacy/u_www.…

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None
by NTL 14 Nov '00

14 Nov '00

:: Send-To::raksid@cwcom.net Test message

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