Anon

Dale Thorn dthorn at gte.net
Fri Nov 29 09:20:44 PST 1996


Igor Chudov @ home wrote:
> Adam Shostack wrote:
> >       Could you give me a cost estimate for keeping video of the
> > last 10 minutes of 250 million lives?  This is essentially one of
> > Brin's suggestions, and it strikes me as astoundingly pricey, even if
> > you just consider the cost of cameras, fiber, switches, and vcrs, and
> > ignore the problem of deciding what tape to keep.
> >       Some back of the envelope leads me to over a trillion,
> > figuring that a second of video takes 10kb, and disk costs about
> > $50/mb.  250m cameras at $40 each, fiber connections at $400 each,
> > etc.

> That's 50 CENTS per megabyte, but actually it is twice less than that.
> My calculation (storage costs only, assume 10kb/sec/person):
> 6000KB * 0.25c/MB * 2.5E8 = 375 million.
> Good money, but not even close to your number.
> Also, storing data on optical disks is about $20/600MB, which is only
> three cents per megabyte -- ten times less than above.
> Even though this is storage media cost alone, 37.5 million surely
> sounds like a reasonable number -- it is 15 cents per person, or
> 90 cents per hour, or $22.6 per day per person. A little steep, but after
> several years this cost may decline tenfold.
> Of course my rough calculation missed a lot of important expenses.

The idea of keeping exhaustive real-time video on all persons is a straw-
man fallacy, I believe.  The real issue is to be able to serveil all or
nearly all persons simultaneously, then, using techniques that won't be
available to the general population for many years (if ever), the agencies
in question can analyze the info and narrow the more intensive aspects of
the surveillance to selected persons.







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