Nobody Understands Cryptocurrency, And That's Ok
Zenaan Harkness
zen at freedbms.net
Tue Oct 24 19:44:51 PDT 2017
On Tue, Oct 17, 2017 at 10:45:54AM +1100, Zenaan Harkness wrote:
> On Tue, Oct 17, 2017 at 10:12:10AM +1100, Zenaan Harkness wrote:
> > On Mon, Oct 16, 2017 at 03:20:56PM -0500, \0xDynamite wrote:
> > > I think Bitcoin does not understand bitcoin.
> >
> > > UNDERSTAND THIS:
> > >
> > > Expressing your opinion is the ultimate unit of work in the virtual
> > > world. Distribute bitcoins on this basis. That devalues them, yes,
> > > but then you don't have to expend 100kW of energy to produce them,
> > > maybe call them nanobits.
> > >
> > > Then allow them to be traded freely as a neutral currency for the net.
> > > After this gets established, ONLY THEN can you really set a EXCHANGE
> > > RATE for bitcoin with physical dolllars -- because you've tied and
> > > anchored it to REAL WORLD VALUES.
> >
> > Nice in theory, but no, any Cabal coin can be tied to physical stuff
> > no problems, thus creating an actual Cabal-controlled (± thus
> > manipulated) value for their particular central coin.
>
> Putin intends to launch, public statement “if you can't beat ’em, join
> ’em”:
>
>
> Crypto-Rouble: Russia to launch first state sanctioned cryptocurrency
> in the world
> http://theduran.com/russia-launch-first-state-sanctioned-cryptocurrency-world/
Putin's Crypto-Rules Unveiled, Your Move D.C.
http://russia-insider.com/en/putins-crypto-rules-unveiled-your-move-dc/ri21356
Tom Luongo
I’ve said many times that Vladimir Putin is a law and order kinda
guy. From the moment he finished his meeting with Ethereum
designer, Vitalik Buterin, back in March there has been a lot of
conflicting stories coming out of Russia with respect to
cryptocurrencies.
Over the weekend Putin finally made his full intentions for the
technology known. Last week it was announced that Russia would be
issuing a Crypto-Ruble, which would allow cryptocurrencies like
Bitcoin to circulate side-by-side with the Ruble.
In my initial discussion
https://tomluongo.me/2017/10/16/russias-crypto-ruble-changed-capital/
of the Crypto-Ruble it looked to me like
they would trade without a capital gains bias in the Russian
marketplace. That doesn’t look like the case at this point.
Though nothing has been set in stone, according to follow on
statements by Deputy Finance Minister Nikolay Nikiforov
https://techcrunch.com/2017/10/15/russia-may-soon-issue-its-own-official-blockchain-based-currency-the-cryptoruble/
.
∙ Putin’s Five Words of Warning
Now, with the five latest orders from Putin, the crypto-world in
Russia is to have a full-fledged legal framework for people to
operate within
https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/7x4vad/putin-cryptocurrency-russia-mining-regulations-ico-bitcoin-ethereum
. The high points of the orders are:
1. Miners will have to register with the state to pay taxes on
gains.
2. Cryptocurrencies will be fit into the existing legal framework
of the Russian financial system
3. ICOs – Initial Coin Offerings — will get rules handed down by
the Legislative branch and the Bank of Russia
4. A sandbox environment will be established to test new
technologies with the Bank of Russia before being deployed.
5. A framework will be put in place for a regional cross-border
payment system with the rest of the Eurasian Economic Union
(EAEU) Members — Kazakhstan, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan an Belarus.
Okay, so what? The big thing here is that Putin is acutely aware
of how cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can springboard
Russia’s ability to more efficiently handle capital. He rightly
sees the opportunity for the hundreds of billions that have flowed
into the crypto-space to find their way into Russia and be welcomed
there to do real work in the legal economy.
Yeah, monetary anarchists like me bristle at this legal stuff and
taxes being applied to cryptos. Putin will find out just how hard
it is to extract all of the taxes he is looking to collect but that
is a bigger question for another day.
What’s important here is that cryptos will become part of every day
life of people in those countries. It will leverage the existing
legal framework of Russia for putting the physical economy on the
blockchain while also enhancing it at the same time.
Sure, eventually Ethereum’s smart contracts can replace all the
physical contracts we currently manage and store and fight over.
But, there are a lot of steps between getting from where we are to
there.
There’s still not much there there, to quote Gertrude Stein.
∙ Cryptos + Legality = Trust
In this respect existing law is an asset not a burden. So,
embracing cryptos to assist in strengthening contract dispute
resolution and chain of custody for an emerging market like Russia
and the frontiers of the EAEU is an enormous step forward.
Ask any savvy investor or financial professional about Russia or
any frontier market and they say, “It’s not the return on my
capital I’m worried about, it’s the return of it.”
In other words, the big advantage the U.S., the U.K. and Europe
have over a lot of the world is the legal framework to ensure that
your business can’t be summarily seized or that you have some
avenue to get your money back if it’s stolen.
There is real legal risk to investing in these places. Russia
still carries that stigma and will for a long time. So will China.
And if you look carefully you’ll see that they are working
diligently to raise their profile on this front.
No one does business with someone you don’t trust. This is the
essence of commerce and society itself. This is why Putin feels so
strongly about building legal frameworks, even if they wind up
being the wrong ones. Rules create the potential for trust.
What’s the biggest worry everyone has about cryptos? Trust.
Thieves be everywhere; looking to steal your private keys and make
the quick score. It doesn’t matter if its a hacker running some
malware or some shady dude’s latest ICO.
∙ Rethinking Forex
Of all the stuff in these orders, the EAEU angle is the most
interesting in the long-view. Russia will export these rules
across the EAEU and standardize the use of cryptos in these
countries, helping to facilitate cross borders capital flows
without the any of the local central banks having to worry about
currency building up.
In one short burst of words, Putin just lessened the risk of being
wiped out by aggressive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.
Think it through, it’s staring you in the face.
Think of it like this. I have a business in Moscow with clients in
Astana. They can pay me in bitcoins which I can exchange for rubles
when I need to or use to pay my suppliers in Minsk. My client
never has to go to his Kazakh bank and exchange Tenge for Rubles
(yes, I know the Kazakh currency name off the top of my head). I
never have to go to my bank and exchange Rubles for Belorussian
Rubles.
Bitcoin and other cryptos can be taken as payments, made a part of
my business’s accounting and all of that and the Bank of Russia
only has to deal with regulating the flow of rubles throughout the
domestic economy. It becomes more immune to external attack like
late 2014.
Putin is both defending the ruble for internal Russian use while at
the same time making it easy for capital to move across borders
without it affecting domestic monetary policy.
Forex recycling needs are dramatically lowered because the central
bank no longer has to deal with the build up of foreign currency
reserves which have to be maintained and invested. Those reserves
are now floating around in crypto-space waiting to cross whatever
border they need to next.
Some may flow into the Ruble, some may flow into crypto-loans,
housing, etc. But, the central bank is alleviated of managing huge
piles of money because the economy no longer depends on the supply
of their currency.
Putin gets this. If he doesn’t then someone in Russia’s government
does. He may have to lower the capital gains tax eventually, but
at this point 13% is cheap versus his nearest competitors, so
that’s not a concern.
What this does is begins the process of accepting cryptos into the
legal economy and moving Russia way up the charts of where capital
is treated best.
And we all know where capital flows, right?
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