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[MONEY] tick tock ... jump ship if you still can → USA with $210 trillion in unfunded liabilities
by Zenaan Harkness 22 Oct '17

22 Oct '17

No new surprises, just larger figures than most are aware - future spending promises of military, pensions, public services etc total $210,000,000,000,000.00, i.e. $210 trillion, in today's money. Implosion imminent, for ❴any time now ←—→ up to a few years❵ values of “imminent”. Good luck all, "You May Be Hopping Mad When You Finish Reading This" http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-10-08/210-trillion-problem-you-may-be-ho… … The fiscal gap is the present value of all projected future expenditures less the present value of all projected future taxes. The fiscal gap is calculated over the infinite horizon. But since future expenditures and taxes far off in the future are being discounted, their contribution to the fiscal gap is smaller the farther out one goes. The $210 trillion figure is based on the Congressional Budget Office’s July 2014 Alternative Fiscal Scenario projections, which I extended beyond their 75-year horizon. The journalists used a very poorly researched analysis, which fit their political bias (shocking, I know). Apparently they take that fabricated analysis more seriously than they do the views of 17 Nobel Laureates in economics and over 1200 PhD economists from MIT, Harvard, Stanford, Chicago, Berkeley, Yale, Columbia, Penn, and lesser known universities and colleges around the country. Each of these economists has endorsed The Inform Act, a bi-partisan bill that requires the CBO, GAO, and OMB to do infinite horizon fiscal gap accounting on a routine and ongoing basis. Now why would 17 Nobel Laureates and over 1200 US economists, all listed by name at www.theinformact.org, including many, like Jeff Sachs, who lean to the left, and others, like Glenn Hubbard, who lean to the right, endorse infinite horizon accounting. Because they understand something that I told Michelle repeatedly and have also told Bruce Barlett repeatedly. The fiscal gap is the only measure of our fiscal position that is mathematically well-defined. Every other fiscal measure, including fiscal gaps calculated over any finite horizon, such as the CBO’s 25-year fiscal gap Michelle references, are not mathematically well defined. The infinite horizon is mathematically well defined because it is the same number no matter what choice of internally consistent fiscal words we use to label government receipts and payments. Moreover, the infinite horizon fiscal gap is the only measure of our fiscal policy’s sustainability that puts everything on the books. It is also the only measure of our fiscal policy’s sustainability that is invariant to the choice of words. …

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Fw: From old Phrack: The Feasibility of Anarchy in America
by jim bell 21 Oct '17

21 Oct '17

Sent from Yahoo Mail on Android ----- Forwarded Message ----- From: "jim bell" <jdb10987(a)yahoo.com> To: "Georgi Guninski" <guninski(a)guninski.com> Cc: "ivrit(a)missvalley.com" <ivrit(a)missvalley.com> Sent: Fri, Oct 20, 2017 at 13:41 Subject: Re: From old Phrack: The Feasibility of Anarchy in America From: Georgi Guninski <guninski(a)guninski.com> >http://phrack.org/issues/62/16.html >The Feasibility of Anarchy in America >From that article: " A very real problem to be faced if the central government were removed is the military situation and the protection of this country from hostile foreign powers. It is well known and goes without saying that quite a few foreign nations would take little time in responding to the collapse of the government and militarily invade and occupy the nation to their political and economic advantage. Thus, it would be imperative that a collective military be formed and trained in order to resist such a fate. However, another problem then arises: if a military is formed, and there is hierarchy within this military (as there needs be if it is to be effective in protecting the nation from coordinated foreign attacks), then what is to stop it from staging a coup and forming a new governmental body under military rule, with the commanders being the upper class and the new leaders of an unwilling populace? This is not an impossible or even an improbable scenario. Take Afghanistan, for instance. After the Mujahideen shook off the yoke of Soviet dominance and government, they found themselves in quite a problem: there were several militias, all led by separate commanders with different ideals. Soon, fighting erupted between them, and the country was in a state of war-torn chaos. Nothing productive came from them, and they never ruled with any sort of authority. This serves as an example for how useless a struggle is against an oppressive regime if no stable government can be formed afterward. After their many blunders, a new group rose up against them and their corruption: the Taliban. They were originally a group of freedom fighters who claimed to have no desire for power or rule. They said that their goals were to remove the Mujahideen and their atrocities from Afghanistan, and to restore order, security, and peace to the region. We all know that, afterward, they indeed became the new rulers of Afghanistan, and were no better than the former Mujahideen in the least." [end of long quote] Maybe most people who actually read the article, and who are aware of my AP essay https://cryptome.org/ap.htm , will understand why I say, "Aha" at this. Evidently, the author (the article appeared in 2004) was unaware of AP and its principles. Although unaware of it at the writing of AP, in 1995-96, I later learned of David Friedman's (son of late economist Milton Friedman) 1973 book, "The Machinery of Freedom". (Reprinted in 1989 and 2014). Friedman had a chapter titled something like "The Hard Problem" , later it was edited to this, http://www.daviddfriedman.com/Machinery_3d_Edition/The%20Hard%20Problem%20I… in which he explained precisely this problem: Historically, and certainly up to and including 1994, "anarchy" (and an anarchist Libertarian society) were unstable, because such a society could be attacked and conquered by an external, statist-based, non-anarchistic society. Friedman evidently considered this problem "hard", because it WAS hard, fiendishly hard. While I too was aware of this general problem long prior to 1995, I did not know of David Friedman's existence, nor of his book, nor the fact that he had titled his paragraph, "The Hard Problem". Ironically, even until today, I strongly suspect that most people who call themselves "anarchists" are entirely unaware of this problem! They are intellectually invested in an idea that prior to 1995, could not possibly have worked EXCEPT for the solution to the "Hard Problem". The one that I found. Indeed, that was precisely why I classified myself prior to January 1995 as a "minarchist libertarian": It wasn't as though I wanted some tiny residual amount of government to exist; rather, I simply could not figure out HOW to make that final, tiny amount of government vanish, like a pufff of smoke. I was sufficiently intellectually honest that I could not advocate a kind of society that I suspected would be unstable and unavoidably open to external attack. I probably didn't even suspect that there was a solution to this problem, let alone did I think I would be the one to solve it, which I did in my AP essay. Unfortunately, I think David Friedman must somehow resent me, because I think even in his 2014 revised edition of "The Machinery of Freedom" doesn't mention me, or my AP essay, or the implications for his "Hard Problem". I give credit to Friedman for identifying the problem, recognizing that it was "hard", and leaving it for somebody else someday to solve. I think Friedman should give me similar intellectual credit for describing what I believe is, or at least some day will be, the solution to this problem. But that leads me to a gripe: Having gone to the trouble of finding a miraculous solution to Friedman's "Hard Problem", I occasionally see misguided references to the idea that this problem still exists! This essay, "The Feasibility of Anarchy in America", is just one such example. Nine (9) years before "Anthony" posited that problem, I had solved it. Jim Bell That author Anthony <ivrit(a)missvalley.com> concludes with: " I conclude this rather brief essay by answering the question posed in the beginning: it is not possible that anarchy can exist within America if only because of the fact that the population could not handle it, and can not be trusted to act with the best interest of society in mind. Not many in this culture of ego-gratification and self-centered hedonism would find it in their best interests to give up their many enjoyments, possessions, and sheltered way of life so that they could exist with more responsibility and self-reliance. Not only this, it would also be impossible to rid the majority of the population of the idea of private ownership of property, and because of the self-centered nature of this culture, it would be entirely out of the question to assume that a form of communism or communal-lifestyle would be acceptable to the majority involved. Besides, without some form of central government deciding the fate of this communal property and what should be done with the material harvested or grown from it, we would be hard-pressed to come to any agreement upon what should be done with it. Thus, without any sort of unification or democratic government, or even an authoritarian dictator imposing his will upon the population at large, nothing can be achieved except factionalism, strife, and inevitably destabilizing, unconstructive conflict." [end of quote]

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From old Phrack: The Feasibility of Anarchy in America
by Georgi Guninski 21 Oct '17

21 Oct '17

FYI: http://phrack.org/issues/62/16.html The Feasibility of Anarchy in America

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Fwd: Re: From old Phrack: The Feasibility of Anarchy in America
by Jim b 21 Oct '17

21 Oct '17

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How to shut down the US Federal criminal "Justice" System, for $10-15 million per year.
by jim bell 21 Oct '17

21 Oct '17

A few years back, probably 2011 (while I was still in prison) I thought of a marvelous way to virtually destroy the Federal criminal "justice" system. At least, the people who make up that system will certainly think it is being destroyed. I mentioned it a few years ago. It might cost little more than $10 million per year. There are many high-profile cases which would militate in favor of initiating such a system. One, Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to two life terms for, ostensibly, running the Silk Road website. Another Kim Dotcom, who is threatened with extradition in New Zealand. Julian Assange, whose story is too well known here to need to describe it. Edward Snowden, who is presumably still in Moscow for leaking a huge quantity of NSA information. There are also major drug cases, such as El Chapo, Joaquin Guzman. In some of these cases, the defendant should have had a lot of money, such as Ulbricht, although it was lost to the Feds. Kim Dotcom may still be rich. Julian Assange could probably raise a lot of money, Snowden might do so as well. Guzman, and probably many other Mexican drug cartels, could easily raise millions per year, if they actually wanted to do this. Maybe even Martha Stewart would hold some residual grudges. Anyone who thinks he is at risk of Federal criminal prosecution would want to see the system essentially shut down. How? Well, let's go to the statistics. Last year, there were 77,152 new criminal defendants in the Federal criminal system, see http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/03/28/federal-criminal-prosecutio… . According to https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/research-and-publications/rese… , "In fiscal year 2016 the vast majority of offenders (97.3%) pleaded guilty." If that figure can be believed, then there were presumably no more than 2.8% x 77,152 criminal trials, or only 2160 trials. Perhaps this statistic would surprise most people. I think the average sentence is about 3 years. The ability of the Federal criminal system to actually put on criminal trials is very limited. There are only a limited number of courts, and judges, and prosecutors, and this system must share space and time with civil trials. It is quite possible that it would be very difficult to put on much more than those 2160 trials. That court space has to be shared with civil cases, as well. All, or at least most of those people had a right to a jury trial. If all, or most of those defendants were somehow motivated to demand such a trial, rather than plead guilty, havoc would ensue. Even if the number of trials could increase, say to about 3000, then the remainder, 77,152-3000, or 74,152, would have to walk free, because the system could not possibly try them all. The limitation is not merely court space: Trials are "expensive" in preparation, research, and evidence. And that led me to yet another "awfully wonderful, wonderfully awful" idea, to paraphrase Dr. Seuss and the Grinch. What would motivate all of these people to demand a jury trial? Well, currently they are threatened with much more punishment if they plead not guilty and demand a trial, and lose. Like a variant on the "Prisoner's dilemma", each one is forced to conclude that it is better to 'take the deal' rather than resist, and demand a trial. What would change this system around? Well, the lot of a prisoner in Federal prison is poor, if he has no money. No money, no commissary. No drinks, cookies, crackers, soups, candies, etc. I know: I spent 13 years in prison, time I shouldn't have spent. Many enter prison broke. What if they were offered, say, $3000 if they agreed to demand a jury trial, and thus forced the government to actually put them on trial, form a jury, and put on a trial. If the government dropped the case, or reduced the charges to something that didn't require a trial, the defendant would get nothing. If we assume that the Federal court system could put on 3,000 trials, one defendant per trial typically, the cost for such a project would be 3,000 x $3,000, or 9 million dollars. It would be limited by the number of actual trials the Feds could put on each year, multiplied by the dollar amount that would have to be paid to motivate a defendant to demand a trial. Tell each new Federal defendant that if he pleads not guilty, and insists on a jury trial, and if he actually gets that trial, he will be paid the $3,000. Guilty or not guilty, it won't matter. Have a trial, get the money, simple as that. I am merely guessing what the 'proper' figure would be, in order to motivate such people adequately. But if most people were already demanding a jury trial, and tens of thousands of fellow defendants were being freed due to lack of ability to give them trials, it shouldn't take a lot of money to induce these people to 'stand in line', and demand a trial. After all, they would know that if they didn't get the money, that would mean that they would have been freed. And that's the goal, isn't it? At least for the defendant, that is. You can imagine what would happen. The Feds would have to ration trials. Only the most "worthy" defendants would get prosecuted. And yes, there are definitely some worthy defendants. I met a few!! But the total number of people who could enter the Federal prison system per year would drop from perhaps 75,000 per year to 3,000 per year. This year, there are about 185,300 Federal prisoners. Drop the input to 3,000 per year, and the total population could easily drop to 20,000, and perhaps to as low as 10,000, after a few years. Dozens of prisons across the nation would have to close, maybe well over 100. It costs approximately $40,000 to feed and house a Federal prisoner. Most of that money probably goes to prison staff salaries and supplies, and most of the rest goes to prison construction. Drop the total Federal prison population from 185,000 to 15,000, and they will save about 170,000 multiplied by $40,000, or about $6.8 billion dollars per year. Doesn't this sound like a worthy goal? We may speculate about who would be motivated to fund such a project. Give them the ability to donate anonymously, and they might act. There might arguably be 200,000 people per year who fear some sort of Federal prosecution. A donation of $50 per year, average, would raise $10 million. It would not take many tax evaders, resistors, or avoiders to foot the bill. People who resented a prior prosecution would add up, as well. Why not? Jim Bell

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Free Speech - welcome America, to your local Liberal Democrat Lefty Loonies
by Zenaan Harkness 20 Oct '17

20 Oct '17

America's Liberal Lefty's to be are just so tolerant of human rights, like freedom of speech and freedom to associate - it goes with the territory of free dope and Razer-backed Antifa street-Jihad I guess: ** College Republicans meeting hijacked by unhinged protestors screaming they reject “right of assembly” (Video) http://redpilltimes.com/college-republicans-meeting-hijacked-by-unhinged-pr… “In liberal left, crazy land, free speech is only acceptable when the speech is promoting liberal left causes. Anything else is deemed “evil” and must be silenced, with violence if necessary. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qcTJ-YgjfYw …” Demoncrats, of course, are absolutely squeeky clean at all times: ** EXPOSED: Amazon executive wanted Nicole Kidman and Reese Witherspoon to “show their t*ts” http://redpilltimes.com/exposed-amazon-executive-wanted-big-little-lies-sta… But at least the "elite" in the USA are putting their priorities in the right order: ** Ivy League University set to spend $100 million to increase diversity of faculty http://redpilltimes.com/ivy-league-university-set-to-spend-100-million-to-i…

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Re: "CO2 close to lowest levels ever for our planet"
by Zenaan Harkness 19 Oct '17

19 Oct '17

On Mon, Oct 16, 2017 at 12:53:56PM -0400, Ric Moore wrote: > On 10/15/2017 10:50 PM, Zenaan Harkness wrote: > > This is one of the best put together summaries of the “Global > > Warming” (originally global cooling, now PC "climate change") debate > > I've ever seen: > > Damn! Even I understood that!! Thanks! Ric Here's an even easier one - see the picture on page 8 (another little doc put together by Gil May) - 4 pine trees grown in controlled conditions with varying CO2 levels. Plants really needed the CO2 from the industrial revolution - otherwise the levels were quite literally precariously low for life on this planet. I'd like to see how long we'll be "right" for going forward with the amount of plant food we've pumped into our atmosphere. At least we're nearly out of the red zone...

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[RUS] Russia-gate proof finally - Explosive story of Kremlin plot to undermine US Democracy using post-election puppy ads (+ other "news")
by Zenaan Harkness 19 Oct '17

19 Oct '17

Disclosure finally! As in, damn this has been a ridiculous and long time coming plot conclusion (please do ignore the actual $100 million dollar kickbacks to the Clinton Foundation for selling 20% of the USA's nuclear fuel to Russia - nothing to see there, folks!) - Putin and Medvedev themselves, directly colluded against Democracy itself, to ensure the election of Donald “Donat Trumpenovich” Trump to the US presidency, using, you guessed it, post-election puppy ads. Even the dollar amounts involved are disclosed. This is quite the leak. Here's all the gory, SHOCKING details, Putin-Medvedev meeting transcript included (actually, even Sergey Lavrov was involved): ** EXCLUSIVE: Explosive Recording of Nefarious Kremlin Plot to Undermine US Democracy Using Post-Election Puppy Ads https://russia-insider.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=fa2faf7034c3c3c413… ------------------------------------------------------------ by Rob Slane on Wed, Oct 18, 2017 An explosive new tape has just been released of a discussion that is alleged to have taken place in the Kremlin in June 2016. The recording is said to feature the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, the Prime Minister, Dmitry Medvedev, and the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergey Lavrov, with the three men discussing how they could interfere in the US election to ensure the election of Donald Trump. A transcript is below. Nothing to see, move along now ... ** The Real Russia-Gate Will Take Down Hillary Clinton https://russia-insider.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=fa2faf7034c3c3c413… by Tom Luongo on Tue, Oct 17, 2017 Hillary Clinton is going to prison. Mark my words. And Julian Assange is the architect of her destruction. How do I know this? Simple. The dam is breaking. This morning’s article in The Hill lays out in no uncertain terms the collusion between Hillary’s State Department and high-level Russian officials in selling a large portion of the United States’ uranium production to Rosatom, the Russian state nuclear energy giant. The whole article is damning. I can’t quote any one part because it’s all explosive. You should read it in full and consider the gravity what it lays out. http://theduran.com/breaking-senate-judiciary-committee-launches-probe-into… BREAKING: Senate Judiciary Committee launches probe into Russian nuclear bribery case http://theduran.com/breaking-bombshell-russia-uranium-one-reports-has-fbi-c… Of course, Putin is always to blame for the USA's corruption and frail flailing failing hegemony: http://theduran.com/breaking-down-the-uranium-one-scandal-once-again-vladim… As shocking as it may seem I doubt that ‘Putin’ is in contact and personally directing the affairs of every person living in Russia. Who could ever predict this?: George Soros prepares for all out war. Pours $18 billion of his own cash into his Open Society Foundations http://theduran.com/george-soros-prepares-for-all-out-war-pours-18-billion-… It looks like Dr. Evil is pushing for a final neo-liberal destabilization offensive before the 90 year old billionaire finally turns to dust. The globalist billionaire who has overthrown governments with violent coups (Ukraine), and seeded division and hate among Americans (BLM and ANTIFA) is gearing up for battle with the nation state anti-globalist movement sweeping the globe. George Soros has transferred billions of his personal wealth into his NGO Open Society Foundation. The non-profit is one of the world’s top donors to “open-borders” causes, and constantly funds illegal (and often violent) regime change operations. … Here's a little tick tock for ya: ** America's Global Dishonesty Will End the $US as a Reserve Currency https://russia-insider.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=fa2faf7034c3c3c413… ------------------------------------------------------------ by Paul Craig Roberts on Wed, Oct 18, 2017 Readers at home and around the world want to know what to make of the announcement that China henceforth will conduct oil purchases and sales in gold-backed Chinese currency. Is this an attack by Russia and China on the US dollar? Will the dollar weaken and collapse from being discarded as the currency in which oil is transacted? These and other questions are on readers’ minds. Below is my opinion: The US dollar’s value depends on whether central banks, corporations, and individuals are content to hold their assets or wealth in dollars. If they are, it does not matter what currency is used to transact oil. If they are not, it does not matter if all oil is transacted in dollars. Why? Absolutely NOTHINGK TO SEE HERE - MOVE THE FRUCK ALONG ALREADY‼!‼ - if you DARE to read, the Israeli Secret Intelligence Service (you WILL ignore the acronym) will have your arse with a stick of TNT or a brief electrical heart- stopper: ** US Air Force AIRLIFTS! ISIS Fighters From Raqqa to Fight Russians - Russian TV Report https://russia-insider.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=fa2faf7034c3c3c413… ------------------------------------------------------------ by Justin Huebner on Tue, Oct 17, 2017 Russian TV keeps hammering away at the US, accusing them of all manner of double-dealing and treachery - deliberately helping ISIS hang in there in Syria, despite the fact that their situation is hopeless militarily. US aide to ISIS has become a very loud refrain on Russian TV, covered in detail on a daily basis. Comments from the Ministry of Defense and top commentators are literally dripping with angry sarcasm:

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Conjecturally unsafe RSA primes $p=27a^2+27a+7$
by Georgi Guninski 18 Oct '17

18 Oct '17

We got strong numerical evidence that primes of the form $p=27a^2+27a+7$ are unsafe for cryptographic reasons since they can be found in the factorization. Consider the following generic factoring algorithm for factoring $n$ which is divisible by $p$. Suppose you known an elliptic curve in Weierstrass form with known multiple $m$ of the order of $E$ modulo $p$. Let $\psi_n$ denote the $n$-th division polynomial of $E$. Choose random integer $X$. If $X$ is the $x$ coordinate on $E$ modulo $p$ then $\psi_m(X) \equiv 0 \pmod{p}$. If it is not, $\psi_m(X)$ need not vanish modulo $p$. By selecting few random $X$ we probabilistically find $p$ from $\gcd(n,\psi_m(X))$. [This question](https://mathoverflow.net/questions/283758/conjecture-the-number-o… conjectures that if $p=27a^2+27a+7$ and $kronecker(2k^3,p)= -1$ then the order of $y^2=x^3+2k^3$ is $p$. In this case $n$ is multiple of the order, so we can use the above algorithm by trying in addition random $k$. We found $200$ bit factor with pari/gp in just few seconds. > Are these conjecturally unsafe RSA primes known?

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"CO2 close to lowest levels ever for our planet"
by Zenaan Harkness 18 Oct '17

18 Oct '17

This is one of the best put together summaries of the “Global Warming” (originally global cooling, now PC "climate change") debate I've ever seen: ∙ the scare graphs used to create alarm ∙ the big picture graphs showing the ruse in all its glory -And- including the links to original sources, NOAA etc... Mr May has put some real care into this - as good as it gets. Enjoy :) Z ----- Forwarded message from Gil May <gilmay97(a)gmail.com> ----- From: Gil May <gilmay97(a)gmail.com> Date: Mon, 16 Oct 2017 12:30:22 +1000 Subject: "CO2 close to lowest levels ever for our planet" *"CO2 close to lowest levels ever for our planet"* *So why are we spending billions on renewables that can never be cost effective?* *THESE CLIMATE CHANGE GRAPHS – SHOW HOW IT REALLY WORKS* *If you follow the graphs and understand their direction – the end will astonish you.* *See the attached* ----- End forwarded message -----

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