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FDIC Data Contradicts Fed Chair Powell: Shows Real Estate Problems Have Skyrocketed at Largest U.S. Banks, Not the Smaller Regionals
by Gunnar Larson 12 Mar '24

12 Mar '24

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2024/03/fdic-data-contradicts-fed-chair-powe… By Pam Martens and Russ Martens: March 11, 2024 ~ On Sunday, February 4, the CBS program 60 Minutes aired a taped interview with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The actual interview had occurred three days earlier and was conducted by 60 Minutes interviewer Scott Pelley. Two noteworthy things happened in connection with that interview: First, CBS did not indicate above the transcript of the interview that Powell’s comments had been materially shortened in the program that aired on TV; secondly, Powell calls the real estate problem at the largest banks “manageable” while shifting the more serious real estate loan problem to “smaller and regional banks.” Below is what Powell had to say about problem real estate loans at U.S. banks in the 60 Minutes’ interview. The bracketed bold text is what is in the transcript but did not air in the broadcasted program on television. (Scroll to 8 minutes and 20 seconds at this link to listen to the relevant portion of the program that aired.) PELLEY: The value of commercial office buildings all across the country is dropping as people work from home. Those buildings support the balance sheets of banks all across the country. What is the likelihood of another real estate-led banking crisis? POWELL: I don’t think that’s likely. [So, what’s happening is, as you point out, we have work-from-home, and you have weakness in office real estate, and also retail, downtown retail. You have some of that. And there will be losses in that.] We looked at the larger banks’ balance sheets, and it appears to be a manageable problem. There’s some smaller and regional banks that have concentrated exposures in these areas that are challenged. And, you know we’re working with them. [This is something we’ve been aware of for, you know, a long time, and we’re working with them to make sure that they have the resources and a plan to work their way through the expected losses. There will be expected losses. It feels like a problem we’ll be working on for years. It’s a sizable problem. I don’t think — it doesn’t appear to have the makings of the kind of crisis things that we’ve seen sometimes in the past, for example, with the global financial crisis.] More recently, on March 7 of last week, Powell appeared before the Senate Banking Committee to deliver his Semiannual Monetary Policy Report. In the Q&A that followed, Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) raised the question with Powell on troubled real estate loans at U.S. banks. Cortez Masto said this: CORTEZ MASTO: The Financial Stability Oversight Council’s 2023 report identified commercial real estate as a financial risk. And the Fed’s monetary report also noted commercial real estate prices continue to decline, especially in the office, retail, and multi-family sectors. I’m especially concerned that because of the low levels of transactions in the office sector, prices have not yet fully reflected the true decline in the value. So can you expand on the emerging risk the Federal Reserve has identified in the commercial real estate market – one – and then, I’m curious, can you discuss the compound risks identified in commercial real estate lending, particularly at banks with large CRE [Commercial Real Estate] concentrations and high fractions of uninsured deposits.” As part of his answer, Powell again played down the real estate threat at the largest banks, stating: “There will be bank failures, but this is not the big banks. If you look at the very big banks, this is not a first order issue for any of the very large banks. It’s more smaller and medium size banks that have these issues.” (Watch the full exchange between Cortez Masto and Powell at one hour and 53 minutes (1:53) on the archived video here.) According to Senator Elizabeth Warren, Powell is leading the charge behind the scenes to overturn federal regulators’ proposal to require the largest banks to hold larger amounts of capital. Downplaying the large banks’ risks from commercial real estate might be part of Powell’s overall agenda to gut the proposed capital rule. Powell has a long history of running interference for the mega banks on Wall Street (those that have combined federally-insured deposits with casino trading) and blaming the Fed’s serial and massive bailouts of these global behemoths on fanciful causes. Nonetheless, we were shocked when the Chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Martin Gruenberg, held a press conference at the exact time last week that Powell was addressing the Senate Banking Committee. Gruenberg boldly announced a serious real estate problem inside the largest banks. Gruenberg’s press conference was to deliver the findings of the FDIC’s quarterly “Banking Profile.” Gruenberg stated the following: (Go to 5 minutes and 12 seconds at this link.) GRUENBERG: “The increase in noncurrent loan balances was greatest among CRE [Commercial Real Estate] loans and credit cards. Weak demand for office space has softened property values and higher interest rates are affecting credit quality and refinancing ability of office and other types of CRE loans. As a result, the noncurrent rate for nonowner occupied CRE loans is now at its highest level since first quarter of 2014, driven by portfolios at the largest banks.” (Italic emphasis added.) In fact, according to the chart above and accompanying data provided in an Excel spreadsheet by the FDIC, past due loans on commercial real estate at the largest banks (those with more than $250 billion in assets) as of December 31 of last year are at 4.11 percent. That’s 1.66 percent higher than at the end of the fourth quarter of 2008 when banks were exploding all over Wall Street during the financial crisis. As the chart above indicates, commercial real estate problems quickly became a lot worse at the largest banks, with the past due rate reaching 7.97 by the end of the first quarter of 2010. That 4.11 percent past due rate at the biggest banks on December 31, 2023 compares with a past due rate of 1.35 percent at banks with $10 billion to $250 billion in assets, according to the latest FDIC bank profile data. Banks with $1 billion to $10 billion in assets have a negligible past due rate of 0.64 percent. The title of the FDIC chart above is “Bank Non-Owner Occupied, Nonfarm Nonresidential Loan Past Due and Nonaccrual Rates.” The FDIC defines nonfarm nonresidential commercial properties as follows: “loans secured by real estate as evidenced by mortgages or other liens on nonfarm nonresidential properties, including business and industrial properties, hotels, motels, churches, hospitals, educational and charitable institutions, dormitories, clubs, lodges, association buildings, ‘homes’ for aged persons and orphans, golf courses, recreational facilities, and similar properties.” The FDIC defines “nonaccrual” status as follows: “Nonaccrual — For purposes of this schedule, an asset is to be reported as being in nonaccrual status if: (1) it is maintained on a cash basis because of deterioration in the financial condition of the borrower, (2) payment in full of principal or interest is not expected, or (3) principal or interest has been in default for a period of 90 days or more unless the asset is both well secured and in the process of collection.” The Fed is also doing something else related to growing losses at U.S. banks that is deeply concerning. It has stopped providing the aggregated quarterly data on the loan loss reserves at commercial banks – something it had previously done quarterly since 1984. The Fed data charts now come up with the words “DISCONTINUED.” (See here, here and here.) Our concern is that the largest banks are woefully under-reserved for their potential real estate losses. According to a Federal Reserve chart, as of December 31, 2023, there were only 13 banks in the U.S. with consolidated assets in excess of $250 billion.

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Fwd: Your Freedom of Information Law (FOIL) Request FOIL-2024-097305-021747 - NY-DFS Superintendent Adrienne Harris Recusal Records
by Gunnar Larson 12 Mar '24

12 Mar '24

---------- Forwarded message --------- From: <Idel.Lendoff(a)dfs.ny.gov> Date: Mon, Mar 11, 2024, 2:37 PM Subject: Your Freedom of Information Law (FOIL) Request FOIL-2024-097305-021747 To: <G(a)xny.io>, <Pascale.JeanBaptiste(a)dfs.ny.gov> Good afternoon, Attached please find correspondence from the NYS Department of Financial Services, pertaining to your FOIL request. Thank you. Tracking Number:FOIL-2024-097305-021747 SENT VIA EMAIL G(a)xny.io March 11, 2024 Gunnar D. Larson 406 W. 25th Street New York, NY 10001 Re: Freedom of Information Law (“FOIL”) Tracking No. 2024-097305 Dear Gunnar D. Larson: I write in response to the FOIL request that you submitted to The New York State Department of Financial Services (“Department”), which has been assigned tracking number 2024-097305. The Department requires additional time to respond to your FOIL request because we are still working on your request. The Department intends to provide its determination of your request by April 11, 2024. Thank you. *From:* noreply-openfoil(a)its.ny.gov <its.sm.openfoil(a)its.ny.gov> *Sent:* Friday, February 2, 2024 6:43 AM *To:* dhr.dl.foil <foil(a)dhr.ny.gov>; dob.sm.foil <foil(a)budget.ny.gov>; dfs.sm.RecordsAccessOfficer <recordsaccessofficer(a)dfs.ny.gov> *Subject:* Open FOIL NY Request From : Gunnar Larson : NY-DFS Superintendent Adrienne Harris Recusal Records *New FOIL Request for Division of Human Rights, Division of the Budget, Department of Financial Services* Submitted on: 2/2/2024 6:43:04 AM Request Confirmation Number : LARSON_DHR_20240202064304145 LARSON_DOB_20240202064304145 LARSON_DFS_20240202064304145 *INFORMATION SUBMITTED:* *Title* Mr. *First Name* Gunnar *Middle Initial* *D* *Last Name* Larson *E-Mail* G(a)xny.io *Telephone* *Fax* *Affiliation/Organization* xNY.io - Bank.org *Street Address 1* 406 West 25th Street *Street Address 2* *City* New York *State* NY *Zip Code* 10001 *Country* *USA* *Short Title* NY-DFS Superintendent Adrienne Harris Recusal Records *Description* Dear Madam or Sir: On March 30, 2022 New York Magazine published a profile of NY-DFS Superintendent Adrienne Harris titled "Crypto’s Most Powerful Regulator Is Here Adrienne Harris, New York’s financial watchdog, has enormous sway over the industry’s future" ( https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/03/adrienne-harris-is-cryptos-most-pow…) The profile of Superintendent Harris quotes "... that she would recuse herself from any dealings with companies she has conflicts with." xNY.io - Bank.org seeks access to any and all records specific to Superintendent Harris' recusal(s) as of February 1, 2024. Thank you, Gunnar -- Gunnar Larson xNY.io | Bank.org MSc - Digital Currency MBA - Entrepreneurship and Innovation (ip) G(a)xNY.io +1-917-580-8053 New York, New York 10001 *FOIL Response Format* Email *If fees apply, please contact me if costs will be greater than* 10000 *Additional Information* I am a representative of, or affiliated with, the news media and this request is made as part of a news gathering effort , I am an individual seeking information for personal use , I am affiliated with an educational or non-commercial scientific institution, and this request is made for a scholarly or scientific purpose , I am affiliated with a private corporation and am seeking information for use in the company’s business for commercial purpose

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League Of Legends Maker Facing $1B Suit Over FTX Promos
by Gunnar Larson 12 Mar '24

12 Mar '24

League Of Legends Maker Facing $1B Suit Over FTX Promos <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811575?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…> By Elaine Briseño League of Legends video-game maker Riot Games has been hit with a potential billion-dollar class action accusing the company of fraud and conspiracy for its alleged role in helping deceive investors of the collapsed FTX cryptocurrency exchange platform. Complaint attached | Read full article » <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811575?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811575?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…>

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Leveraging the sorry spectacle of nationalist errections
by pro2rat＠yahoo.com.au 12 Mar '24

12 Mar '24

We will soon be invited by the state to participate with our vote in the great circus that legitimises their power over us. Rather than resign ourselves to this bleak panorama, we ask ourselves what we, as anarchists, can do to counter this. Rather than falling into the traps of power ourselves - militarism, political calculations, apathy - we want to look for our possibilities and start from our own strengths. Reinforce success, I say. The anarchic net in general and stateless electronic cash in particular. Privacy for the poor and transparency for the powerful! Its time for moving. Its time for freedom. Its time justice was served by deadpool. Yes? https://cryptome.org/jdb/ap.htm When would be the best time to do it? Why, during a major political campaign! When Congress is out of session, and they can't pass legislation without calling some sort of emergency session. But it won't matter anyway . . . "

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WaPo Scores Exit In Trump Media's $3.8B Defamation Suit
by Gunnar Larson 11 Mar '24

11 Mar '24

WaPo Scores Exit In Trump Media's $3.8B Defamation Suit <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811897?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…> By Carolina Bolado A Florida federal judge on Friday tossed a $3.8 billion defamation lawsuit by former President Donald Trump's social media startup but gave the company another shot at supporting its claims that the Washington Post acted with malice in its reporting accusing the startup of securities fraud. Order attached | Read full article » <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811897?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811897?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…>

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Kwok Judge Lets Gov't Keep $302M In Crypto For Restitution
by Gunnar Larson 11 Mar '24

11 Mar '24

Kwok Judge Lets Gov't Keep $302M In Crypto For Restitution <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811690?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…> By Ben Zigterman A New York federal judge has denied a request to return more than $300 million in assets to holders of cryptocurrrency issued by bankrupt Chinese exile Ho Wan Kwok's Himalaya Exchange, finding that the federal government has a continued interest in the property it seized. Order attached | Read full article » <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811690?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.com/capitalmarkets/articles/1811690?nl_pk=abe82add-2a33-…>

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Hunter Biden's Trump Conspiracy Theory Baseless, US Says
by Gunnar Larson 11 Mar '24

11 Mar '24

Hunter Biden's Trump Conspiracy Theory Baseless, US Says <https://www.law360.com/delaware/articles/1811788?nl_pk=8f2e5a76-bb66-462b-a…> By Anna Scott Farrell Hunter Biden's claim that former President Donald Trump is improperly driving his criminal prosecution on nine counts of tax violations is nothing more than a baseless conspiracy theory, the U.S. government told a California federal court Friday, arguing against Biden's efforts to get the case tossed. Brief attached | Read full article » <https://www.law360.com/delaware/articles/1811788?nl_pk=8f2e5a76-bb66-462b-a…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.com/delaware/articles/1811788?nl_pk=8f2e5a76-bb66-462b-a…>

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Activist Battle Tips, 'Hair-Raising' Red Flags Detailed At Tulane
by Gunnar Larson 11 Mar '24

11 Mar '24

Activist Battle Tips, 'Hair-Raising' Red Flags Detailed At Tulane <https://www.law360.com/compliance/articles/1811353?nl_pk=ab5ce197-c1fb-4d8e…> By Al Barbarino Companies attending Tulane University Law School's annual Corporate Law Institute conference got distinctive insights into how they can responsibly fend off activist investor attacks, heard diverging views about activists' motivations, and were warned about potential red flags in board members' pasts. Read full article » <https://www.law360.com/compliance/articles/1811353?nl_pk=ab5ce197-c1fb-4d8e…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.com/compliance/articles/1811353?nl_pk=ab5ce197-c1fb-4d8e…>

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Visa, Mastercard's Standing Challenge Fails In Swipe Fee Case
by Gunnar Larson 11 Mar '24

11 Mar '24

Visa, Mastercard's Standing Challenge Fails In Swipe Fee Case <https://www.law360.com/competition/articles/1811844?nl_pk=6416fd97-1dc4-4e0…> By Ali Sullivan A New York federal judge in a newly unsealed order rejected Visa and Mastercard's bid for summary judgment that claimed that merchants suing the card companies over allegedly anticompetitive conduct lack standing to do so under U.S. Supreme Court precedent. Opinion attached | Read full article » <https://www.law360.com/competition/articles/1811844?nl_pk=6416fd97-1dc4-4e0…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.com/competition/articles/1811844?nl_pk=6416fd97-1dc4-4e0…>

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Goldman Prosecution Delivers A Clear Sign Of FCA Strength
by Gunnar Larson 11 Mar '24

11 Mar '24

Goldman Prosecution Delivers A Clear Sign Of FCA Strength <https://www.law360.co.uk/financial-services-uk/articles/1810880?nl_pk=a94fc…> The recent successful prosecution of a former Goldman Sachs analyst for insider dealing and fraud is a reminder to regulated individuals that economic crime will never be tolerated, and that the Financial Conduct Authority is willing to bare its teeth in the exercise of its prosecutorial remit, says Doug Cherry at Fladgate. Read full article » <https://www.law360.co.uk/financial-services-uk/articles/1810880?nl_pk=a94fc…> | Save to favorites » <https://www.law360.co.uk/financial-services-uk/articles/1810880?nl_pk=a94fc…>

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