Imminent Death of the Internet, GIF at 11

[Perry E. Metzger]

Martin Minow writes:
> For several months (years?) Bob Metcalf has been predicting that
> the Internet will self-destruct from overload. His argument
> appears to follow one of Gordon Bell's maxims: "anyone can predict
> the future: all you need is semi-log paper and a ruler." As I
> understand it, Metcalf's argument is that network load (messages,
> packets) is growing exponentially, while network bandwidth (fiber
> capacity, switch performance) is growing linearly. At some point,
> these two curves cross -- and demand will exceed capacity.

Except for the following.

1) TCP backs off.
2) Capacity is growing exponentially.

Perry