$2 to $20 per share in less than a year.
$2 to $20 per share in a year! Yeah sure what a joke! That is probably what you are thinking. I would be thinking the same thing, if someone told me the same thing. But the facts speak for themselves and they reveal what will happen, if you are or are not involved. The company is Westrend on the Vancouver stock exchange. Ticker WRV and WTNGF. Alamo Logging Services Inc. ("Alamo") The company announced that it intends to acquire Alamo upon terms yet to be negotiated. Alamo has been in the oil & gas logging business in south central Texas for over 4 years. It is been consistently profitable and has an excellent reputation with several major operators in the area, including Texaco, UPRC, and Chessepeake. As an oil & gas logging company, Alamo provides operators with a graphic "look" at what they are drilling through. This is important as it advises drilling technicians where they should focus their drilling efforts for optimum results. As a result of being able to offer this service as part of its drilling package, Westrend is able to offer operators a comprehensive approach for their drilling requirements. They got ALAMO Precision Horizontal, Inc. ("Precision") The purchase of Precision was completed on June 24, 1996. From this point forward, Precision's earnings will be consolidated into Westrend's financial statements. Precision's unaudited financial statements show a profit of US $171,785 for the fiscal year ending January 31, 1996 and appraised assets of over US $2,000,000. We estimate Precision's gross earnings will exceed $200,000 from February 1, 1996 to June 30, 1996. Precision specializes in the drilling of horizontal oil & gas wells using its own short radius and conventional mid radius steering tools. Precision is able to provide complete well drilling services to meet the demands of most operators. Precision successfully completed the first of a series of "re-entry" wells in 1995 in conjunction with the US Department of Energy and the University of Michigan. It is being invited back to complete several wells in the fall in response to the very favourable results from the first well. Precision has several opportunities before it including several working interest and retail wells in Oklahoma and Tennessee. These are currently being negotiated. They got those too. Adjusted Target: $8-10 - Time Frame: 6 months Adjusted Target: $15-20 - Time Frame: 12 months Dividends: .05 - .10 /share Get the scoop and the package: 1-888-784-6837 Info: ***** 1) Press Release due this week. 2) Press coverage in the Vancouver SUN 3) Press coverage in the Financial Post 4) Earnings could be as high as .60++ this year. 5) Nasdaq Listing in July after dividends are announced. 6) Large investor network plugged in last Thursday. 7) Very near term $3-5. 8) Approx. estimate shakeout at $2 is 500,000, this is needed. Stock must be cleaned out. Do not get shook out. 9) Will probably trade $1.90 - $2.10 for a couple days. Average Up opportunity. 10) Approx. 90% of stock is in friendly hands. Friendly = educated people in for long term. "Approximate CRASH time. WHY? STOP LOSS ORDERS. YOU SHOULD NEVER PUT IT A STOP LOSS ORDER. THE TRADERS ON THE FLOOR WILL PURPOSELY DIP IT BELOW YOUR STOP LOSS POINT AND YOU WILL DUMP YOUR SHARES KILLING THE MARKET WE HAVE WORKED SO HARD TO MAINTAIN. STOP LOSS ORDERS TELL ME YOU HAVE NO CONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK AND A SLIGHT PRICE SWING CAUSES YOU TO BAIL ON A STOCK HEADED FOR $10???? DOES THIS MAKE SENSE???? THIS IS NO B.S. STOCK PLAY. THIS IS NOT CRAP. THIS IS A COMPANY WITH EXCELLERATED EARNINGS AND UNLIMITTED POTENTIAL. YOU SHOULD SLEEP AT NIGHT AND HAVE NO WORRIES BUYING $3 STOCK. GREENLINE HAD STOP LOSS ORDERS IN AND DUMPED 50,000 SHARES. HELLO? I AM JUST HOPING IT WAS NOT ONE OF MY READERS. YOU HAVE JUST SOLD A HUGE POSITION IN AN AMAZING STOCK TO THE BOTTOM FEEDERS. 50,000 SHARES X $10 IS $500,000 LATER THIS YEAR. STUPIDITY. " "I have been told to tell you, and I totally agree, that IF YOU PEOPLE ARE SO NERVOUS ABOUT SLIGHT CORRECTIONS THE I SUGGEST YOU EXIT THE STOCK GRACEFULLY. I DO NOT WANT TO HOLD HANDS. I FEEL LIKE BANGING MY HEAD ON THE WALL WHEN I SEE THE CRAP THAT HAPPENED TODAY. THIS IS NOT A HYPED STOCK. THIS IS AN EARNINGS STOCK AND I CAN'T WAIT TILL IT GETS OFF THE VSE AND ONTO A RESPECTABLE EXCHANGE. The Press Release this morning: ------------------------------- Whoever put the title on the release should be shot. The title makes it look negative but it is the most positive press release I have read in a long time. Basically reallocation of funds, more bang for the buck. Very positive making Magnum a total cash deal.... Earnings projected at .37/share!!! " Westrend Natural Gas - Vancouver ******************************** Oh ya, Westrend is also: WTNGF (symbol) on the pink sheets for you American people. There is concern about the eps. Even if you take th .28 a share and multiply it by an average of 15 PE ratio it is a $4.20 stock. The company is on a rapid pace, do you think they are just going to stop at .28?? Watch and see what happens. One more thing about EPS. Do you think Oil and Gas companies, or any other company pays the full tax??? Absolutely not. I personally think it is rediculous to post this number. You see profits can be used to drill oil wells, pay out dividends, and other things. I would bet all my shares in my account that Westrend won't pay the 23.2% tax stated in this news release. Press release, comments below: ------------------------------ Westrend Natural Gas Inc WRN Shares issued 16041157 1997-03-03 close $1.79 Wednesday Mar 5 1997 News Release Mr Mark Roberts reports This press release clarifies the financial projections stated by management in its March 3 1997 original press release. The projections were based on a number of assumptions and hypotheses which are detailed below. The company has provided the exchange with a projected consolidated statement of operations for the relevant 12 month period, together with a detailed breakdown of projected results for each corporate division. The time period covered by the projections is 12 months beginning May 1 1997. The rationale for the start date is that substantially all of the referenced trucks & equipment are expected to have been purchased and/or supplied by that date. This is consistent with the disclosure in the original press release wherein the company stated projections were based on the assumptions that purchases of equipment would be complete and the equipment would be fully utilized. The projections are designed to demonstrate earnings expected if the proceeds from the referenced private placement financings were applied in the manner stated and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Management confirms that the net revenue figures stated in the original press release for each of its corporate divisions were prepared on a before tax basis. Arising from the detailed review of the projections requested by the exchange, management have determined that the net revenue before tax figures should have been stated at a slightly higher level and are accordingly so stated below. Management have been advised by the exchange, in accordance with the requirements of Exchange Policy 7 and the adoption therein of the principles contained in the CICA Handbook, that earnings per share must be calculated on an after tax basis. Management was employing managerial accounting principles and hence the income tax consideration was omitted from such calculations. The diluted share total of 24.8 million shares was calculated by adding the current 18,508,484 issued and outstanding shares, 1,538,461 deemed shares from the recently completed special warrant placement, 1,300,000 deemed shares from the $780,000 placement (which will be special warrants), 2,000,000 deemed shares from the $1.6 million placement (which will be special warrants) and 1,500,000 shares which is the maximum issuable on the acquisition of Alamo. The share total does not include exercise of any outstanding share purchase warrants or stock options. There are no other proposed issuances of shares by Westrend. Accordingly, Westrend is re-stating the net income before tax numbers for each corporate division, net income before tax as a whole, net income before tax per share, and earnings per share numbers, as follows: All dollar amounts in this release are in US dollars unless stated otherwise. Projected net profit before income tax (a) Alamo Wireline $4,042,500 (b) Precision Horizontal Inc 1,641,000 (e) Taylor Rig 1,490,000 Projected Net Income before tax (after deduction of parent company projected expenses of $600,000) $6,573,500 Projected net income $5,048,448 Net income before tax per share (on 24.8m shares) US$0.27/share C$0.37/share Consolidated earnings per share (after tax on 24.8m shares) US$0.20/share C$0.28/share The projections are designed to demonstrate earnings expected if the proceeds from the referenced C$780,000 and C$1.6 million private placement financings were applied in the manner stated. The projections have been prepared using assumptions that reflect Westrend's planned courses of action for the period covered given management's judgment as to the most probable set of economic conditions, together with one or more hypotheses that are assumptions which are consistent with the purpose of the information but are not necessarily the most probable in management's judgement. The overall assumptions are as follows: 1. The parent company, Westrend, will have expenses of approximately US$600,000 during the period. 2. The two recently announced private placements of C$780,000 and C$1.6 million will have been closed well in advance of May 1 1997. 3. As more specifically stated below, that the majority of the equipment purchases will have been completed by May 1 1997. 4. As more specifically stated below, arising from the significantly increased demand for the services that Westrend is planning to be able to offer to the oil & gas industry, that reasonable utilization/service rates are obtainable. 5. It is hypothesized that for the period, the existing strong demand for the types of services that Westrend plans to offer, will remain throughout. Management believe there is sufficient analysis published in trade publications to support this view. 6. The US corporate tax rate for companies of the nature of Westrend and its subsidiaries in Texas is assumed to be 23.2%. 7. All figures are estimated to be within plus or minus 15%. The specific assumptions and hypotheses for each corporate division are as follows: 1. Taylor Rig The following assumptions and hypotheses have been made: a) Revenues are based on the assumption that 23 service rigs and 15 wireline trucks (two at cost to Alamo) will be sold in the 12 month period; Service Rigs b) It is assumed that on average the service rigs will sell at prices equal to $350,000 (all figures in US dollars) as being reflective of market; Wireline Trucks c) It is assumed that the average wireline truck sold will carry a sufficient number of options to be priced at $250,000 per truck as being reflective of market; and d) It is assumed that once Taylor Rig has filled Alamo's initial order, sales will run at one per month. 2. Alamo Wireline The following hypotheses and assumptions have been made: a) Alamo will be operating seven wireline trucks during the period, each truck operating 20 days per month at between $3,300 and $3,900 per day. During the period, direct operating costs will be approximately $1,025,500, wages and salaries will be approximately $690,000, and equipment debt repayment will be approximately $71,000; b) Alamo will benefit from significant economies of scale by running seven trucks out of one main office, and a minor satellite Louisiana office, up from two trucks; c) Alamo will use the five additional trucks at lower cost and greater efficiency due to Alamo being able to purchase brand new equipment, and Alamo will benefit from its strategic alliance with Precision Horizontal Inc, a subsidiary of Westrend, since a package of services can he offered to customers, particularly MWD services in conjunction with wireline logging; d) Any slippage in net profits per truck are assumed to be picked up by a probable expansion of Alamo's fleet of trucks which can be funded out of projected cash flow; e) As stated in the original press release, Alamo is hiring experienced, well-connected wireline logging services salesmen who are assumed, along with Alamo's existing sales manager and possible further additions, to be capable of finding sufficient work immediately for the four new trucks to be delivered by Taylor Rig on May 1 1997; and f) The current expansion in oil & gas drilling activity which has engendered strong demand for wireline logging services is assumed to hold steady during the period. 3. Precision Horizontal Inc The following hypotheses and assumptions have been made: a) Precision will be contracted to provide its horizontal drilling services at $7,000 per day, 22 days per month, and incurring approximate operating costs for its horizontal drilling business of $719,000, and wages and salaries of $205,000; b) Precision will have acquired two MWD systems that will each be operated at $4,000 per day, 20 days per month, incurring approximate operating costs of $602,000, and wages and salaries of $205,000; c) It is assumed that the strong demand for MWD services will remain strong throughout the period; d) It is assumed that the second system of MWD equipment can be financed out of a combination of working capital and funds out of projected cash flow; e) The MWD business of Precision will benefit from its strategic alliance with Alamo since a package of services can be offered to customers; and f) A marketing program in conjunction with Alamo will be set up to secure a steady supply of business for both horizontal drilling and MWD; g) The current expansion in oil & gas drilling activity which has engendered strong demand for wireline logging services is assumed to hold steady during the period. Actual results achieved for the period covered will vary from the information presented and that variation may be material. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Very positive release. It should start trading tomorrow sometime. The VSE has been satisfied about the EPS projections. I remain bullish on this equity, I think at the rate they are expanding that $10 is in the cards this summer sometime. It seems like management is solid and the stock reflects that. When Westrend crashed on Monday it rebounded VERY quickly. This shows that the stock momentum is up.
From Monday's release:
Westrend is in negotiations to raise up to $10 million at or above current market prices which would include the offering of the 3.2 million shares that had been previously reserved for issuance to the Magnum shareholders. Negotiations involve a series of brokerage houses out of New York (which brokerages would also provide sponsoring of Westrend if, as currently planned, it becomes listed in the US) and from a number of private investors. A meeting with these parties has been orchestrated by the president of Westrend, Mark Roberts, for this week in San Antonio, Texas, which will include representatives from each of Westrend's associated companies to make a detailed proposal for the use of the proposed financing proceeds. These meetings with NY brokers tells me that Westrend is going verticle. They are looking to expand at a rapid pace which requires financings and exposure. A US brokerage house would definately be a huge asset to this verticle climb. Tomorrow should be exiting. More Oil and Gas articles, thanks to my subscribers: ********************************************************************************* The Wall Street Journal Interactive EditionMarch 4, 1997 Experts Say Capacity Shortage May Prop Up Crude-Oil Prices By PETER FRITSCH Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL HOUSTONOil prices have plunged 20% this year, but some industry experts believe the downturn may be nearing an end. Many blame short-term factors, such as the mild winter weather and politics surrounding Iraqs return to world oil markets, for the recent declines. Looking ahead, economists believe the market will be buoyed by a shortage of capacity in the oil-services industry. After a decade of slimming down, oil-service companies are having difficulty keeping up with the explosive growth in world-wide demand. The bottleneck is so severe that some economists say oil prices could remain relatively firm for the next several years even if there is a slowdown in the economy. Despite the recent fall in prices, the current benchmark price of $20.25 a barrel is still above year-earlier levels, when there was widespread talk of an imminent price collapse. Prices ended up surging in the second half of 1996, at one point reaching an 11-year high of about $28 a barrel (excluding the 1990 price jolt during the Persian Gulf War). Reflecting the industrys continued bullishness, Cambridge Energy Research Associates, a top oil consultant, recently lifted its forecast for oils minimum price over the next few years to $19 a barrel from $17 previously. The upward revision was echoed by the secretary general of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, Rilwanu Lukman, who recently said the era of oil for $15 to $20 a barrel has given way to $20 to $25 a barrel. An Era of Higher Prices "People say it feels like 1981 and worry that well go bust again," says PanEnergy Corp. director Matthew Simmons. "But the era of higher prices has only just begun." If such industry watchers are right, oil prices could prove to be less sensitive than before to any economic downturn. That would be bad news for motorists and industries such as airlines that are heavily exposed to fuel costs. And if a long-awaited economic slowdown does materialize, stubbornly high oil prices could delay a recovery. Still, oil economists arent predicting sharply higher prices either, tempering any negative impact on the economy. "I dont see a dramatic drag," says Donald Ratajczak, director of Georgia State Universitys Economic Forecasting Center, who last week raised his 1997 outlook for oil prices to an average $21 a barrel. He figures that if the economy weathered last years high oil prices, it can weather this years too. What predictors of petroleum prices cant know, says Mr. Ratajczak, is the extent to which sources like developing nations and North Sea production unexpectedly tip the balance, flooding the market with excess supply and driving prices lower. Indeed, Philip Verleger of the Charles River Associates consulting firm sees a potential supply imbalance pushing oil prices down to $18 a barrel this year. But there is plenty of reason to think that wont happen easily. World-wide oil and gas production as a percentage of production capacity is currently at about 95%, a flat-out rate matched only during a major political event such as the Arab oil embargo and accompanied by short- lived price surges. Put simply, the industry can no longer keep up with demand by simply turning on old taps, as it has been doing over the past decade. Evidence of a Bottleneck Tapping new supplies, then, will be crucial in keeping up with demand. But there is mounting evidence of a bottleneck in oil servicesthe industry that supplies the tools needed to get the job done. Consider that today, for example, every deep-water drilling rig in the world is now at work. The eight rigs plying the Gulf of Mexicos deep waters are about 45 short of the number needed to drill all the blocks companies have under lease and are promising to develop. Twenty companies manufactured drill pipe 15 years ago. Today there are five, with far less total capacity. The oil-service industrys plate "is completely full," according to Federal Reserve Bank of Houston economist William Gilmer, adding that it will be difficult for producers to meet their ambitious exploration goals. Perhaps in a sign of things to come, Phillips Petroleum Co. said recently that it had to delay development of a major discovery in the North Sea for almost a year due to a lack of rigs. Adds Raymond Plank, chairman of oil and gas producer Apache Corp.: "We are extremely drilling-constrained." Assuming demand grows at the same rate as it has over the past five years, the International Energy Agency in Paris predicts the world will need at least another 1.8 million barrels a day of oil this year, a 2.5% increase. That amount could be higher if developing-country demand continues its recent explosion. Figure into that equation the rate at which existing oil and gas fields are depleted, "and theres no conceivable way to achieve even 25% of this additional supply without increasing oil-service activities at a dramatic rate over the next few years," says Mr. Simmons. More Volatility Expected The bottom line: The lack of infrastructure means supply will be hard- pressed to keep up with demand, providing a strong floor under oil prices and a weight on the economy. The lack of yesteryears large supply cushion also means oil prices will be more volatile, just as they proved to be last year when gasoline and heating-oil prices soared. "All you need is a refinery accident or a little war and youll have a major price blowout," says CERA managing director Joseph Stanislaw. Conversely, demand has been so healthy that when world output rose by 500,000 barrels a day last July alone, there was hardly a price ripple. As rosy as things might appear, though, this boom isnt convulsing the nation like that of the early 1980s. Executives arent talking about $100-a-barrel oil at Houstons Petroleum Club. Gone are the bumper stickers urging Texans to "Drive 75, Freeze a Yankee Alive." And because improved technology is doing a lot of the work of roughnecks these days, Northern job seekers arent rushing south for a piece of the action. Still, the boom is having positive ripple effects in U.S. energy centers such as Houston. Building permits in Houston surged 19% last year, and local employment growth outstripped that of Texas as a whole for the first time since 1990. Houstons tony Ritz- Carlton will in April open its lobby dining room, popular with power breakfasters, to dinner at the request of business travelers. Local luxury-auto dealership Momentum BMW booked a 20% increase in sales last year, according to sales manager Louis Weibel. Employment and wages in the energy sector are also on an upswing. Baker Hughes Inc. of Houston will hire 500 new field workers and 250 engineers this year, increases of 20% and 33% respectively, and is having a tough time finding them. Oil driller Rowan Cos. had to boost wages 10% last year to keep its workers from leaving. Rowan Chairman C.R. Palmer says hes considering another 5% to 10% pay increase this year. Such signs embolden even the most hardened veterans of the 1980s bust to tempt fate, it seems. "Here goes," says Mr. Palmer, clearing his throat. "Boom. Theres just no other word for it." I give full credit to: Copyright © 1997 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Dow Jones News ServiceMarch 4, 1997 Oil-Services Stocks Rally As Optimism Returns By Loren Fox NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Stocks of oil-service and drilling companies fairly gushed Tuesday, a sign that the recent selloff in the sector may be ending. Optimism returned to the market regarding companies that rent rigs, make drill bits, generate geological information and provide other oil-field services and equipment. Oil drillers were the best performing industry group Tuesday, as the Dow Jones index of six drillers rose 9.9% on a market capitalization weighted basis. Among the leaders were Global Marine Inc. (GLM), up 2 Œ, or 12.7%, at 20; and Ensco International Inc. (ESV), up 5, or 12%, at 46 œ. Not far behind was the Dow Jones index of five oil-field equipment companies, which rose 4.5%. The leaders included Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB), the bellwether of the group, which was up 4 Ÿ, or 4.8%, at 103 Œ; and Halliburton Co. (HAL), up 3 Œ, or 5.3%, at 65. One spark for Tuesdays rally was the optimism ahead of Wednesdays sale of exploration leases in the Gulf of Mexico. A record 1,790 bids were tendered to the U.S. Department of the Interior for 1,032 tracts. To many, thats a signal that oil companies arent about to slow the pace of spending on exploration and development. There arent enough rigs to go around, said Robert Trace, an analyst at Hanifen Imhoff Inc. Another factor setting the table for Tuesdays feast was the fact that the stocks had fallen so far in recent weeks. After rising in January, investors took profits as good quarterly earnings reports rolled in. However, short-selling and momentum investors pulled the sector down further in February. At the same time, oil prices fell roughly 20% to $20.50 a barrel, which turned the mood overwhelmingly bearish. Before Tuesdays rebound, Schlumberger had fallen 15% from its January high. Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. (DO), the largest deep-water rig specialist, had fallen 25% from its January high. Tuesday, Diamond rose 5 3/8, The typical oil services stock fell 25% to 30%, which is a healthy correction, said Kenneth Miller, executive vice p resident at Cambridge Investments Ltd., a money management firm. There was so much negativism coming out of the street, its a sign that the group hit bottom. It was absolutely overdone, said Yves Siegel, an analyst at Smith Barney Inc. In recent days, some analysts started touting the stocks as buying opportunities. The stocks were selling at very low multiples, said Miller. Even fans of oilfield stocks feel the nosedive they took in recent weeks began as a logical correction. Many industry observers admitted stock prices got ahead of themselves in January. Good news from 1998 - let alone from 1997 - was already factored into the stocks. True, earnings are expected to continue rising for the group. For 1997, Schlumbergers earnings are expected to be 26% higher than last year at $4.38 a share. For Global Marine, 1997 earnings are expected to soar 111% to $1.33, then rise another 39% in 1998 to $1.85. But while the stocks rose in January in advance of earnings reports, as they had in the last few quarters, this past quarter the sector rose faster. The key driver was momentum players, who buy stocks that are already rising. One fund manager said a classic example of momentum buying was Cliffs Drilling Co. (CLDR), a second-tier drilling contractor whose stock rocketed to a high of 79 œ in January, or a whopping 38 times its projected 1997 earnings. Cliffs fell to 42 3/8 Monday, and rose 9.5% to close at 46 Tuesday - 22 times its projected 1997 earnings of $2.08. Many analysts said the group has returned to more realistic multiples. Smith Barneys Siegel said drillers should trade at 12 to 15 times earnings. I dont necessarily think of these as growth companies, said Hanifens Trace, because in the end, they are based on the cycles of spending from oil companies. But Trace feels 20 times earnings is reasonable given drillers growth in the next few years. One result of Januarys expansion of earnings multiples, however, was to make the recent selloff a more dramatic decline. The recent pullback in the stocks was very much influenced by the simultaneous drop in oil and gas prices, which exert a strong psychological effect on the sector. But observers emphasized that the drop in oil prices shouldnt hurt the earnings of oil-services companies. It is a connection that isnt well understood, analysts contended. The fact that crude oil fell below $21 a barrel doesnt mean that oil companies started to cancel rig contracts or shut wells. Most oil companies, having been burned by the collapse in oil prices in the mid-1980s, budget their oil and gas projects so they make money if oil sells at $17 or $18 a barrel. As a result, current oil and gas prices are not a danger to oil services companies. Its actually better for the oil services stocks for oil to trade between $18 to $22 a barrel, said Siegel, because thats a high enough price to encourage drilling while not so high that it hurts demand. Many analysts believe the oil-services industry is in the early stages of a multi-year upturn. Thats why they see the recent deflation of oil services stocks as buying opportunities. Its a long-term story, Siegel said. Full credit to: Copyright © 1996 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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TIMOTHY@CCU1.AUCKLAND.AC.NZ