-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- I'll just briefly recap some of the points: Hal> I don't agree with the extreme position that cryptography will lead to Hal> the failure of the income tax and the destruction of the government. Perry> No one is arguing, by the way, that all the economy will go black. I'm Perry> merely noting that whereas right now its hard to lead a normal life Perry> entirely in the black economy (you suffer from a myriad of Perry> inconveniences), an anonymous offshore banking system that you have Perry> free access to changes all that. It's not clear to what extent Perry and I disagree here. I agree that some people will exploit the new opportunities. My doubt is whether the vast silent majority on which the government depends for its taxation revenues will do so. I read the other day that the government gets something like 70-80% of its tax revenues from people making less than $35,000 a year. These people are not financially sophisticated. Duncan> In traditional Black Markets, the transactions are illegal. In future Duncan> Black Markets on the nets, most of the transactions will be legal. Duncan> Legality certainly encourages transactions relative to illegality. I agree with the last point about legality helping, but I don't understand why most transactions will become legal in the future. I thought we were talking about ways to evade laws via cryptography. My assumption is that governments would actually crack down when faced with lost revenue, similar to what was described as happening in Italy: ??> Customers are fined for leaving businesses without a receipt. Your car may ??> be stopped and searched for undocumented merchandise at any time. Imputed ??> income taxes for self-employed people are at ridiculous levels (i.e. a ??> large degree of evasion is assumed). Taxes are levied on everything (car ??> radios, the width of your driveway, electric lighters for gas stoves). So I'd think even more transactions would be illegal in the future. The main issue, I thought, was whether people would widely risk violating these laws in order to save on their taxes, and whether cryptography would let them do so with impunity. Duncan> You left out a few information purchases: education, much of medicine, Duncan> all of financial services, design, marketing, supervision, and Duncan> management. Duncan is pointing out that more of the economy is in the form of information than I was counting. Even if we count these things as information, though, the question is still to what extent the providers of these services will be able to escape taxation. Take medicine as an example. I should be able to go to a doctor today and pay him cash, off the books, at a greatly reduced rate, for my medical services. Yet no doctor I've ever seen, and I've probably seen twenty or thirty in my lifetime, has ever suggested that. I don't see how cryptography will change this. Duncan> Once the interface is good enough, virtual offices with full workgroup Duncan> interaction built of pure information will spring up and the Duncan> "information" component of much of what we think of as physical work Duncan> will become apparent. Is this the key, people working for virtual businesses? No one knows the true name of anybody else, so no one is afraid of being caught? I am still skeptical. A whole nation of people tele-commutes to work for companies whose name they don't know, with co-workers protected by aliases, all so they can be paid in cash for their services. I find this notion implausible in the extreme. Joe and Jane Sixpack aren't going to want to work for a boss who wears a mask. Duncan> If you wander down the shopping street of a future MUD/MOO and you Duncan> buy or sell things, what nation has jurisdiction for tax purposes. Duncan> What if the MUD/MOO exists as a set of cooperative processes spread Duncan> around the globe. This may be uncertain now, but I don't see why it would always remain that way. There is nothing to stop governments from declaring, say, that residents in their boundaries are subject to their taxation, or that their citizens are subject to their taxes regardless of where they do business. More interesting from the crypto perspective would be the case where the business in the MUD refuses to disclose its true nationality or location. There again, though, I think running an anonymous corporation will pose many practical problems. Sandy> You don't need to Sandy> *own* a car, to have the *use* of a car. Imagine leasing a car Sandy> and using your cyberspace bank digital checks, digital money or Sandy> credit card to pay the monthly rent. No audit trail, and no Sandy> asset to be seized. Similar techniques can be used for virtually Sandy> all of your assets. How does this bear on the issue of government collapse due to failure of income tax? This example actually strikes me as an unobjectionable use of cryptography, one in which individual privacy is protected. The only tax consequence I see is possible avoidance of sales tax, which is col- lected only at the state level and not the national level. Sandy's example shows that car rental agencies might be able to operate on a cash basis, like the local fried chicken outlet. I don't see how this brings down the government. Sandy> I think Hal hasn't been reading Duncan or my posts very closely. Sandy> Here's a hint: A Cayman Islands corporation is a non-US citizen Sandy> even if it is owned by an American. Sandy is replying to my question about moving out of the country to avoid taxes. I gather that he is suggesting that people could set up corporations in the Cayman Islands and somehow divert some of their income to them, so that the income would be shielded from taxes. Can this be done today? Can I go to my boss and ask him to start sending my salary to this numbered bank account in the Cayman Islands, and to stop troubling the U.S. government with information about how much he is paying me? Sounds great. Why doesn't everybody do it, and why will everybody start doing it in the future? To sum up, I am willing to accept that people will be eager to avoid paying taxes, but I still doubt that cryptography will bring down the United States government. Particularly when we consider the lack of sophistication (both financial and technical) of the vast middle class who provide the bulk of tax receipts, I think that virtual corporations and offshore tax havens are not likely to become widespread enough to seriously endanger the government. (In response to John Kreznar's comments about my use of the term "cheating" to refer to violation of tax laws, I accept the thrust of his comments but I'll just observe that while preparing a false set of books may be justified and in some circumstances even honorable, it is not honest.) Hal -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: 2.3a iQCVAgUBLTnMY6gTA69YIUw3AQHqlgP/d6GTpNrK3c4B/jfxT5tQqAJ0uBkvc5Y7 fh1dtj16QrR/CmAHEJVV+JWXUjwaTnjqO1RdgPJfjjG1U7CaSiuy84OVlyQPSpAc JeIC7qa1HfqXRCK/bQmxcJMhbOULMKkk2plphcwDvL2Tlxe8DXvmgDLS21DUV6r+ bOT9RBf2U3c= =p55w -----END PGP SIGNATURE-----
The middle class avoids current offshore banking because it is user-hostile and puts their life savings at high risk. An offshore bank often takes a week or more to service requests for statements sent by snail-mail. Offshore banks are notorious for obsconding with customers' money. Reputation information on these banks is hard to find to nonexistant. The typical offshore bank customer spends $1,000's on legal fees to obtain information on reputable banks, the legality of what they are doing in both the local and offshore jurisdictions, and to set up obscure, sophisticated legal entities. There aren't any good statistics, but I'd guess that most of the money saved by going offshore is lost to legal fees and fraud. A good on-line bank will tackle user friendliness by providing rapid, detailed feedback, either instant (IP connection) or slightly delayed (e-mail). This also indirectly tackles trust. You sleep better when you can instantly obtain the status of your account, withdraw your funds in case of emergency, distribute funds across several different banks with low overhead, and easily get detailed information about the variety of banks and accounts available. Trust could be more directly tackled by the following: * Private deposit insurance, with risk spread across several offshore banks * Offshore bank rating service, also available online * Sponsorship by major banks, with a longer-term reputation and larger capital base Nick Szabo szabo@netcom.com
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hfinney@shell.portal.com -
szabo@netcom.com