Bad News/Good News

Steven Schear schear.steve at
Wed Mar 4 05:53:47 PST 2020

To be clear, the standard way PM wagers work is zero sum. You bet he dies
and Jim bet he lives. Should he live you lose and he wins.

On Wed, Mar 4, 2020, 1:10 PM grarpamp <grarpamp at> wrote:

> On 3/3/20, jim bell <jdb10987 at> wrote:
> > care home
> > vomiting
> Bad food.
> > diabetes.
> People can improve a lot with work.
> > So, anyone want to take bets on whether I fall ill in the next 2-3 weeks?
> AP humor you hid in those words Jim.
> Would be funny if a prediction market sprung up
> around that question, such a market could be
> viewed as a great honor. And profitable if you put $10
> on it and decided to avoid/survive corona, thereby turning
> it into $10M at all your dead detractors expense :)
> I add $10 to the "jim lives" pot.
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