Be alert - signs of Russian invasion may be strong

[Stephan Neuhaus]

On 2015-06-22 05:21, dan at geer.org wrote:
> The cited article strikes me as pollyannaish; Russia's next move
> is to do for eastern Estonia what it did for eastern Ukraine, but
> then we'd have NATO Article 5 invoked for an 85% Russian speaking
> population already living on Russia's border.  It is therefore not
> unreasonable to predict that despite an unarguable Article 5
> triggering, some set of European NATO members would decline to show
> up to do their duty.  NATO is then dead against a backdrop of
> non-zero probability of EU dis-integration.  If you are Putin,
> what's not to like?

Perhaps an equally non-zero probability that it will all go pear-shaped 
after all?

> (What the hell this topic has to do with "the widespread use of
> strong cryptography as a route to progressive change" I don't know.)

+1

--Stephan