Using Prediction Markets to Enhance US Intelligence

[Steve Kinney]

On 10/28/2017 02:35 PM, juan wrote:
> 
> 
> https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/csi-studies/studies/vol50no4/using-prediction-markets-to-enhance-us-intelligence-capabilities.html
> 
> 'intelligence' in scare quotes of course 
> 
> anyway, I thought it was funny that cia webpages use JavaScript
> Intellectual Property from Facebook...

Heh.  That sounds a lot like John Poindexter's "Terrorism Futures
Market" where the omnescient, infallable hand of the Free Market would
predict terrorist attacks in plenty of time to prevent them.  I may have
been the first to point out that this scheme was a variation on
Assassination Politics, and that participants would bet on and then DO
terrorist attacks.

Poindexter was removed from his position running DARPA over that, and
some of what I wrote in my critique of the plan was still being quoted
verbatim by 'mainstream pundits' a week later.

:o)





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