USA 2020 Elections: Thread

grarpamp grarpamp at gmail.com
Sat Apr 16 03:49:32 PDT 2022


Every single category of voters has embarassingly
cut their approval rating of Biden-Democrats down
by up to 21%, and is barely holding near 40%.



Biden Job Approval Crashing Among Younger Generations: Gallup

https://news.gallup.com/poll/391733/biden-job-approval-down-among-younger-generations.aspx

By Jeffrey Jones of Gallup
Highlights:

    Biden job approval down roughly 20 points among Gen Z, millennials

    Traditionalists show no change in Biden job approval since early 2021

    Younger adults now less likely than older adults to approve of Biden

Joe Biden's recent job approval ratings, which are averaging 14 points
lower than those early in his presidency, have declined far more among
younger than older generations of Americans.

In fact, Biden's job approval has changed relatively little among baby
boomers and not at all among traditionalists. As a result, older
Americans are now more likely to approve of the president than younger
Americans are.

This analysis is based on aggregated Gallup poll data since Biden
became president, dividing his presidency into three distinct periods
defined by his average approval rating at the time.

    During the honeymoon phase of Biden's presidency, spanning January
2021 through June of that year, an average of 56% of Americans
approved of how he was handling his job as president.

    The first obvious decline in Biden's approval occurred in July and
August 2021, when 49% of Americans, on average, approved.

    By September, Biden's approval rating had fallen further to the
low 40% range; it has stayed there since, averaging 42%.

Gallup interviewed roughly 6,000 adults in the first and third of
these periods, and over 2,000 in the middle period.

During Biden's honeymoon period, 60% of both Generation Z adults and
millennials approved of the job he was doing, putting these groups
above the national average approval rating. His support was below the
national average among baby boomers (53%) and, especially,
traditionalists (48%) early in his presidency.

By the summer, as coronavirus cases unexpectedly rose, Biden had lost
significant support among Generation Z, millennials and Generation X,
ranging from seven- to 10-percentage-point drops. But his approval
rating held steady among baby boomers and traditionalists.

All generational groups have become less approving of Biden since the
summer, after the troubled U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in late
August 2021, with the exception of traditionalists, whose approval has
not changed.

Traditionalists are the only major demographic subgroup whose approval
is similar now to what it was in the early part of Biden's presidency.
A small number of other subgroups -- including some that have never
been inclined to approve of Biden -- have modestly lower approval now,
with declines of less than 10 percentage points. These include
Republicans (down four points, from 10% to 6%), adults aged 65 and
older (down five points), baby boomers (down seven points), political
conservatives (down eight points) and 50- to 64-year-old adults (down
nine points). The full data on changes in approval by all major
subgroups can be found at the end of the article.
Political Independence a Factor in Differential Change by Generation

One reason older Americans are less likely to have changed their
opinions of Biden during his time in office is that they are much more
likely to identify politically as a Republican or a Democrat than as
an independent. Approval ratings are more strongly linked to
partisanship now than in the past. To date, approval of Biden among
independents has declined more than it has among Democrats or
Republicans.

Only about one in four traditionalists (27%) and one in three baby
boomers (34%) identify as political independents. This compares with
roughly half of Americans among Generation X, millennials, and
Generation Z. These figures are based on polls conducted throughout
Biden's presidency; party identification within each generation has
been relatively stable during that time.

However, a greater share of political independents cannot by itself
explain why older Americans show less change in their evaluations of
Biden than younger generations do. Traditionalists and baby boomers
who identify politically as Democrats or as independents show less
change in approval than their political counterparts in the younger
generations. For example, approval of Biden among millennials who
identify as independents is down 24 points (from 59% to 35%) compared
with a 14-point drop among baby boomers who identify as independents
(from 54% to 40%). Millennial Democrats' approval has dropped 15
points (from 93% to 78%), compared with a five-point drop among baby
boomer Democrats (from 96% to 91%).

Republicans' opinions of Biden have been highly fixed, and highly
negative, regardless of their age or generation.
Hispanic, Black Adults Among the Subgroups Most Likely to Show Declines

In addition to the 21-point decline in Biden job approval among
Generation Z adults, and the slightly larger 23-point drop among 18-
to 29-year-old adults, Black and Hispanic adults also show big drops.

Early in Biden's term, 87% of Non-Hispanic Black adults approved of
the job he was doing. That fell to 74% in the summer of 2021 and is
now at 67%, 20 points lower than in the early stages of his
presidency.

Among Hispanics, Biden's job approval has slumped from 73% in early
2021 to 52% now, a 21-point fall.

To a significant degree, the bigger declines among Black and Hispanic
adults have occurred because those subgroups started out at much
higher levels of approval than other subgroups. Among Non-Hispanic
White adults, Biden's approval rating has fallen 10 points but started
out much lower, at 45%.

Even though Biden's approval rating has dropped sharply among Black
and Hispanic adults, their approval of him is still well above the
national average.

The full list of approval by subgroup is below.

Overall, it appears the 'rally round the flag' war in Ukraine and all
the efforts to pin the blame for soaring living costs on the "Putin
Price Hike" is failing as President Biden's overall approval rating
has tumbled back to record lows...

Time to ban some more dissent.


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