Collapse: Earth Overshoot Day

grarpamp grarpamp at gmail.com
Tue Jan 3 01:03:46 PST 2023


Normal climate cycles and averages will continue,
including long after Humans fuck themselves into extinction.


Questions Remain Over Met Office Claim That 2022 Was The UK's Hottest
Year On Record

https://dailysceptic.org/2022/12/30/questions-remain-over-met-office-claim-that-2022-was-the-u-k-s-hottest-year-on-record/
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/11/04/u-s-warming-over-last-50-years-exaggerated-by-up-to-50-new-evidence-shows/
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/12/04/doubts-remain-about-40-3c-record-at-u-k-airbase-after-met-office-fails-to-respond-to-questions/
https://dailysceptic.org/archive/met-office-changed-global-temperature-record-to-add-14-to-recent-warming-says-climate-scientist/
https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/publications/2022_Surface_Station_Report.pdf

There is great excitement – jubilation even – at the Met Office and
its mainstream media publishing partners with the news that the U.K.
is on track to record its ‘hottest’ year ever (well at least since
records began about 150 years ago). Helped by a mild winter and autumn
and a glorious summer, the average temperature in 2022 looks to come
in at 9.99oC, up from the previous 2014 record of 9.88oC. But the
overall global temperature, according to accurate satellite
measurements, has not moved for over eight years.

As we shall see, the Met Office increases in surface measurements
would appear to owe something to increasing urban heat corruption, as
well as some curious sitings of measuring devises.

There is no more curious placing of a measuring devise than half way
down the runway of a military airbase that houses two squadrons of
Typhoon fighter jets.

The Met Office tells us that one of the weather extremes of 2022 was a
high of 40.3oC on July 19th. Regular readers will recall that we have
questioned this ‘record’ at RAF Coningsby, since the temperature held
for only 60 seconds at 3.12pm and was preceded by a 0.6oC jump in the
previous two minutes. By 3.13pm the temperature had fallen back to
39.7oC. The Met Office first explained that the sudden rise could have
been due to cloud cover, but a satellite photo shows clear skies
across Lincolnshire at that moment. The Daily Sceptic has since
established that at least two Typhoon jets were operating at the base
at the time. The Met Office has ignored all our subsequent questions
about the claim.

The Coningsby incident is indicative of possible urban heat corruption
over much of the Met Office surface temperature database. Airport
sitings are common with temperature highs often reported at Heathrow
and nearby RAF Northolt. Temperature recordings at airports are an
easy source of data, since accurate measurements alongside runways are
required for safe aircraft movements. But similar temperature
corruptions are also to be found in towns and cities.

In recent ground-breaking work, two American scientists – Dr. Roy
Spencer and Professor John Christy – working out of the University of
Alabama in Huntsville, have separated the effect of urbanisation on
temperature measurements. They used a satellite database of
urbanisation change called ‘Built Up’ and found large corruptions
across the urban record. Over the last 50 years, it was discovered
that warming had been exaggerated by up to 50% across the eastern
United States.

Spencer and Christy also checked out a number of U.S. airports,
comparing the raw data from the U.S. weather service NOAA with their
‘de-urbanised’ figures. At Orlando International Airport in Florida,
the NOAA data showed massive warming of 0.3oC per decade, but this
fell to just 0.07oC when adjusted for urban heat. The two scientists
have supplied similar findings for Canada and promise further country
work in the future including the U.K.

In the U.S., NOAA’s surface data has been criticised on a number of
scientific fronts. The American meteorologist Anthony Watts recently
published a 10-year study calling the database “fatally flawed”. He
found that 96% of U.S. temperature stations failed to meet what NOAA
itself considered to be acceptable and uncorrupted placement
standards. The findings must be a major concern since the U.S. record
is a large constituent of global databases, including one run by the
Met Office called HadCRUT. These global databases have been adjusted
to show more recent global warming, a trend that is not immediately
obvious in satellite or meteorological balloon records.

In light of this recent urban heat evidence, the Daily Sceptic has
asked the Met Office if it intends to continue using raw data from
airport and urban sites without making substantial recalculations to
remove all non-climatic corruptions? As we have noted, the Met Office
has failed to respond. But urban heat corruption must be a major
consideration when analysing this heavily-quoted data. In the year of
the hot summer of 1976, the average annual temperature was 8.74oC,
compared with this year’s 9.99oC. But only 56 million people lived in
the U.K. around 50 years ago compared with almost 69 million today.
Over the last 50 years there has been considerable urban development,
and many towns and cities have increased significantly in size and
density.

It is reasonable to ask if average Met Office temperatures rising well
over 1oC during this period solely reflect natural increases, or is
around 50% of the warming a temporary feature of urban development?
One day, the Met Office might tell us. Since 1979, the satellite
record has shown warming across the globe of around 0.6oC.
Temperatures have still to pass the last high point in 1998.

In the meantime, it is full speed ahead with weather catastrophisation
stories designed to promote the Net Zero political agenda. In the
latest bout of climate Armageddon preaching, the BBC subbed up the Met
Office press release and listed this year’s “extreme” events.
Obviously, the Coningsby triumph was mentioned (see above), but so was
the mild autumn. Also “extreme” was the brief winter cold snap in
early December (nobody saw that coming, did they?) and three storms In
February. Depressions often follow one another in the middle of winter
off the Atlantic, so why this should be considered “extreme” is a
mystery. Tinder-dry conditions are said to have “gripped” the U.K.
during August. Again, dry periods in the middle of summer – it’s
almost beyond understanding.


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