CDR: RE: Florida Electoral defection threat!

[Declan McCullagh]

Whoops. You're right: I meant to type "Oregon." If it went to the House, it 
would be a ~25-19 vote for Bush, per my Wired article on Sat. --Declan


At 12:45 11/15/2000 -0500, Trei, Peter wrote:
>You're correct on the 271, but I'm *sure* you didn't mean to
>type 'Utah'.
>
>Ok, two faithless electors would throw it to the house, and
>three would make it Gore, as I said on the 8th.
>
>Peter
>
> > ----------
> > From:         Declan McCullagh[SMTP:declan at well.com]
> > Sent:         Wednesday, November 15, 2000 12:37 PM
> > To:   Trei, Peter
> > Cc:   cypherpunks at cyberpass.net; 'George at orwellian.org'
> > Subject:      Re: Florida Electoral defection threat!
> >
> > No, if Bush won Florida but not Utah, he'd have
> > 246+25=271, not 270 e.v.
> >
> > If one elector defected, Bush would win, if two electors defected,
> > Bush would win (in House), if three electors defected, Gore would win.
> >
> > -Declan
> >
> > On Wed, Nov 15, 2000 at 11:16:38AM -0500, Trei, Peter wrote:
> > > Do the numbers:
> > >
> > > The electoral college standings are currently:
> > >
> > > Bush: 246
> > > Gore: 255
> > >
> > > Undecided states:
> > > Florida 25
> > > New Mexico 5
> > > Oregon 7
> > >
> > > Total 538
> > >
> > > If Bush gets Florida, but not OR & NM, he gets 270 votes,
> > > and Gore gets 268.
> > >
> > > One Bush elector defecting puts both at 269, a dead heat.
> > >
> > > Peter Trei
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> >