200,000

[Steven Schear]

Perhaps Covid19 will help reduce some of the Social Security actuarial
issues unaddressed by Congress failing to raise retirement age.

On Wed, Sep 16, 2020, 12:47 PM Peter Fairbrother <peter at tsto.co.uk> wrote:

> On 28/02/2020 22:09, Peter Fairbrother wrote:
>
> > Best data I have seen for COVID-19 mortality is from 50 in 10,000 or
> > 0.5% for the young-and-fit to 1,500 in 10,000 or 15% for those over 75
> > and those with pre-existing heart disease. Diabetes and COPD are also
> > bad co-morbidities to have, at about 10% mortality.
> >
> > COVID-19 seems to kill mostly the elderly, but not nearly as exclusively
> > as 'flu. The young-and-fit are also very much at risk.
> >
> > This would give an overall mortality rate of about 150-200 per 10,000 or
> > 1.5%-2%. With an estimated 65% of the US population catching COVID-19
> > that would be 4 million US deaths: much worse than AIDS, and potentially
> > the worst pandemic since the Plague.
>
>
>
> Peter Fairbrother
>
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