Using Prediction Markets to Enhance US Intelligence
https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publica... 'intelligence' in scare quotes of course anyway, I thought it was funny that cia webpages use JavaScript Intellectual Property from Facebook...
On 10/28/2017 02:35 PM, juan wrote:
https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publica...
'intelligence' in scare quotes of course
anyway, I thought it was funny that cia webpages use JavaScript Intellectual Property from Facebook...
Heh. That sounds a lot like John Poindexter's "Terrorism Futures Market" where the omnescient, infallable hand of the Free Market would predict terrorist attacks in plenty of time to prevent them. I may have been the first to point out that this scheme was a variation on Assassination Politics, and that participants would bet on and then DO terrorist attacks. Poindexter was removed from his position running DARPA over that, and some of what I wrote in my critique of the plan was still being quoted verbatim by 'mainstream pundits' a week later. :o)
On Sat, 28 Oct 2017 15:05:19 -0400 Steve Kinney <admin@pilobilus.net> wrote:
On 10/28/2017 02:35 PM, juan wrote:
https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publica...
'intelligence' in scare quotes of course
anyway, I thought it was funny that cia webpages use JavaScript Intellectual Property from Facebook...
Heh. That sounds a lot like John Poindexter's "Terrorism Futures Market" where the omnescient, infallable hand of the Free Market would predict terrorist attacks in plenty of time to prevent them. I may have been the first to point out that this scheme was a variation on Assassination Politics, and that participants would bet on and then DO terrorist attacks.
Poindexter was removed from his position running DARPA over that, and some of what I wrote in my critique of the plan was still being quoted verbatim by 'mainstream pundits' a week later.
:o)
Here's some more info on the genral topic... Historical Election Betting Markets http://www.unc.edu/~cigar/papers/PoP_submit4.pdf "Wagering was generally legal under British common law, so long as it did not to lead to immortality or impolity. Bets about the outcome of events in war, over the death of political leaders, over court cases, or between voters over election results were illegal on these grounds. 15" betting over the death of political leaders? lol...
participants (2)
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juan -
Steve Kinney