[CNN] FBI: Threat against Western bridges 'not credible'

[mmotyka at lsil.com]

read it. the alternatives are not quite as cheap or plentiful or
accessible as the Middle East and if many oil eaters start looking away
from the ME there will be other problems too

David Honig wrote:
> 
> At 10:33 AM 11/7/01 -0800, mmotyka at lsil.com wrote:
> 
> >Mainlining petroleum has helped put us at risk. Allowing automotive and
> 
> Solution: we just buy oil from other places.  Only transient
> economic effects on us and many fewer body bags.
> 
> See http://cryptome.org/alqaida-game.htm
> 
> excerpt:
> 
> AL- QAIDA S ENDGAME?
> A STRATEGIC SCENARIO ANALYSIS
> 
> The following analysis is the product of DSSis strategic analysis team
> using scenario planning to make sense of the current
> situation and the war on terrorism. During the course of exploring future
> scenarios, past events acquired meaning, and the
> direction of the conflict as desired by Al-Qaida began to make sense.
> 
> EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
> 
> DSSis strategic scenario analysis regarding Al-Qaidas endgame leads to
> the following conclusions about the real current
> events:
> 
>      The network of networks known as Al-Qaida has successfully laid a
> trap for the United States. Al-Qaida retains the
>      initiative and the U.S. is operating inside the intentions and plans
> of Al-Qaida
> 
>      Al-Qaida cannot destroy the U.S. forces inside the U.S., nor can it
> convince the U.S. to leave the Middle East using
>      terror attacks. The intention of the terror attacks is a provocation
> to force the U.S. to engage and deploy forces to the
>      Middle East, where such forces could be destroyed
> 
>      The intention and purpose of Al-Qaidas plans are either to make the
> Middle East ungovernable, or to gain control of
>      the petroleum production system in the region. Application of the oil
> weapon could be used to attempt to force
>      withdrawal of U.S. presence in the region; outright destruction of the
> petroleum production system would leave the U.S.
>      with no or greatly reduced real interests in the region
> 
>      Control or destruction of the petroleum production system in the
> Middle East, and the potential for attacks on global
>      petroleum production, would transform the political situation in the
> region, initiate a global depression by degrading or
>      destroying critical industries of developing and advanced
> Nation-States, and drastically shift the geopolitical balance