USA 2020 Elections: Thread

[grarpamp]

Word on street is that Kamala (the Potsmoking Daydreaming
Idlewhile at Large), may soon become the first major Biden
defector to say "Fuck this shit" and leave...


'Very Unfavorable' Political Scenario Appears To Be Taking Shape For Democrats

https://www.theepochtimes.com/very-unfavorable-political-scenario-appears-to-be-taking-shape-for-democrats_4592810.html
https://news.gallup.com/poll/393626/usual-midterm-indicators-unfavorable-democrats.aspx

An unfavorable midterm election scenario is taking shape for Democrats
as inflation and gas prices remain exceptionally high as some
left-wing news outlets appear to be turning on the Biden
administration, according to analysts and pollsters.
President Joe Biden delivers remarks on reproductive rights as (L-R)
Vice President Kamala Harris, and Secretary of Health and Human
Services Xavier Becerra listen during an event at the Roosevelt Room
of the White House in Washington, on July 8, 2022. (Alex Wong/Getty
Images)

A recent New York Times survey posted on the paper’s front page Monday
suggested that Democrat voters are turning against Biden. Only about
25 percent said they wanted him to be the presidential nominee in
2024. Meanwhile, the NY Times and other left-wing outlets have
increasingly published articles suggesting that the president not run
for reelection.

“Democrats haven’t done things they promised,” Connor Farrell, a
strategist who founded the Democrat-aligned group Left Rising, told
The Hill on Tuesday. “In this environment, the best general election
candidates will be bold [ones] that can distinguish themselves from
what we’re getting from the White House.”

“Democratic leadership should look no further than the fact that they
need to wake up and step up to the plate,” Jon Reinish, managing
director at the political strategy firm Mercury, told the website. He
did not elaborate what that might entail.

Democrats, he added, are “not just losing Independents or you know,
Never-Trump Republicans,” but “they’re losing their own voters.
Democrats’ own voters don’t feel as if their leaders hear their
concerns.”

“I don’t want to sound overly pessimistic, but I’m not holding out
hope that Biden’s approval rating can improve all that much. Gas
prices have started to drop, but inflation remains high, and survey
after survey shows that Americans are principally concerned with their
economic situation. Another [Federal Reserve] rate hike is on its way,
which isn’t bound to make things better in the short term for voters,”
Democrat strategist Jessica Tarlov told Fox News this week.

And an article released by pollster Gallup, citing its own polling
data, declared that the 2022 election indicators suggest Democrats are
facing a significant uphill battle.

“However, 2022 is not shaping up to be an average year. Rather, as of
May, Gallup finds presidential job approval and three other key
national mood indicators well below the historical averages measured
in past midterm election years. On their own, those numbers would all
predict a greater-than-average loss of seats for the Democratic Party
this fall,” Gallup said last month.

Typically, the party of the president tends to lose seats in the
midterm elections, and Democrats have narrow majorities in both the
Senate and House.
Economy

Surveys released in recent days indicate that Americans have a
generally negative outlook of the direction the United States is
heading and have a bleak outlook on the economy amid historically high
gas prices and high inflation. Auto club AAA’s data shows that while
gas prices have dropped over the past three weeks, the average price
still stands at $4.65 per gallon as of Tuesday.
Gas prices are advertised at a Chevron station as rising inflation and
oil costs affect the consumers in Los Angeles, Calif., on June 13,
2022. (Lucy Nicholson/Reuters)

Although some Democrat-aligned consultants, including James Carville,
have suggested recently that the midterms are still several months
away, Gallup said that if Biden’s job approval rating increases, “he
would be bucking the trend for second-year presidents. Historically,
presidents’ job approval ratings have rarely improved in the last few
months before their first midterms.” As such, it rated Democrats’
chances as “very unfavorable” headed to November.

Republicans have said that the Biden administration’s policies are the
primary reason why inflation and gas prices remain high, noting that
the president last year signed executive orders that blocked new oil
drilling leases, suspended the Keystone XL pipeline, and ended some
fossil fuel subsidies. In response, Biden and Democrats have pinned
the blame on oil companies, the Russian government, and even consumers
for not buying electric vehicles.

"Americans' dour evaluations of the president, Congress, the economy, and
direction of the country all suggest that the typical pattern by which the
president's party loses seats in midterm elections will hold this year,"
Gallup said. "While Republicans need to only pick up five seats in the
House to take the majority in that chamber (assuming the vacant seats
formerly held by Republicans stay with the party), the national mood is
such that 2022 has the potential to be a wave election for the Republican
Party and the GOP could have a more comfortable governing majority."

It concluded: "Regardless of what issues might drive voter behavior,
unless Americans' opinions of the job Biden is doing and the state of the
nation improve over the next five months, the Democratic Party may face a
situation similar to 1994 and 2010 when it suffered major losses in its
presidents' first midterms but regrouped in time to win the presidential
election two years later."

In a comment Tuesday, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
claimed that Democratic lawmakers seeking reelection are "untethered" from
Biden's approval rating. The Epoch Times has reached out to the
organization for comment.

“Frontline Democrats remain untethered from President Biden’s approval
rating and consistently perform ahead of the generic ballot despite the
global challenges we face because Democrats are defending the right to an
abortion, have delivered record-high job creation and infrastructure
investments that voters have demanded for years,” Democratic
Congressional Campaign Committee spokesperson Chris Taylor said in a
statement.