Cryptocurrency: BANK RUN PANIC Spreads Around Globe, Crypto and Gold Demand Skyrockets, FDIC Coverup
Not your keys, Not your Money... This is NOT Lebanon. This is New York. This is California. Police tell depositors asking for their money to go away. If it's not bitcoin in self custody, it's not your money. https://v.redd.it/hbnwptjqv8na1 https://i.redd.it/duums1kqjzma1.png Boston: Where's my fucking money! https://twitter.com/LawrenceLepard/status/1634275111204421632 Bill Ackman warns US gov't: Fix mistake in ‘48 hours’ or face ‘destruction’ https://cointelegraph.com/news/bill-ackman-warns-us-gov-t-fix-mistake-in-48-... FDIC caught covering up Fiat Banking scam at Board Meeting... https://fdic.windrosemedia.com/index.php?category=Systemic+Resolution+Adviso... https://onlinexperiences.com/Launch/Event/ShowKey=217894 FDIC board meeting https://www.fdic.gov/news/board-matters/2022/2022-10-18-notice-sum-c-mem.pdf Unfunded ECB tried to smash crypto... A Coinbase exec tried to tell a crowd of bankers that crypto is ‘the money of tomorrow’—and was immediately shot down by an ECB director onstage European Central Bank says Bitcoin is artificially propped up, shouldn't be legitimised Privatize the gains and socialize the losses. Calls for taxpayer-led bailout of Silicon Valley Bank. Save the whales! 🐳 https://fortune.com/2023/03/11/mark-cuban-fed-buy-silicon-valley-bank-debt-i... EPIC Failure: A month ago, CNBC's Jim Cramer said Bitcoin "Is a ticking time bomb", then a day later shills Silicon Valley Bank. Zero percent reserve gets hammered by urgent withdrawals... Banks get crushed out by bonds... https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/25/bank-stocks-reverse-higher-as-regulators-eas... https://v.redd.it/v5h2q3yb73na1 Godfrey Bloom Blasts Gov Central Banks Sovereign Debt begins to implode... UK going in for a redux... https://uk.movies.yahoo.com/were-huge-long-queues-across-170000873.html https://ginifoundation.org/kb/fiat-currency-graveyard-a-history-of-monetary-... Tens upon tens of Bank stocks tank off over 10%... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rtrTfuvtveM @ProfStOnge https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1634555021487480834 "Stay Calm" "Stablecoins" trading massively under par... Eight of the top 10 stablecoins by market cap lost their $1 peg today Coinbase pausing USDC:USD transactions over the weekend... also in other I'm sure unrelated news, the USDC has lots its peg. I'm sure everything is totally fine over there. At Coinbase. Where their stablecoin.... isn't stable. During a bank run. It's fine. Everything's fine! Bullish, even. ATM's getting smashed around the globe... Signature Bank and bag holders of its stock are still desperately pushing the narrative SBNY’s massive loss of deposits has been deliberate…even tho it started suddenly in the middle of a bank run. Binance is FTX Redux, Bank Run Seems Inevitable: Ex-SEC Lawyer Credit Suisse utterly implodes... Crypto rockets back up over 6.5%... SVB among Forbes 2023 annual ranking of America's Best Banks 4 days ago... SVB paid out massive bonuses mere hours before it imploded. SVB exec sold millions of stock before it imploded. Nigerians are destroying banks and ATMs after central bank limits withdrawals and orders citizens to turn in their cash to force eNaira CBDC adoption Brick and Mortar Banks getting vaporized... Silvergate Bank Signature Bank of New York Silicon Valley Bank Boston Private Bank Lebanon Lehman etc " Imminent collapse of USD maybe ? ;) Bankers, governments, IMF, economists, Buffet, Munger label Bitcoin and crypto risky, worthless. But we can see who is collapsing, instead. " "Why is my bank so against BTC" "Getting interrogated at my Canadian bank over a 12,000 CAD$ (8800$ USD) wire transfer. The manager smelt the money 😳" "Majestic Bank is still fully functional."
Not your keys, Not your Money...
Situation is so bad they had to call in banksters on the WEEKEND to do market crash protection, coverups, and news media confidence psyops... Crypto up over 10%, Gold up ~2%, hodlers buyout all the popcorn... SVB Latest Developments Live Blog: FDIC Auction Of Failed SVB Assets Underway https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/regulators-urged-find-silicon-valle... https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/yellen-says-government-will-help-svb-depos... https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/never-seen-over-40-years-svb-collapse-spar... https://twitter.com/CGasparino/status/1634960465607688200 As the countdown to the reopening of futures trading gets louder by the second amid episodic observations of bank runs around the US, news flow is starting to accelerate fast so this will be a placeholder post with updates until we get major news. 1:15pm Update: In a throwback to the legendary "Lehman Sunday", when dozens of credit traders did an ad hoc CDS trading and novation session on the Sunday ahead of the bank's Chapter 11 filing to minimize the chaos and fallout from the coming bankruptcy, Bloomberg reports that the FDIC kicked off an auction process late Saturday for Silicon Valley Bank, with final bids due by Sunday afternoon. The FDIC is reportedly aiming for "a swift deal" but a winner may not be known until late Sunday. Bloomberg also reported that the regulator is racing to sell assets and make a portion of clients’ uninsured deposits available as soon as Monday; the open questions are i) whether there will be a haircut and ii) how big it will be. A table from JPM's Michael Cemablest below shows historical haircuts on uninsured depositors in previous bank crises. We get a slightly more positive vibe from a Reuters report according to which "authorities are preparing "material action" on Sunday to shore up deposits in Silicon Valley Bank and stem any broader financial fallout from its sudden collapse." Details of the announcement expected on Sunday were not immediately available. One source said the Federal Reserve had acted to keep banks operating during the COVID-19 pandemic, and could take similar action now. "This will be a material action, not just words," one source said. Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that she was working with banking regulators to respond after SVB became the largest bank to fail since the 2008 financial crisis. As fears deepened of a broader fallout across the U.S. regional banking sector and beyond, Yellen said she was working to protect depositors but ruled out a bailout. "We want to make sure that the troubles that exist at one bank don't create contagion to others that are sound," Yellen told the CBS News Sunday Morning show. "During the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out ... and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again," Yellen added. Meanwhile, more than 3,500 CEOs and founders representing some 220,000 workers signed a petition started by Y Combinator appealing directly to Yellen and others to backstop depositors, warning that more than 100,000 jobs could be at risk. Reuters also reports that the FDIC was trying to find another bank willing to merge with SVB: "Some industry executives said such a deal would be sizeable for any bank and would likely require regulators to give special guarantees and make other allowances." That said, the longer we wait without some resolution the more likely it is that SVB's unsecured depositors will get pennies on the dollar, according to the following (unconfirmed) reporting from Chalie Gasparino: "Bankers increasingly pessimistic a single buyer will emerge for SVB, laying out options for clients w money in there: 1-ride it out. 2-sell deposits for around 70-80 cents on dollar to other financial players; borrow against deposits jpmorgan at 50 cents on dollar." BREAKING: Bankers increasingly pessimistic a single buyer will emerge for SVB, laying out options for clients w money in there: 1-ride it out. 2-sell deposits for around 70-80 cents on dollar to other financial players; borrow against deposits @jpmorgan at 50 cents on dollar — Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) March 12, 2023 The FDIC previously said the agency has said it will make 100% of protected deposits available on Monday, when Silicon Valley Bank branches reopen. There was also news for those whose money remains frozen at SIVB. BBG notes that tech lender Liquidity Group is planning to offer about $3 billion in emergency loans to start-up clients hit by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Liquidity has about $1.2 billion ready in cash to make available in the coming weeks, Chief Executive Officer and co-founder Ron Daniel said in an interview on Sunday. The group is also in discussions with its funding partners, including Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Apollo Global Management Inc., to offer an additional $2 billion in loans, he said. “By helping the companies to survive now, I’m hoping some of them would succeed and come back to us in the future,” Daniel said. “We’re nurturing our future clients.” A typical loan will be a one-year facility of $1 million to $10 million, or as much as 30% of the balances held with SVB, Daniel said. The priority is to help companies meet payroll expenses. The fate of other SVB-linked entities appears to be somewhat rosier. Bloomberg reports that Royal Group, an investment firm controlled by a top Abu Dhabi royal, is considering a possible takeover of the UK arm of Silicon Valley Bank following its collapse last week, according to people familiar with the matter. The conglomerate, chaired by United Arab Emirates National Security Adviser Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, is discussing a potential buy-out through one of its subsidiaries.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
"Never Seen In Over 40 Years" - SVB Collapse Sparks Bank Runs As People Wait In Lines https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/1634670618095534080 https://twitter.com/mcuban/status/1634586029331042310 https://unusualwhales.com/news/numerous-corporate-executives-sold-silicon-va... Before the collapse, executives sold shares. Gregory Becker, CEO, sold 11% on Feb 27, 2023. Michael Zucker, Counsel, 19% on Feb 5. Daniel Beck, CFO, 32% on Feb 27. Michelle Draper, CMO, 25% on Feb 1 https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2023/03/12/silicon-valley-bank-depo... https://twitter.com/SchreckReports/status/1634947746724724738 https://twitter.com/LawrenceLepard/status/1634275111204421632 https://twitter.com/marcfriedrich7/status/1634427782003343361 https://twitter.com/Dr_PhillipB/status/1634632068058722304 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1634771851514900480 https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1634662286844411904 https://twitter.com/BobEUnlimited/status/1634539450557505537 https://twitter.com/NickTimiraos/status/1634673235982680065 Thousands of companies will fold or lay people off next week because of lack of access to accounts through no fault of their own. (1) Startup Extinction Event - thousands of startups and small businesses won’t be able to make payroll and will immediately need to furlow or layoff employees if the FDIC does not release... Current List of Known Companies With Silicon Valley Bank, $SIVB, Deposits: 1. Circle: $3.3 billion 2. Roku: $487 million 3. BlockFi: $227 million 4. Roblox: $150 million 5. Ginkgo Bio: $74 million 6. iRhythm: $55 million 7. Rocket Lab: $38 million 8. Sangamo Therapeutics: $34 million Friday morning's seizure of Silicon Valley Bank by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) underscores the banking sector's vulnerability, exposing the Federal Reserve's lack of foresight in combating inflation through aggressive interest rate hikes that have caused regional banks to crumble. As venture capitalists and others with inside knowledge panicked and withdrew a staggering $42 billion in deposits before SVB's collapse, an old-fashioned bank run reminiscent of the one in the classic 1946 film "It's a Wonderful Life" has ensued, involving ordinary people. Let's go down memory lane and revisit the bank run scene from the movie. The velocity at which elite investors and depositors removed $42 billion from SVB on Thursday is truly impressive, causing the most significant US bank failure since the financial crisis just one day later. Unfortunately, small banking clients had insufficient time to withdraw their funds, leaving their unsecured deposits likely lost, and the FDIC only provides protection for deposits of up to $250,000. This is what a digital era bank run looks like https://t.co/s7Ex17Dk84 — Ben Schreckinger (@SchreckReports) March 12, 2023 On Saturday, just like the bank run scene from It's a Wonderful Life, images and videos surfaced on social media of people lined up outside SVB branches and other SVB-exposed banks, trying to panic-withdraw as much money as they could. Shades of 1930’s. This is my bank in Wellesley this morning. Boston Private Bank, recently acquired by Silicon Valley Bank. Ruh, roh. pic.twitter.com/MAD46ozShx — Lawrence Lepard, "fix the money, fix the world" (@LawrenceLepard) March 10, 2023 Bankrun in the US #SVB pic.twitter.com/HbMmR2dLge — marc friedrich (@marcfriedrich7) March 11, 2023 I’ve never seen a bank run in Brentwood Los Angeles in over 40 years — this is at first republic bank branch. People standing in rain pic.twitter.com/k31PqqpyO3 — pjb.eth (@Dr_PhillipB) March 11, 2023 On Sunday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said banking regulators are working to resolve failed SVB with a focus on depositors but didn't elaborate on details. Yellen told CBS's "Face the Nation" that despite SVB's collapse, the US banking system remains safe, well-capitalized, and resilient. She said officials are "working to address this situation in a timely way." Meanwhile, as Jason Calacanis writes, this might be the beginning. ON MONDAY 100,000 AMERICANS WILL BE LINED UP AT THEIR REGIONAL BANK DEMANDING THEIR MONEY — MOST WILL NOT GET IT THIS WENT FROM SILICON VALLEY INSIDERS ON THURSDAY TO THE MIDDLE CLASS ON SATURDAY — MAIN STREET FINDS OUT MONDAY — @jason (@Jason) March 12, 2023 The question we posted yesterday to premium subs: "Was Silicon Valley Bank Really Unique, And Who Is Next." And while all US banks parked some part of their money in Treasuries and other bonds that dropped in value last year thanks to the Fed's fastest rate hiking campaign since Volcker, SVB took it to an entirely new level: as Bloomberg notes, SIVB's investment portfolio swelled to 57% of its total assets. As the chart below shows, no other competitor among 74 major US banks had more than 42%. As fear spreads this weekend, even more people will likely be lining up in front of these regional banks on Monday morning. ... and Monday it is. From a source I trust: @SVB_Financial depositors will get ~50% on Mon/Tues and the balance based on realized value over the next 3-6 months. If this proves true, I expect there will be bank runs beginning Monday am at a large number of non-SIB banks. No company will take even a… https://t.co/2BoqtCDKJt — Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) March 11, 2023 Chris Bakke @ChrisJBakke This is it, folks. Absolutely insane lines today. Unprecedented run on Starbucks points. Saw several people redeeming their points for free coffees. One man redeemed for TWO breakfast sandwiches. Manager said they may run out of sandwiches today.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
When, just like Biden Democrat appointees 1000's over the US nation, your Democrat Banksters are Preoccupied with Gay Tranny Sex, and other left-woke-socialist-politicial ideologies... quit them, hard, and run to the safe sane and sound money of Crypto and Gold... History proves such ideologies collapse into ruin time and again throughout world... Fatal Distraction? Senior SVB Risk Manager Oversaw Woke LGBT Programs https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11848705/Woke-head-risk-assessment-... https://www.svb.com/globalassets/library/uploadedfiles/dei-at-svb-january-20... https://www.svb.com/globalassets/library/uploadedfiles/diversity-equity-and-... https://nypost.com/2023/03/11/silicon-valley-bank-pushed-woke-programs-ahead... https://www.foxnews.com/media/home-depot-co-founder-torches-woke-silicon-val... While Silicon Valley Bank careened toward its spectacular collapse, the bank's head of risk management for Europe, Africa and the Middle East devoted a chunk of her time to various LGBTQ+ programs. Meanwhile, SVB went without a chief risk officer (CRO) from April 2022 to January 2023, the Daily Mail reports, as the bank apparently had little urgency to replace Laura Izurieta before finally tapping Kim Olson earlier this year. On the other hand, a few months before that long CRO vacancy began, SVB boasted, "We have a Chief Diversity, Equity and Inclusion Officer, an executive-led DEI Steering Committee and Employee Resource Groups with executive sponsors focused on these objectives." An excerpt from a "Diversity, Equity and Inclusion" brochure SVB published 14 months before it imploded As SVB's CRO office stood vacant in Santa Clara, Jay Ersapah -- a self-described "queer person of color from a working-class background" -- was splitting her time between risk management and an assortment of woke programs, as she co-chaired SVB's "European LGBTQIA+ Employee Resource Group." For example, at the same time she was responsible for managing risks associated with SVB's European, African and Middle Eastern portfolios, Ersapah oversaw a month-long Pride campaign. According to her bio on a professional networking site, Ersapah also "was instrumental in initiating the [SVB's] first ever global 'safe space catch-up,' supporting employees in sharing their experiences of coming out" as something other than heterosexual. Ersapah, whose job history on LinkedIn lists roles at Citi, Barclays and Deloitte, also devoted some of her SVB time to writing articles promoting "Lesbian Visibility Day" and "Trans Awareness Week," the Daily Mail reports. Risk management executive Jay Ersapah ran an SVB program urging non-straight employees to share their "coming out" experiences (SVB via Daily Mail) "I feel privileged to help spread awareness of lived queer experiences, partner with charitable organizations, and above all create a sense of community for our LGBTQ+ employees and allies," Ersapah said in SVB materials. Embracing a broader woke agenda that eschews underwriting purely based on business fundamentals, a 16-page, January 2022 DEI brochure touted an SVB program "focused on increasing representation and funding for women, Black and Latinx founders, investors and professionals in the innovation economy." Surveying SVB's wreckage in a Saturday Fox Business News interview, Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus decried DEI's destructive influence: "I think that the system, that the administration has pushed many of these banks into [being] more concerned about global warming than they do about shareholder return. And these banks are badly run because everybody is focused on diversity and all of the woke issues and not concentrating on the one thing they should, which is shareholder returns." "I feel bad for all of these people that lost all their money in this woke bank. You know, it was more distressing to hear that the bank officials sold off their stock before this happened. It's depressing to me. Who knows whether the Justice Department would go after them? They're a woke company, so I guess not. And they'll probably get away with it." "The phrase ‘you can’t be what you can’t see’ resonates with me," the multi-tasking Ersapah said in another of SVB's multiple DEI brochures. Unfortunately, devoting so much attention to leftist DEI programming helped blind Ersapah and SVB to the bank's impending doom.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
US small, regional, internet banks down ~20-30% / 52wkhi US large banks and financials down ~15-20% / 52wkhi "This Should Scare The Hell Out Of Bankers & Regulators Worldwide" https://www.ft.com/content/b556badb-8e98-42fa-b88e-6e7e0ca758b8 https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1634885127179325440 https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1634329593124618240 https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1634329594328391680
From "everyday joes" to the corporate CFOs, men, women, and others, are frantically battling a prisoner's dilemma about their banking relationship this weekend: "I’m fine if they don’t draw their money, and they’re fine if I don’t draw mine..."
But, given the lines outside banks and less than reassuring sentiment from Washington, we suspect it is too late and the that dilemma is over - now it's every man, woman, and child for themselves. As The FT report on one CFOs decision-tree: “I got a text from another friend - he was definitely moving his money to JPMorgan. It was happening,” the finance chief said. “The social contract that we might have collectively had was too fragile. I called our CEO and we wired 97 per cent of our deposits to HSBC by midday on Thursday.” And as explained below, the new normal 'bank run' is instant, huge, and devastating. Given that there are many 'bad' (read: biased and/or uninformed) takes on the situation at SVB, Bianco Research's founder and President, Jim Bianco, tried to clarify in a brief Twitter thread: This is not a solvency crisis like 2008. Bad loans or poor investments were not made. Money was not lost. So, everyone is going to get their money back. (And please no takes about no interest rate hedging. Asset/liability mismatches are how banking works.) [We agree broadly but do worry, as we detailed on Thursday, about the CRE/office exposure overhang on small banks and how higher rates will actually translate to actual loan losses, not just HTM "temporary" losses.] Instead this is an old fashion 1930s liquidity crisis. Too many depositors demanded cash at once (as in right now) and SVB (and SI) could not convert loans and securities (and crypto) to cash that quickly. So, everyone is getting their money back from SVB (and SI), just not at 8AM Monday. And, yes this is a big problem as this is working capital for a lot of companies. They have payrolls to meet and vendors to pay next week. And if they don’t pay bills and employees, they in turn don’t pay their bills and this can quickly cascade into a major economic problem. The important question is why so many demanded their money back at once. And I’m not referring to the last two days. I’m asking about the days/weeks leading up to this last two days forcing SVB to sell securities and realize a $1.8B loss, necessitating a capital raise. Why were depositors withdrawing in big enough amounts before Thursday/Friday? First, welcome to the world of mobile banking. Gone are the frictions of standing in line with tellers instructed to count money slowly. (Media images of lines Friday were largely gawkers) Question: How did $42 billion get withdrawn Friday alone without thousands in line? Answer: your phone! This is not the Bailey Savings and Loan anymore. This should scare the hell of bankers and regulators worldwide. The entire $17 trillion deposit base is now on a hair trigger expecting instant liquidity. Add in social media and millions get a message, like Peter Thiel telling Founders companies to pull out, or Senator Warren gloating that SI went under, and pick up their phone open a Chase account and Venmo-ed their life savings into it in 10 minutes. [Once SI died, Warren's dancing on its grave started the dominos falling...] Instant liquidity (not solvency) crisis with everyone still in bed. Banking will never be the same. The second, and I did a long thread on this on Friday... banks are over-reserved, after 14 years of QE, and are still paying 0.50% on accounts when T-bills are yielding 5.00%. They don’t need to compete for deposits. 2/14 Over the past year, banks kept rates on checking/saving accounts extremely low compared to MM funds. The avg yield on a MM (blue) reached as high as 4.43% recently, while bank rates (orange) remained at just 0.48%. The gap was almost 4% (red). pic.twitter.com/96PwaEpsrx — Jim Bianco biancoresearch.eth (@biancoresearch) March 10, 2023 Initially as rates passed 2%, 3% and 4%, the public did not notice. So bankers thought deposits were well anchored at their bank and not moving regardless of the interest rate paid. But at 5% the public finally noticed, and millions reached for the phone at once and transferred to a money market account or Treasury direct to buy T-bills. Banks were squeezed to convert loans and securities to cash instantly so depositors could leave for better rates. Add in the bleed out from tech firms struggling, and Senator Warrens tweeting with glee about SI going out of business, and depositors at SVB got the message and picked up their phones and acted. This is why I have been tweeting that this has to stop now. The Fed is meeting Monday at 11:30. Too late! They need to meet today (Sunday) at 11:30. What needs to be done? Two things. The FDIC needs to raise the deposit insurance ceiling to unlimited as they did this in 2008. Besides $250k is a made up number anyway. So make up a bigger number. Banks need to get their deposit base to stop figuring out how to buy a 4.5% money market fund. They need to raise the interest rates they pay 3.00% - 3.50%, from 0.50%, immediately. Yes, this will kill bank profitability so expect Bank Execs to balk at doing this. This way the public gets the message that you money is safe, no matter the bank, or the amount, and the rate paid on your money is at least competitive with other alternatives. Otherwise, if they do nothing and wait for the Fed to START a meeting at 11:30 Monday, hundreds of billions of deposits will have moved by phone and it will be far worse.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
Crypto rockets up another 3% to +13%, Gold and Cmd 1.2%, Yields -5%... SVB Latest Developments Live Blog: Fed Weighs "Easing Access" To Discount Window To Avoid Bank Panic https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2023/03/12/silicon-valley-bank-depo... https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/regulators-urged-find-silicon-valle... https://twitter.com/CGasparino/status/1634960465607688200 As the countdown to the reopening of futures trading gets louder by the second amid episodic observations of bank runs around the US, news flow is starting to accelerate fast so this will be a placeholder post with updates until we get major news. 4:30pm ET Update: It's getting to the point where every new "proposal" or "idea" being thrown about is worse than the previous one (or maybe this is just how the clueless LGBTQ equity-focused Fed is doing trial balloons on a Sunday afternoon. Shortly after the WaPo reported that the Fed is "seriously considering safeguarding all uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank", BBG is out with a report that the Federal Reserve is also "considering easing the terms of banks’ access to its discount window, giving firms a way to turn assets that have lost value into cash without the kind of losses that toppled SVB Financial Group." Such a move would increase the ability of banks to keep up with demands from depositors to withdraw, without having to book losses by selling bonds and other assets that have deteriorated in value amid interest-rate increases — the dynamic that caused SVB to collapse on Friday. The report goes on to note that as many had expected, some banks began drawing on the discount window Friday, seeking to shore up liquidity after authorities seized SVB’s Silicon Valley Bank, which is precisely why it is bizarre that this is even news: after all, the Discount Window has always been opened, and the fact that banks hate to use it has nothing to do with "ease of access" and all to do with the stigma of being associated with the discount window. Just recall how banks that were revealed to have used the discount window around Lehman's failure saw accelerating bank runs. Or maybe the Fed's thinking goes that while it would be too late to save SIVB, other banks would somehow boost confidence of their depositors by yelling from the rooftops: "Hey, look at us, we are well capitalized: we just borrowed $X billion from the Fed's Discount Window." Needless to say, the mere rumor that regional bank XYZ has been forced to access this "last ditch" funding facility will result in all its depositors fleeing, which is why we once again ask: after "fixing" Ukraine's Burisma, is that polymath genius Hunter Biden now in charge of US bank bailout policy? "Hey, let's stuff all the regional banks into the stigmatizing facility that accelerated the global financial crisis" - Hunter Biden https://t.co/HM2PBiztDG — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 12, 2023 3:00pm ET Update: In a reversal of what Janet Yellen said just hours ago, WaPo reports that federal authorities are "seriously considering safeguarding all uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank" - and by extension any other bank on the verge of failure - and are weighing an extraordinary intervention to prevent what they fear would be a panic in the U.S. financial system. Translation: bailout of all depositors, not just those guaranteed by the the FDIC (<$250K). Officials at the Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation discussed the idea this weekend, the people said, with only hours to go before financial markets opened in Asia. White House officials have also studied the idea, per two separate people familiar with those discussions. The plan would be among the potential policy responses if the government is unable to find a buyer for the failed bank. While selling SVB to a healthy institution remains the preferred solution - as most bank failures are resolved that way and enable depositors to avoid losing any money - there have been several reports that no big bank has stepped up as of yet, leaving the government/Fed as the only option. As reported earlier, the FDIC began an auction process for SVB on Saturday and hoped to identify a winning bidder Sunday afternoon, with final bids due at 2 p.m. ET. Some more from the WaPo report: Although the FDIC insures bank deposits up to $250,000, a provision in federal banking law may give them the authority to protect the uninsured deposits as well if they conclude that failing to do so would pose a systemic risk to the broader financial system, the people said. In that event, uninsured deposits could be backstopped by an insurance fund, paid into regularly by U.S. banks. Before that happens, the systemic risk verdict must be endorsed by a two-thirds vote of the Fed's Board of Governors and the FDIC board along with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. No final decision has been made, but the deliberations reflect concern over the collateral damage from SVB's collapse and authorities' struggle to respond amid limits on their powers implemented following the 2008 financial bailouts. "We've been hearing from those depositors and other concerned people this weekend. So let me say that I've been working all weekend with our banking regulators to design appropriate policies to address this situation," Yellen said on the CBS program "Face the Nation." But more importantly, the WaPo report contradicts what Yellen said just a few hours earlier, namely that "during the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out . . . and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again,” This suggests that in just a few short hours, officials and regulators peaked behind the scenes and realized just how bad a potential bad crisis could be and have made a 1800 degree U turn. The result: any erroneous higherer for longerer narrative spewed by some self-appointed experts has just blown up, and what is about to be unleashed is another vast liquidity wave, something that bitcoin clearly is starting to anticipate. 1:15pm ET Update: In a throwback to the legendary "Lehman Sunday", when dozens of credit traders did an ad hoc CDS trading and novation session on the Sunday ahead of the bank's Chapter 11 filing to minimize the chaos and fallout from the coming bankruptcy, Bloomberg reports that the FDIC kicked off an auction process late Saturday for Silicon Valley Bank, with final bids due by Sunday afternoon. The FDIC is reportedly aiming for "a swift deal" but a winner may not be known until late Sunday. Bloomberg also reported that the regulator is racing to sell assets and make a portion of clients’ uninsured deposits available as soon as Monday; the open questions are i) whether there will be a haircut and ii) how big it will be. A table from JPM's Michael Cemablest below shows historical haircuts on uninsured depositors in previous bank crises. We get a slightly more positive vibe from a Reuters report according to which "authorities are preparing "material action" on Sunday to shore up deposits in Silicon Valley Bank and stem any broader financial fallout from its sudden collapse." Details of the announcement expected on Sunday were not immediately available. One source said the Federal Reserve had acted to keep banks operating during the COVID-19 pandemic, and could take similar action now. "This will be a material action, not just words," one source said. Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that she was working with banking regulators to respond after SVB became the largest bank to fail since the 2008 financial crisis. As fears deepened of a broader fallout across the U.S. regional banking sector and beyond, Yellen said she was working to protect depositors but ruled out a bailout. "We want to make sure that the troubles that exist at one bank don't create contagion to others that are sound," Yellen told the CBS News Sunday Morning show. "During the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out ... and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again," Yellen added. Meanwhile, more than 3,500 CEOs and founders representing some 220,000 workers signed a petition started by Y Combinator appealing directly to Yellen and others to backstop depositors, warning that more than 100,000 jobs could be at risk. Reuters also reports that the FDIC was trying to find another bank willing to merge with SVB: "Some industry executives said such a deal would be sizeable for any bank and would likely require regulators to give special guarantees and make other allowances." That said, the longer we wait without some resolution the more likely it is that SVB's unsecured depositors will get pennies on the dollar, according to the following (unconfirmed) reporting from Chalie Gasparino: "Bankers increasingly pessimistic a single buyer will emerge for SVB, laying out options for clients w money in there: 1-ride it out. 2-sell deposits for around 70-80 cents on dollar to other financial players; borrow against deposits jpmorgan at 50 cents on dollar." BREAKING: Bankers increasingly pessimistic a single buyer will emerge for SVB, laying out options for clients w money in there: 1-ride it out. 2-sell deposits for around 70-80 cents on dollar to other financial players; borrow against deposits @jpmorgan at 50 cents on dollar — Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) March 12, 2023 The FDIC previously said the agency has said it will make 100% of protected deposits available on Monday, when Silicon Valley Bank branches reopen. There was also news for those whose money remains frozen at SIVB. BBG notes that tech lender Liquidity Group is planning to offer about $3 billion in emergency loans to start-up clients hit by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Liquidity has about $1.2 billion ready in cash to make available in the coming weeks, Chief Executive Officer and co-founder Ron Daniel said in an interview on Sunday. The group is also in discussions with its funding partners, including Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Apollo Global Management Inc., to offer an additional $2 billion in loans, he said. “By helping the companies to survive now, I’m hoping some of them would succeed and come back to us in the future,” Daniel said. “We’re nurturing our future clients.” A typical loan will be a one-year facility of $1 million to $10 million, or as much as 30% of the balances held with SVB, Daniel said. The priority is to help companies meet payroll expenses. The fate of other SVB-linked entities appears to be somewhat rosier. Bloomberg reports that Royal Group, an investment firm controlled by a top Abu Dhabi royal, is considering a possible takeover of the UK arm of Silicon Valley Bank following its collapse last week, according to people familiar with the matter. The conglomerate, chaired by United Arab Emirates National Security Adviser Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, is discussing a potential buy-out through one of its subsidiaries.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
Yellen Says Government Will Help SVB Depositors But "No Bailout" As Fed, FDIC "Hope" Talk Of Special Vehicle Prevents More Bank Runs https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-12/us-discusses-fund-to-back... With just hours left until futures open for trading late on Sunday afternoon, the situation remains extremely fluid and for now it appears that regulators, central bankers and treasury officials (we won't mention the White House where the most competent financial advisor is Hunter Biden) still don't have a clear idea of how they will coordinate or respond. Take Janet Yellen, who said on Sunday morning that the US government was working closely with banking regulators to help depositors at Silicon Valley Bank but dismissed the idea of a bailout. Speaking with CBS on Sunday, the treasury secretary sought to assure US customers of the failed tech lender that policies were being discussed to stem the fallout from the sudden collapse this week. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporate (FDIC) took control of the bank on Friday morning. “Let me be clear that during the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out . . . and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again,” Yellen said (oh but you will, you just don't know it yet). “But we are concerned about depositors, and we’re focused on trying to meet their needs.” It wasn't clear which depositors she meant: as we first pointed out on Friday, out of SIVB’s $173 billion of customer deposits at the end of 2022, $152 billion were uninsured (i.e., over the $250,000 FDIC insurance threshold) and only $4.8 billion were fully insured. As we also noted last week, a further look at SIVB funding (pie charts) shows unusually high reliance on corporate/VC funding; only the small red private bank slice looks like traditional retail deposits to us. As a result, as JPM's Michael Cembalest says "It’s fair to ask about the underwriting discipline of VC firms that put most of their liquidity in a single bank with this kind of risk profile. At the end of 2022, SIVB only offered 0.60% more on deposits than its peers as compensation for the risks illustrated below; in 2021 this premium was 0.04%". Meanwhile, late last night, Bloomberg reported that the FDIC and the Fed are "weighing creating a fund that would allow regulators to backstop more deposits at banks that run into trouble following Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse." According to the report which cites people familiar with the matter, "regulators discussed the new special vehicle in conversations with banking executives." And here the punchline: The hope is that setting up such a vehicle would reassure depositors and help contain any panic, said the people. They asked not to be identified because the talks weren’t public. Well, needless to say, any time one mentions "hope" as a wise macroprudential policy, alarms go off, because the entire banking system suddenly becomes reduced to a game of chicken as follows: Fed/regulators won't backstop deposits today and won't admit a bank crisis is emerging, but if a bank crisis emerges and there is a flight of deposits on Monday morning, they will move. But then it will be far too late as once a bank run has started it is virtually impossible to stop it under controlled circumstances and is why the number one prerogative for regulators is to avoid just this kind of outcome, which is catastrophic for a fractional reserve system that is entirely based on confidence, and where available "demand money" is merely a fraction of the $18 trillion in deposits, far more than the $2.2 trillion in circulating currency. Furthermore, a quick look at historical unsecured depositor impairment numbers show that losses imposed on uninsured depositors range between 6% and 65%: huge numbers in today's context even assuming that banks are mostly solvent (which they likely won't be once the commercial real estate crisis hurricane hits). Meanwhile, as Jason Calacanis writes, this is just the beginning. ON MONDAY 100,000 AMERICANS WILL BE LINED UP AT THEIR REGIONAL BANK DEMANDING THEIR MONEY — MOST WILL NOT GET IT THIS WENT FROM SILICON VALLEY INSIDERS ON THURSDAY TO THE MIDDLE CLASS ON SATURDAY — MAIN STREET FINDS OUT MONDAY — @jason (@Jason) March 12, 2023 And while he may be conflicted - he certainly has some material losses as a result of the SVB failure - one look at what is already taking place at some smaller, vulnerable banks such as this First Republic Branch in Brentwood should be sufficient to see what comes tomorrow if the Fed makes the wrong decision today. I’ve never seen a bank run in Brentwood Los Angeles in over 40 years — this is at first republic bank branch. People standing in rain pic.twitter.com/k31PqqpyO3 — pjb.eth (@Dr_PhillipB) March 11, 2023 The flipside to all this is that the longer the Fed waits to assure depositors - even uninsured depositors - that they are safe, the more firepower (bailout funds, TARP 2.0, rate cuts, QE) it will have to deploy much sooner than anyone previously expected as the crisis spirals out of control.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
The Collapse Of SVB Portends Real Dangers Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times, https://www.theepochtimes.com/the-collapse-of-svb-portends-real-dangers_5115... Thus far in this 3-year fiasco of mismanagement and corruption, we’ve avoided a financial crisis. That’s for specific reasons. We just had not traveled there in the trajectory of the inevitable. Are we there yet? Maybe. In any case, the speed of change is accelerating. All that awaits is to observe the extent of the contagion. The failure of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), $212 billion in assets until only recently, is a huge mess and a possible foreshadowing. Its fixed-rate bond holdings declined rapidly in market valuation due to changed market conditions. Its portfolio crashed further due to a depositor run. And it all happened in less than a few days. It’s all an extension of Fed policy to curb inflation, reversing a 13-year zero-rate policy. This of course pushed up rates in the middle and right side of the yield curve, devaluing existing bond holdings locked into older rate patterns. Investors noticed and then depositors too. The high-flying institution that specialized in providing liquidity in industries that have lost their luster suddenly found itself very vulnerable. In addition, the bank was exposed with a portfolio of collateralized mortgage obligations and mortgage-backed securities. But with rates rising, those are coming under stress too as high leverage in housing and real estate become untenable amidst falling valuations. Borrowers are finding themselves under water and that in turn adds to stress on lenders. And where did SVB, and the entire banking industry, get the funds to bulk up their portfolios with such debt holdings? You guessed it: stimulus payments. Billions flooded in and it had to be parked somewhere making some return. At the time it seemed like a good deal, until Fed policy changed. A house of cards comes to mind. But perhaps a better metaphor is a game of billiards in which every move introduces a cascade of new issues. Lockdowns prompted immense government spending which produced debt that was quickly monetized and eventually caused inflation, prompting the Fed to reverse course with the largest/fastest rate increases in history. This destabilized (or restabilized) production structures away from the right side of the yield curve toward the left, shifting capital in search of return to the consumer-goods sector. Labor has begun to follow, thus creating a surplus of resources in information tech and a shortage in retails. It was always naïve to think that this shift would take place without touching the banking institutions that shoveled leverage in the direction of industries that thrived during lockdowns but are cutting back massively now. These banks are exposed in speculative ventures from which capital is fleeing. Their asset portfolios were tied, as usual, to a continuation of the status quo that stopped continuing, so investors and depositors are fleeing to safety. Could the Fed have anticipated this? Probably. But what choice did it have? Again, this entire mess traces first to lockdowns and second to Ben Bernanke’s preposterous policies as Fed Chair in 2008. He imagined that he would fix a financial crisis by abolishing a natural force like interest rates on bonds. Then he pulled a fancy trick of keeping his “quantitative easing” off the streets by having the Fed pay more for deposits than the same money could earn in markets. What was the problem? The problem was that capital is never still. It is always on the hunt for return. It found it in Big Tech and internet media, bolstered by seemingly infinite resources for advertising and hiring. This further caused an absolute gutting of normal rates of saving simply because there was no money in it. This situation persisted for a good 13 years. Jerome Powell took over the Fed with the determination to put an end to the nonsense. He hoped for a soft landing. But then came the pandemic lockdowns. He was called upon to provide funding for the idiocy of a panicked Congress that spent many trillions as fast as possible, which only perpetuated lockdowns. Everything seemed fine for a while, as it always does, but by January 2021, the bill came due in the form of roaring price inflation. The Fed had to reverse course dramatically. Starting at zero, it had to get federal funds rates to equal or exceed price increases (the terminal rate). It is not there yet so it has no choice but to barrel ahead. The rate increases of course drew capital out of the industries that thrived over the lockdown period and back to retail and consumer goods. But meanwhile, the yield curve responded, as it must. From 30 days to 30 years, every bond offering was repriced, causing institutions holding old bonds to look like chumps. This is where SVB found itself, with a suddenly declining market valuation. The coup de grâce was depositor behavior. In the search for safety, cash has found the return on short-term Treasuries far more attractive than speculative ventures. The flight to safety doomed the bank and its many partners in the financial industry. It’s a huge wake-up call for the whole of markets. No one in the industry is sitting comfortably today. My concern here is that people will look at all these disasters in isolation. They are not isolated. They trace to the catastrophic decision in 2020 to lock down and fund those policies with money that did not exist until it was created. That decision doomed the Fed’s plans to unravel its previous stupid policies and thus set us on the course toward calamity. At this point, I’m sorry to report, no one is in a position to stop anything. Markets can be ferocious under these conditions. Markets are not all knowing but once they lose trust, there is no stopping the stampede of incredulity. There is no one at the Fed who can stop it and no wise managers at the top who can patch things up. Take note of the collapse of bank stocks only hours after regulators took over SVB. My friends, we could be in for a wild ride. Stay safe.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
Crypto +14% and rising... Home Depot Founder Tells Americans To "Wake Up" After Silicon Valley Bank Collapse https://www.theepochtimes.com/home-depot-founder-asks-americans-to-wake-up-a... https://www.foxnews.com/media/home-depot-co-founder-torches-woke-silicon-val... https://www.theepochtimes.com/silicon-valley-bank-fails-fdic-steps-in-to-pro... https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/silicon-valley-bank-commits-to-$5-bill... https://twitter.com/NikkiHaley/status/1634747902319906816 https://twitter.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1634672334656225281 Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus asked Americans to “wake up” to the reality that the U.S. economy is in “tough times,” following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). “I can’t wait for [President Joe] Biden to get on the speech again and talk about how great the economy is and how it’s moving forward and getting stronger by the day. And this is an indication that whatever he says is not true,” Marcus told Fox News on March 11. Marcus added, “And maybe the American people will finally wake up and understand that we’re living in very tough times, that, in fact, that a recession may have already started. Who knows? But it doesn’t look good.” Silicon Valley Bank, the nation’s 16th largest bank with about $209 billion in total assets, collapsed on March 10, after depositors rushed to withdraw money over concerns of the bank’s solvency. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has now assumed control of the bank. The collapse of the California bank was the second biggest bank failure in U.S. history since Washington Mutual during the 2008 financial crisis. On Saturday, a White House statement said Biden has spoken to California Gov. Gavin Newsom on the bank’s failure. Newsom also issued a statement saying he had been in touch with “the highest levels of leadership at the White House and Treasury.” ‘Woke’ Marcus attributed the bank’s failure to its decisions to adopt “woke” policies. “I feel bad for all of these people that lost all their money in this woke bank. You know, it was more distressing to hear that the bank officials sold off their stock before this happened. It’s depressing to me,” Marcus said. “Who knows whether the Justice Department would go after them? They’re a woke company, so I guess not. And they’ll probably get away with it.” According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Greg Becker, CEO of Silicon Valley Bank, sold 12,451 shares of the bank’s parent company SVB Financial Group on Feb. 27. SVB announced in January 2022 that it was committed to providing at least $5 billion in loans, investments, and other financings by 2027, to support companies “that are working to decarbonize the energy and infrastructure industries and hasten the transition to a sustainable, net zero emissions economy.” Marcus blamed the Biden administration for pushing banks and companies into being “more concerned about global warming” than shareholder returns. “These banks are badly run because everybody is focused on diversity and all of the woke issues and not concentrating on the one thing they should, which is shareholder returns,” he said. “Instead of protecting the shareholders and their employees, they are more concerned about the social policies. And I think it’s probably a badly run bank. “They’ve been there for a lot of years. It’s pathetic that so many people lost money that won’t get it back.” Responses Several California lawmakers have shared their concerns about the bank’s failure on Twitter. “If regulators do not act quickly, the Silicon Valley Bank collapse will have widespread ramifications for small businesses, start-ups, and nonprofits trying to make payroll–as well as on our broader economy,” Sen. Alex Padilla (D-Calif.) wrote. Padilla added that he had been in contact with officials from the administration and the Treasury Department to ensure a quick resolution. “Deeply troubled by SVB’s collapse & uncertainty it’s caused. I’m hearing from workers in my district concerned when they’ll be paid & if they’ll be laid off,” Rep. Josh Harder (D-Calif.) wrote. “Regulators must give urgent clarity to depositors to prevent panic. Vigorous action is needed to protect account holders.” Republican presidential hopefuls—Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy—both said on Twitter that a bailout is not the resolution. “Taxpayers should absolutely not bail out Silicon Valley Bank,” Haley wrote. “Private investors can purchase the bank and its assets. It is not the responsibility of the American taxpayer to step in.” The former South Carolina governor added, “The era of big government and corporate bailouts must end.” “The right answer isn’t a bailout. It’s to get the government out of the way and let another bank acquire SVB if that’s what they actually want to do,” Ramaswamy wrote. Ramaswamy, a biotechnology entrepreneur, is the author of “Woke, Inc.: Inside Corporate America’s Social Justice Scam.”
Not your keys, Not your Money...
Silicon Valley Bank Followed Exactly What Regulation Recommended Daniel Lacalle The second largest collapse of a bank in recent history could have been prevented. Now, the impact is too large, and the contagion risk is difficult to measure. The demise of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is a classic bank run driven by a liquidity event, but the important lesson for everyone is that the enormity of the unrealized losses and financial hole in the bank’s accounts would have not existed if it were not for ultra-loose monetary policy. Let us explain why. As of December 31, 2022, Silicon Valley Bank had approximately $209.0 billion in total assets and about $175.4 billion in total deposits, according to their public accounts. Their top shareholders are Vanguard Group (11.3%), BlackRock (8.1%), StateStreet (5.2%) and the Swedish pension fund Alecta (4.5%). The incredible growth and success of SVB could not have happened without negative rates, ultra-loose monetary policy, and the tech bubble that burst in 2022. Furthermore, the bank’s liquidity event could not have happened without the regulatory and monetary policy incentives to accumulate sovereign debt and mortgage-backed securities. The asset base of Silicon SVB read like the clearest example of the old mantra: “Don’t fight the Fed”. SVB made one big mistake: Follow exactly the incentives created by loose monetary policy and regulation. What happened in 2021? Massive success that, unfortunately, was also the first step to its demise. The bank’s deposits nearly doubled with the tech boom. Everyone wanted a piece of the unstoppable new tech paradigm. SVB’s assets also rose and almost doubled. The bank’s assets rose in value. More than 40% were long-dated Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The rest were seemingly world-conquering new tech and venture capital investments. Most of those “low risk” bonds and securities were held to maturity. They were following the mainstream rulebook: Low-risk assets to balance the risk in venture capital investments. When the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, they must have been shocked. The entire asset base of SVB was one single bet: Low rates and quantitative easing for longer. Tech valuations soared in the period of loose monetary policy and the best way to hedge that risk was with Treasuries and MBS. Why would they bet on anything else? This is what the Fed was buying in billions every month, these were the lowest risk assets according to all regulations and, according to the Fed and all mainstream economists, inflation was purely “transitory”, a base-effect anecdote. What could go wrong? Inflation was not transitory and easy money was not endless. Rate hikes happened. And they caught the bank suffering massive losses everywhere. Goodbye bonds and MBS price. Goodbye tech “new paradigm” valuations. And hello panic. A good old bank run, despite the strong recovery of the SVB shares in January. Mark-to-market unrealized losses of $15 billion were almost 100% of the market capitalization of the bank. Wipe out. As the famous episode of South Park said: “…Aaaaand it’s gone”. SVB showed how quickly the capital of a bank can dissolve in front of our eyes. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) will step in, but it is not enough because only 3% of the deposits of SVB were less than $250,000. According to Time Magazine, more than 85% of Silicon Valley’s Bank’s deposits were not insured. It is worse. One third of U.S. deposits are in small banks and around half are uninsured, according to Bloomberg. Depositors at SVB will likely lose most of their money and this will also create significant uncertainty in other entities. SVB was the poster boy of banking management by the book. They followed a conservative policy of adding the safest assets -long-dated Treasury bills- as deposits soared. SVB did exactly what those that blamed the 2008 crisis on “de-regulation” recommended. SVB was a boring and conservative bank that invested the rising deposits in sovereign bonds and mortgage-backed securities and believed that inflation was transitory as everyone except us, the crazy minority, repeated. SVB did nothing but follow regulation and monetary policy incentives and Keynesian economists’ recommendations point by point. SVB was the epitome of mainstream economic thinking. And mainstream killed the tech star. Many will now blame greed, capitalism and lack of regulation but guess what? More regulation would have done nothing because regulation and policy incentivize adding these “low risk” assets. Furthermore, regulation and monetary policy are directly responsible for the tech bubble. The increasingly elevated valuations of non-profitable tech and the allegedly unstoppable flow of capital to fund innovation and green investments would never have happened without negative real rates, and massive liquidity injections. In the case of SVB, its phenomenal growth in 2021 is a direct consequence of the insane monetary policy implemented in 2020, when the major central banks increased their balance sheet to $20 trillion as if nothing would happen. SVB is a casualty of the narrative that money printing does not cause inflation and can continue forever. They embraced it wholeheartedly, and now they are gone. SVB invested in the entire bubble of everything: Sovereign bonds, MBS and tech. Did they do it because they were stupid or reckless? No. They did it because they perceived that there was exceptionally low to no risk in those assets. No bank accumulates risk in an asset they believe has considerable risk. The only way in which a bank accumulates risk is if they perceive that there is none. Why do they perceive it? Because the government, regulators, central bank, and the experts tell them so. Who will be next? Many will blame everything except the perverse incentives and bubbles created by monetary policy and regulation and will demand rate cuts and quantitative easing to solve the problem. It will only worsen. You do not solve the consequences of a bubble with more bubbles. The demise of Silicon Valley Bank highlights the enormity of the problem of risk accumulation by political design. SVB did not collapse due to reckless management, but because they did exactly what Keynesians and monetary interventionists wanted them to do.
A fifth bank collapses... 11 hours remain until the USA implodes... Crypto has surged up over 16% since Friday... Fed Panics: Signature Bank Closed By Regulators; Fed, TSY, FDIC Announce Another Banking System Bailout https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230312a.ht... https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1337 6:20pm ET Update: Panic is finally here. On Friday, we said that the Fed will have to make an announcement before the Monday open, and we didn't have to wait that long: in fact, the Fed waited just 15 minutes after futures opened for trading to announce the new bailout, alongside even more shocking news: the Treasury announced that New York State regulators are shuttering Signature Bank - a major New York bank - adding that all depositors both at Signature Bank, and also the now insolvent Silicon Valley Bank, will have access to their money on Monday. And as we process the shock of yet another small bank failure (which makes JPMorgan even bigger), the Fed just issued a statement saying that "to support American businesses and households, the Federal Reserve Board on Sunday announced it will make available additional funding to eligible depository institutions to help assure banks have the ability to meet the needs of all their depositors. This action will bolster the capacity of the banking system to safeguard deposits and ensure the ongoing provision of money and credit to the economy." The Fed also said that it is prepared to address any liquidity pressures that may arise, which in turn has just unveiled the first bailout acronym of the new crisis: the Bank Term Funding Program, or BTFP. Some more details: The financing will be made available through the creation of a new Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), offering loans of up to one year in length to banks, savings associations, credit unions, and other eligible depository institutions pledging U.S. Treasuries, agency debt and mortgage-backed securities, and other qualifying assets as collateral. These assets will be valued at par. The BTFP will be an additional source of liquidity against high-quality securities, eliminating an institution’s need to quickly sell those securities in times of stress. The Fed explains that the Department of the Treasury will make available "up to $25 billion from the Exchange Stabilization Fund as a backstop for the BTFP." And while the Federal Reserve - which was completely clueless about this banking crisis until Thursday - does not anticipate that it will be necessary to draw on these backstop funds, we anticipate that the final number of needed backstop liquidity be somewhere north of $2 trillion. What is more notable is that the BTFP - or Buy The Fucking Pivot - facility, will pledge collateral at par, not at market value, thus giving banks credit for all those hundreds of billions in unrealized net losses, and allowing banks to "unlock liquidity" based on losses which the Fed and TSY now backstop! More from the Fed statement: After receiving a recommendation from the boards of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Federal Reserve, Treasury Secretary Yellen, after consultation with the President, approved actions to enable the FDIC to complete its resolution of Silicon Valley Bank in a manner that fully protects all depositors, both insured and uninsured. These actions will reduce stress across the financial system, support financial stability and minimize any impact on businesses, households, taxpayers, and the broader economy. The Board is carefully monitoring developments in financial markets. The capital and liquidity positions of the U.S. banking system are strong and the U.S. financial system is resilient. Depository institutions may obtain liquidity against a wide range of collateral through the discount window, which remains open and available. In addition, the discount window will apply the same margins used for the securities eligible for the BTFP, further increasing lendable value at the window. The Board is closely monitoring conditions across the financial system and is prepared to use its full range of tools to support households and businesses, and will take additional steps as appropriate. But wait, there's more: concurrently with the Fed's statement, the Treasury also issued a joint statement with the Fed and FDIC in which Powell, Yellen and Gruenberg all said that they are "taking decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy by strengthening public confidence in our banking system. This step will ensure that the U.S. banking system continues to perform its vital roles of protecting deposits and providing access to credit to households and businesses in a manner that promotes strong and sustainable economic growth." Additionally, the trio announced that all depositors at Silicon Valley Bank will be bailed out, as will the depositors of New York's Signature Bank, which has just failed as well, and whose depositors will be made whole after invoking a "systemic risk exception" After receiving a recommendation from the boards of the FDIC and the Federal Reserve, and consulting with the President, Secretary Yellen approved actions enabling the FDIC to complete its resolution of Silicon Valley Bank, Santa Clara, California, in a manner that fully protects all depositors. Depositors will have access to all of their money starting Monday, March 13. No losses associated with the resolution of Silicon Valley Bank will be borne by the taxpayer. We are also announcing a similar systemic risk exception for Signature Bank, New York, New York, which was closed today by its state chartering authority. All depositors of this institution will be made whole. As with the resolution of Silicon Valley Bank, no losses will be borne by the taxpayer. While depositors are safe, creditors and equity holders are not: Shareholders and certain unsecured debtholders will not be protected. Senior management has also been removed. Any losses to the Deposit Insurance Fund to support uninsured depositors will be recovered by a special assessment on banks, as required by law. Finally, the Federal Reserve Board on Sunday announced it will make available additional funding to eligible depository institutions to help assure banks have the ability to meet the needs of all their depositors. The conclusion: The U.S. banking system remains resilient and on a solid foundation, in large part due to reforms that were made after the financial crisis that ensured better safeguards for the banking industry. Those reforms combined with today’s actions demonstrate our commitment to take the necessary steps to ensure that depositors’ savings remain safe. Translation: the Fed's hiking cycle is dead and buried, and here comes the next round of massive liquidity injections. It also means that the Fed, Treasury and FDIC have just experienced the most devastating humiliation in recent history - just 4 days ago Powell was telling Congress he could hike 50bps and here we are now using taxpayer funds to bail out banks that have collapsed because they couldn't even handle 4.75% and somehow the Fed has no idea! To summarize: Signature Bank has been closed All depositors of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank will be fully protected Shareholders and certain unsecured debtholders will not be protected New Fed 13(3) facility announced with $25 billion from ESF to backstop bank deposits As we said earlier on twitter, "this is a regulatory failure of historic proportions by both the Fed and Treasury. Instead of preventing billions in losses, the Fed was worrying about board diversity and Yellen was flying to Ukraine. Everyone should be sacked immediately." This is a regulatory failure of historic proportions by both the Fed and Treasury. Instead of preventing billions in losses, the Fed was worrying about board diversity and Yellen was flying to Ukraine. Everyone should be sacked immediately. https://t.co/XDd5LTI6hF — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 12, 2023 Oh, and if the Fed really thinks that $25 billion from the ESF will be enough to backstop a bank run on $18 trillion of deposits... ... we wish them the best of luck. * * * 6:10pm ET Update: Futures have opened for trading sharply higher, with bitcoin and precious metals also spiking amid rising expectations of either some sort of bank system bailout/backstop or, more likely, an end to the Fed's hiking cycle. Echoing what the WaPo reported in an earlier trial balloon, Bloomberg writes that the Fed and the Treasury Department are preparing emergency measures to shore up banks and ensure they can meet potential demands by their customers to withdraw money. As reported earlier, the Fed is planning to "ease the terms" of banks’ access to its discount window, giving firms a way to turn assets that have lost value into cash without the kind of losses that toppled SVB’s Silicon Valley Bank (as we noted earlier, the access to the Discoint Window was never an issue, what was is the stigma associated with using it and the likelihood that depositors will flee the moment it becomes public). Additionally, the Fed and Treasury are also preparing a program to backstop deposits using the Fed’s emergency lending authority. The use of the Fed’s emergency lending authority is for “unusual and exigent” circumstances, and signals that US regulators view the spillovers from SVB’s collapse as a sign of systemic risk in markets. Bloomberg adds that the FDIC will need to declare a system risk exception in order to insure the uninsured depositors, but we doubt that will be an issue. The emergency lending facility is a Depression-era statute in the Federal Reserve Act that allows the central bank to make loans directly. The Fed is required to establish that borrowers were unable to obtain liquidity elsewhere. Using the emergency authority requires a vote by the Fed’s board and approval from the Treasury secretary. Meanwhile, as reported previously, some banks began drawing on the discount window Friday, seeking to shore up liquidity in a panicked frenzy as widespread liquidations on Friday saw many regional banks lose as much as half of their market cap before recovering. Amid speculation of yet another taxpayer funded bailout - and a guaranteed end to the Fed's rate hikes and potential return of QE - stock futures jumped above 3900... .... with gold and bitcoin surging too. * * * 4:30pm ET Update: It's getting to the point where every new "proposal" or "idea" being thrown about is worse than the previous one (or maybe this is just how the clueless LGBTQ equity-focused Fed is doing trial balloons on a Sunday afternoon. Shortly after the WaPo reported that the Fed is "seriously considering safeguarding all uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank", BBG is out with a report that the Federal Reserve is also "considering easing the terms of banks’ access to its discount window, giving firms a way to turn assets that have lost value into cash without the kind of losses that toppled SVB Financial Group." Such a move would increase the ability of banks to keep up with demands from depositors to withdraw, without having to book losses by selling bonds and other assets that have deteriorated in value amid interest-rate increases — the dynamic that caused SVB to collapse on Friday. The report goes on to note that as many had expected, some banks began drawing on the discount window Friday, seeking to shore up liquidity after authorities seized SVB’s Silicon Valley Bank, which is precisely why it is bizarre that this is even news: after all, the Discount Window has always been opened, and the fact that banks hate to use it has nothing to do with "ease of access" and all to do with the stigma of being associated with the discount window. Just recall how banks that were revealed to have used the discount window around Lehman's failure saw accelerating bank runs. Or maybe the Fed's thinking goes that while it would be too late to save SIVB, other banks would somehow boost confidence of their depositors by yelling from the rooftops: "Hey, look at us, we are well capitalized: we just borrowed $X billion from the Fed's Discount Window." Needless to say, the mere rumor that regional bank XYZ has been forced to access this "last ditch" funding facility will result in all its depositors fleeing, which is why we once again ask: after "fixing" Ukraine's Burisma, is that polymath genius Hunter Biden now in charge of US bank bailout policy? "Hey, let's stuff all the regional banks into the stigmatizing facility that accelerated the global financial crisis" - Hunter Biden https://t.co/HM2PBiztDG — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 12, 2023 * * * 3:00pm ET Update: In a reversal of what Janet Yellen said just hours ago, WaPo reports that federal authorities are "seriously considering safeguarding all uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank" - and by extension any other bank on the verge of failure - and are weighing an extraordinary intervention to prevent what they fear would be a panic in the U.S. financial system. Translation: bailout of all depositors, not just those guaranteed by the the FDIC (<$250K). Officials at the Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation discussed the idea this weekend, the people said, with only hours to go before financial markets opened in Asia. White House officials have also studied the idea, per two separate people familiar with those discussions. The plan would be among the potential policy responses if the government is unable to find a buyer for the failed bank. While selling SVB to a healthy institution remains the preferred solution - as most bank failures are resolved that way and enable depositors to avoid losing any money - there have been several reports that no big bank has stepped up as of yet, leaving the government/Fed as the only option. As reported earlier, the FDIC began an auction process for SVB on Saturday and hoped to identify a winning bidder Sunday afternoon, with final bids due at 2 p.m. ET. Some more from the WaPo report: Although the FDIC insures bank deposits up to $250,000, a provision in federal banking law may give them the authority to protect the uninsured deposits as well if they conclude that failing to do so would pose a systemic risk to the broader financial system, the people said. In that event, uninsured deposits could be backstopped by an insurance fund, paid into regularly by U.S. banks. Before that happens, the systemic risk verdict must be endorsed by a two-thirds vote of the Fed's Board of Governors and the FDIC board along with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. No final decision has been made, but the deliberations reflect concern over the collateral damage from SVB's collapse and authorities' struggle to respond amid limits on their powers implemented following the 2008 financial bailouts. "We've been hearing from those depositors and other concerned people this weekend. So let me say that I've been working all weekend with our banking regulators to design appropriate policies to address this situation," Yellen said on the CBS program "Face the Nation." But more importantly, the WaPo report contradicts what Yellen said just a few hours earlier, namely that "during the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out . . . and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again,” This suggests that in just a few short hours, officials and regulators peaked behind the scenes and realized just how bad a potential bad crisis could be and have made a 1800 degree U turn. The result: any erroneous higherer for longerer narrative spewed by some self-appointed experts has just blown up, and what is about to be unleashed is another vast liquidity wave, something that bitcoin clearly is starting to anticipate. * * * 1:15pm ET Update: In a throwback to the legendary "Lehman Sunday", when dozens of credit traders did an ad hoc CDS trading and novation session on the Sunday ahead of the bank's Chapter 11 filing to minimize the chaos and fallout from the coming bankruptcy, Bloomberg reports that the FDIC kicked off an auction process late Saturday for Silicon Valley Bank, with final bids due by Sunday afternoon. The FDIC is reportedly aiming for "a swift deal" but a winner may not be known until late Sunday. Bloomberg also reported that the regulator is racing to sell assets and make a portion of clients’ uninsured deposits available as soon as Monday; the open questions are i) whether there will be a haircut and ii) how big it will be. A table from JPM's Michael Cemablest below shows historical haircuts on uninsured depositors in previous bank crises. We get a slightly more positive vibe from a Reuters report according to which "authorities are preparing "material action" on Sunday to shore up deposits in Silicon Valley Bank and stem any broader financial fallout from its sudden collapse." Details of the announcement expected on Sunday were not immediately available. One source said the Federal Reserve had acted to keep banks operating during the COVID-19 pandemic, and could take similar action now. "This will be a material action, not just words," one source said. Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that she was working with banking regulators to respond after SVB became the largest bank to fail since the 2008 financial crisis. As fears deepened of a broader fallout across the U.S. regional banking sector and beyond, Yellen said she was working to protect depositors but ruled out a bailout. "We want to make sure that the troubles that exist at one bank don't create contagion to others that are sound," Yellen told the CBS News Sunday Morning show. "During the financial crisis, there were investors and owners of systemic large banks that were bailed out ... and the reforms that have been put in place means we are not going to do that again," Yellen added. Meanwhile, more than 3,500 CEOs and founders representing some 220,000 workers signed a petition started by Y Combinator appealing directly to Yellen and others to backstop depositors, warning that more than 100,000 jobs could be at risk. Reuters also reports that the FDIC was trying to find another bank willing to merge with SVB: "Some industry executives said such a deal would be sizeable for any bank and would likely require regulators to give special guarantees and make other allowances." That said, the longer we wait without some resolution the more likely it is that SVB's unsecured depositors will get pennies on the dollar, according to the following (unconfirmed) reporting from Chalie Gasparino: "Bankers increasingly pessimistic a single buyer will emerge for SVB, laying out options for clients w money in there: 1-ride it out. 2-sell deposits for around 70-80 cents on dollar to other financial players; borrow against deposits jpmorgan at 50 cents on dollar." BREAKING: Bankers increasingly pessimistic a single buyer will emerge for SVB, laying out options for clients w money in there: 1-ride it out. 2-sell deposits for around 70-80 cents on dollar to other financial players; borrow against deposits @jpmorgan at 50 cents on dollar — Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) March 12, 2023 The FDIC previously said the agency has said it will make 100% of protected deposits available on Monday, when Silicon Valley Bank branches reopen. There was also news for those whose money remains frozen at SIVB. BBG notes that tech lender Liquidity Group is planning to offer about $3 billion in emergency loans to start-up clients hit by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Liquidity has about $1.2 billion ready in cash to make available in the coming weeks, Chief Executive Officer and co-founder Ron Daniel said in an interview on Sunday. The group is also in discussions with its funding partners, including Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Apollo Global Management Inc., to offer an additional $2 billion in loans, he said. “By helping the companies to survive now, I’m hoping some of them would succeed and come back to us in the future,” Daniel said. “We’re nurturing our future clients.” A typical loan will be a one-year facility of $1 million to $10 million, or as much as 30% of the balances held with SVB, Daniel said. The priority is to help companies meet payroll expenses. The fate of other SVB-linked entities appears to be somewhat rosier. Bloomberg reports that Royal Group, an investment firm controlled by a top Abu Dhabi royal, is considering a possible takeover of the UK arm of Silicon Valley Bank following its collapse last week, according to people familiar with the matter. The conglomerate, chaired by United Arab Emirates National Security Adviser Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, is discussing a potential buy-out through one of its subsidiaries.
A fifth bank collapses...
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks. -- The Genesis Block, by Satoshi Nakamoto" UK Tech Firms Face "Serious Risk" From Silicon Valley Bank Collapse, Chancellor Warns https://www.theepochtimes.com/uk-tech-firms-face-serious-risk-from-silicon-v... There is a “serious risk” to the UK’s technology and life sciences sectors from the collapse of the UK branch of the California-based Silicon Valley Bank, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has warned. U.S. federal banking regulators on March 10 assumed control of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a top lender for American tech and life sciences firms and start-ups. The collapse of SVB, the 16th biggest bank in the United States, is the largest bank failure since Washington Mutual in 2008, during the last major bank crisis. The Bank of England (BoE), the UK’s central bank, announced on March 11 that Silicon Valley Bank UK (SVBUK) is also set to enter insolvency. The company will stop making payments and accepting deposits, said the BoE. Talking to Sky News on Sunday, Hunt said the collapse poses “no systemic risk” to Britain’s financial system. But he said, “There is a serious risk to our technology and life sciences sectors, many of whom bank with this bank.” Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt (right), with Energy Secretary Grant Shapps, speaking at a meeting of senior leaders from across UK green industries at Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park, east London, on Feb. 21, 2023. (Stefan Rousseau/PA Media) ‘Significant Impact’ In a statement on Sunday morning, the Treasury said it was treating the issue “as a high priority.” “The government and the Bank understand the level of concern that this raises for customers of Silicon Valley Bank UK, and especially how it may impact on cash flow positions in the short term,” the statement said. It added that the government recognises SVBUK’s failure “could have a significant impact on the liquidity of the tech ecosystem.” While Silicon Valley Bank has a limited presence in the UK and does not perform functions critical to the financial system, the Coalition for a Digital Economy (Coadec) warned that its collapse could have a significant impact on tech start-ups. Coadec executive director Dom Hallas said on Saturday: “We know that there are a large number of start-ups and investors in the ecosystem who have significant exposure to SVBUK and will be very concerned. “We have been engaging with the UK government, including Treasury and Number 10, about the potential impact and I know that work has been going on overnight on policy options.” ‘Everything We Can’ The chancellor said the government and the Bank of England will do “everything we can” to protect the firms that stand to lose millions from the collapse of SVBUK. “The prime minister and I and the governor of the Bank of England are absolutely determined to do everything we can to protect the future of these very, very important companies,” he told Sky News. “We will come forward with a solution that helps those very, very important companies with things like payroll and their cash flow requirements, but we also want to put in place a longer-term solution so that their futures are secure.” Asked if that could mean stepping in with taxpayers’ money, he said he did not “want to go into what the solution is.” Hunt also declined to say whether the government will guarantee all the deposits of the companies in the collapsed bank. He told the BBC: “We want to find a way that minimises or, if we possibly can, avoids all losses to those incredibly promising companies. What we will do is bring forward very quickly a plan to make sure that they can meet their operational cash flow requirements.” Labour Calls for ‘Specific Plans’ The main opposition Labour Party has accused the Conservative government of lacking “urgency” in its handling of the collapse of SVBUK. Labour’s shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves urged the government to offer more than “warm words” to the affected companies. She told Sky News on Sunday: “I am slightly concerned about the urgency that you heard from the chancellor there, because when markets open tomorrow morning, a lot of businesses in the UK are not going to be clear about how they can pay the wages of their staff and whether their deposits with Silicon Valley Bank and their financing arrangements are still in place. “So, I would urge the government to do more than offer warm words, but come forward with specific plans.” Talking to the BBC, Reeves said the British start-up industry must not “pay the price” for the failure of the bank. She said: “We need tomorrow morning to hear from the government how they are going to protect them.” “We cannot let the British start-up community pay the price for this bank failure, because it will be the British economy then that ultimately pays the price,” she added.
A fifth bank collapses...
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks. -- The Genesis Block, by Satoshi Nakamoto"
Crypto rockets up 25% on the news... Democrats never ever demand to cut spending, taxes, or money printing. The Bank Crisis Has Democrats Scrambling Behind The Scenes To Find A Scapegoat Democratic representatives are scrambling in the wake of the potentially contagious Silicon Valley Bank implosion, looking for a way to divert attention away from them should the crisis expand. One avenue for scapegoating the event that has been suggested among Dems and the media is to blame a 2018 law that eased Dodd-Frank capital requirements for midsize and small banks. Republicans led the effort to pass the law, which President Donald Trump signed, but 33 House Democrats and 17 Senate Democrats also voted for it. No mention, of course, of the cancerous exposure SVB had to numerous woke investments through venture capital, including money losing ESG related projects, climate change-based companies and World Economic Forum stakeholder capitalism projects. The Dems have found their narrative, which is an old narrative: “The conservatives did it.” What Democrats do not seem to understand is that the easing of Dodd-Frank capital requirements was in direct response to the Federal Reserve's announced plan to tighten liquidity and raise interest rates through 2018. With more expensive credit and a shrinking Fed balance sheet, reducing requirements for bank buffers was one of the few ways to prevent the stimulus addicted lending sector from plummeting. The extra capital also allowed banks to continue lending to companies that engage in stock buybacks, keeping stock markets afloat. With a larger capital buffer even more liquidity dries up, revealing the true economic weakness underneath that Dems have denied for the past few years. So, if Biden and the Dems get what they want (more strict capital requirements for banks), then there will be an even swifter collapse of markets and the overall economy due to lack of liquidity. By the end of 2018, markets began to plunge anyway under the strain of higher interest rates, which led to the Fed reversing course, and this seems to be what Democrats are really hoping for. They have called for endless liquidity measures and have consistently demanded lower rates and looser monetary policy. However, when Donald Trump's Administration called for rate cuts during his term, Dems attacked. Once again, when Republicans do it, it's wrong; when they do it, it's good policy. Another issue to consider is that each successive program by the Fed to employ bailouts and QE accelerates the inflation crisis. While both sides of the aisle seem to want helicopter money when they are in power so they can boast about rising stock markets and improved employment, the Dems are now facing a systemic stagflationary event; the same event they originally claimed did not exist. This means that any pursuit of new QE in the face of a credit crunch would lead to an immediate spike in inflation once again, crushing the middle class. Are Democrats willing to accept responsibility for something like that? Not a chance. The Biden Administration has so far taken full credit for the slowdown of consumer inflation as well as the shrinking deficit, but these changes are only due to the tightening actions of the central bank which sets policy independent of the White House. Democrats can't have it both ways – They can't take credit for reduced inflation when the Fed tightens policy against their wishes, and then not take credit for the consequences of higher inflation when they badger the Fed to inject more stimulus. The only recourse for the political left is to somehow lay the blame on conservatives no matter which way the wind blows, inflation or deflation. Emergency congressional hearings have been organized to determine the cause of the SVB crisis and the course of action needed. Democrats including Sen. Sharrod Brown and Rep. Maxine Waters were quick to applaud the backstop initiated by the Fed and the Treasury Department, attempting to calm market concerns and reassure investors and depositors that all is well. Maxine Waters stated that Republicans and Democrats needed to “work together to protect the safety of the financial system", which is likely a thinly veiled assertion that Republicans must support raising the debt ceiling and commit to even more spending. Biden took a slightly different tone, vowing to hold the people who caused the mess responsible, specifically referring to Republicans. Of course, to legitimately hold the true culprits responsible would require that Biden punish himself – As it was the Fed along with the Obama/Biden Administration that launched the ongoing stimulus bonanza in 2008/2009. Obama and Biden doubled the national debt from $10 trillion to $20 trillion in the span of a mere eight years. The normalization of fiat money creation to avoid economic consequences has created the very inflationary crisis and banking weakness we are facing today. And, if banks cannot withstand even a moderate rise in interest rates and reduced liquidity because of their addiction to Fed stimulus, then it is fitting if the system crashes under a new Biden regime.
"Signature Bank was illegally shutdown by the US Government as part of its War On Crypto. -- Barney Frank" CBDC's shilled as panacea. As Banking Collapses Erode Trust, Bitcoin Fixes Moral Hazard https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/bitcoin-fixes-failures-in-banks As the underlying issues in our economy are exposed by recent banking failures, Bitcoin stands as a trustless, alternative money... Michael Bury nails it... pic.twitter.com/aZPp6hsnzj — Radar🚨 (@RadarHits) March 13, 2023 As unrealized losses piled up, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) gradually, then suddenly became insolvent, followed by the collapse of Signature Bank and people beginning to wake up to issues pervading our financial system. Modern day bank runs, though digital, can force banks to sell reserve assets at a loss, inevitably leading to insolvency. Banks are failing because they bought Treasuries. Full stop. The "safest asset in the world" is the riskiest asset in the world. pic.twitter.com/MdmmsH4bKa — Balaji (@balajis) March 13, 2023 As Balaji Srinivasan has pointed out, what was once considered the gold standard for risk-free reserve assets is now on the precipice of a potential new banking crisis. Is this the end of the U.S. treasury as we know it? If nothing else, the events over the weekend — from SVB’s failure to issues with other financial institutions to alarming intervention by the government — demonstrate just how fragile the system has become, underscoring its dependence upon money printing even as it is being undone by the low-yield, low-interest-rate environment that was caused by the printing in the first place. The dichotomy is stark, but there are lessons to be learned. YOU CAN’T TAPER A PONZI: WHY THE LEGACY BANKING SYSTEM IS RIPE FOR FAILURE The way the banking system works is, essentially, banks take your deposits and lend them out at higher interest rates than they pay you. They often keep reserves in U.S. treasury bonds, among other things, and everything seems to work until it doesn’t. Kiss your rate hikes goodbye pic.twitter.com/FbutSa87lR — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) March 12, 2023 With the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle, raising interest rates meant decreasing the price of bonds, devaluing banks' staple reserve asset. When depositors come to redeem their deposits, banks are forced to sell their assets at a loss, eventually becoming unable to stem the bleeding. Regional banks will bear the brunt of this hit, as demonstrated by the recent collapse of SVB. Federal regulators are desperately trying to prop up confidence in the system by backing 100% of depositors’ money, but at what cost? From a source in close contact w JPM: “JPMorgan has been working all weekend in commercial customer service and have opened 300 commercial accounts totalling over $6.0billion.” — Lisa Hough (@lisa_hough_) March 12, 2023 Depositors are surely already fleeing to the big boys, which will result in a more concentrated and fragile system than before. I think everyone knows deep down that they won’t be able to save every bank customer. Just how much money printing will the public tolerate in the name of financial stability? The SVB crisis isn't bearish for banking Tomorrow, ~$170B will be returned to depositors Billions more will flow out of other unhealthy banks Those depositors will immediately look for new banks to park those funds in Healthy banks are licking their chops at this opportunity — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) March 13, 2023 In terms of equity holders, why would anybody want to hold stock in a small bank at this point? If banks fail and the Feds choose to make depositors whole while everybody else suffers, all of the risk is transferred onto everyone but the depositors, incentivizing stock sell offs and eating away at struggling banks’ risk-absorbing capital. This move could force smaller banks into much worse positions than they were before. SYSTEMIC TRUST VS. SYSTEMIC TRUSTLESSNESS The scenario playing out before us is a stark illustration of what happens when trust starts to break down in a system fundamentally based on the idea of trusting, rather than verifying. In modern times, people think they need to hold their money in banks, but they have to trust the banks to maintain effective risk-management strategies in order to secure their deposits. Bitcoin is fundamentally different. You can eliminate reserve requirements, duration and interest rate risks, counterparty risks and the like. There is no trust in Bitcoin. There is only code. It is backed one to one with itself, and as long as you hold your own keys properly, you don’t need to worry about a bank run. As companies struggle to make payroll this week, I think this might just be a spark that lights a fire behind Bitcoin. Trustless money might just be the thing that helps to stem the tide of catastrophe in a system where trust appears to be crumbling.
"Barney Frank openly admits that Signature was arbitrarily shuttered despite no insolvency because regulators wanted to kill off the last major pro-crypto bank" https://decrypt.co/123346/signature-bank-shut-down-anti-crypto-barney-frank https://www.theblock.co/post/219391/barney-frank-regulators-shuttered-signat... https://news.bitcoin.com/bank-board-member-and-dodd-frank-co-sponsor-barney-... Barney Frank, a director at Signature Bank which was shut down by the government over the weekend has just said that the bank was shut down to send a message to crypto, and not because they were facing any kind of insolvency. These are shocking revelations as it appears that the US government just killed a legal and solvent bank just because they can, just because didn't approve of pro-crypto stance of the bank. In the process, wiping out shareholders to zero. https://www.dfs.ny.gov/reports_and_publications/press_releases/pr20230312 https://dfpi.ca.gov/2023/03/10/california-financial-regulator-takes-possessi... https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/13/signature-bank-third-biggest-bank-failure-in... https://www.youtube.com/live/Qdl53t7AKBo FUD https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/short-seller-who-predicted-f... https://twitter.com/liron/status/1592039990871339008 These are quotes from Frank, who also drafted the Dodd-Frank Act: “I think part of what happened was that regulators wanted to send a very strong anti-crypto message,” said board member and former congressman Barney Frank. For his part, Frank, who helped draft the landmark Dodd-Frank Act after the 2008 financial crisis, said there was “no real objective reason” that Signature had to be seized. “I think part of what happened was that regulators wanted to send a very strong anti-crypto message,” Frank said. “We became the poster boy because there was no insolvency based on the fundamentals.” https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/13/signature-bank-third-biggest-bank-failure-in... This confirms many people's beliefs that the bank was shut down just because they had a pro-crypto stance, and were facilitating crypto exchanges and stablecoin liquidity using their Signet network, which allowed stablecoins like USDC to obtain banking system liquidity throughout the weekend when other banks were closed. The government's statement said there were "systemic issues" at Signature Bank, and was entirely vague. Compare the vague statement issued by NYDFS on closure of Signature Bank (found here) versus the detailed order passed by California DFPI taking over Silicon Valley Bank (found here). In Silicon Valley Bank's case, California DFPI have specifically found that the bank is insolvent and passed a fact finding order, whereas in Signature bank, the NYDFS statement is totally value with no fact finding order. There was no liquidity issue at Signature bank, but the government used the window of opportunity that arose over the weekend from Silicon Valley Bank's failure, to kill off another bank SBNY which was pro-crypto. As the saying goes, "Never let any crisis go to waste" It now appears that the bank was killed just to shut down crypto access to banking. Shareholders in SBNY have been wiped out to zero as the FDIC took over the bank. The shares were trading at $70 per share at close of trading on friday. Not only the shareholders, even unsecured bond holders of the bank have been wiped out. 606 reasons... (a) Has violated any law; (b) Is conducting its business in an unauthorized or unsafe manner; (c) Is in an unsound or unsafe condition to transact its business; (d) Cannot with safety and expediency continue business; (e) Has an impairment of its capital; or, in the case of a mutual savings and loan association or credit union, has assets insufficient to pay its debts and the amount due members upon their shares; (f) Has suspended payment of its obligations; or, in the case of a mutual savings and loan association, has failed for sixty days after a withdrawal application has been filed with it by any shareholder to pay such withdrawal application in full; (g) Has neglected or refused to comply with the terms of a duly issued order of the superintendent; (h) Has refused, upon proper demand, to submit its records and affairs for inspection to an examiner of the department; (i) Has refused to be examined upon oath regarding its affairs. (j) Has neglected, refused or failed to take or continue proceedings for voluntary liquidation in accordance with any of the provisions of this chapter.
The Unraveling Can Happen In An Instant If SVB is insolvent, so is everyone else https://www.sovereignman.com/trends/if-svb-is-insolvent-so-is-everyone-else-... https://www.sovereignman.com/podcast/based-on-a-true-story-144241/ On Sunday afternoon, September 14, 2008, hundreds of employees of the financial giant Lehman Brothers walked into the bank’s headquarters at 745 Seventh Avenue in New York City to clear out their offices and desks. Lehman was hours away from declaring bankruptcy. And its collapse the next day triggered the worst economic and financial devastation since the Great Depression. The S&P 500 fell by roughly 50%. Unemployment soared. And more than 100 other banks failed over the subsequent 12 months. It was a total disaster. These bank, it turned out, had been using their depositors’ money to buy up special mortgage bonds. But these bonds were so risky that they eventually became known as “toxic securities” or “toxic assets”. These toxic assets were bundles of risky, no-money-down mortgages given to sub-prime “NINJAs”, i.e. borrowers with No Income, No Job, no Assets who had a history of NOT paying their bills. When the economy was doing well in 2006 and 2007, banks earned record profits from their toxic assets. But when economic conditions started to worsen in 2008, those toxic assets plunged in value… and dozens of banks got wiped out. Now here we go again. Fifteen years later… after countless investigations, hearings, “stress test” rules, and new banking regulations to prevent another financial meltdown, we have just witnessed two large banks collapse in the United States of America– Signature Bank, and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Now, banks do fail from time to time. But these circumstances are eerily similar to 2008… though the reality is much worse. I’ll explain: 1) US government bonds are the new “toxic security” Silicon Valley Bank was no Lehman Brothers. Whereas Lehman bet almost ALL of its balance sheet on those risky mortgage bonds, SVB actually had a surprisingly conservative balance sheet. According to the bank’s annual financial statements from December 31 of last year, SVB had $173 billion in customer deposits, yet “only” $74 billion in loans. I know this sounds ridiculous, but banks typically loan out MOST of their depositors’ money. Wells Fargo, for example, recently reported $1.38 trillion in deposits. $955 billion of that is loaned out. That means Wells Fargo has made loans with nearly 70% of its customer’s money, while SVB had a more conservative “loan-to-deposit ratio” of roughly 42%. Point is, SVB did not fail because they were making a bunch of high-risk NINJA loans. Far from it. SVB failed because they parked the majority of their depositors’ money ($119.9 billion) in US GOVERNMENT BONDS. This is the really extraordinary part of this drama. US government bonds are supposed to be the safest, most ‘risk free’ asset in the world. But that’s totally untrue, because even government bonds can lose value. And that’s exactly what happened. Most of SVB’s portfolio was in long-term government bonds, like 10-year Treasury notes. And these have been extremely volatile. In March 2020, for example, interest rates were so low that the Treasury Department sold some 10-year Treasury notes at yields as low as 0.08%. But interest rates have increased so much since then; last week the 10-year Treasury yield was more than 4%. And this is an enormous difference. If you’re not terribly familiar with the bond market, one of the most important things to understand is that bonds lose value as interest rates rise. And this is what happened to Silicon Valley Bank. SVB loaded up on long-term government bonds when interest rates were much lower; the average weighted yield in their bond portfolio, in fact, was just 1.78%. But interest rates have been rising rapidly. The same bonds that SVB bought 2-3 years ago at 1.78% now yield between 3.5% and 5%… meaning that SVB was sitting on steep losses. They didn’t hide this fact. Their 2022 annual report, published on January 19th of this year, showed about $15 billion in ‘unrealized losses’ on their government bonds. (I’ll come back to this.) By comparison, SVB only had about $16 billion in total capital… so $15 billion in unrealized losses was enough to essentially wipe them out. Again– these losses didn’t come from some mountain of crazy NINJA loans. SVB failed because they lost billions from US government bonds… which are the new toxic securities. 2) If SVB is insolvent, so is everyone else… including the Fed. This is where the real fun starts. Because if SVB failed due to losses in its portfolio of government bonds, then pretty much every other institution is at risk too. Our old favorite Wells Fargo, for example, recently reported $50 billion in unrealized losses on its bond portfolio. That’s a HUGE chunk of the bank’s capital, and it doesn’t include potential derivative losses either. Anyone who has purchased long-term government bonds– banks, brokerages, large corporations, state and local governments, foreign institutions– are all sitting on enormous losses right now. The FDIC (the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, i.e. the primary banking regulator in the United States) estimates unrealized losses among US banks at roughly $650 billion. $650 billion in unrealized losses is similar in size to the total subprime losses in the United States back in 2008; and if interest rates keep rising, the losses will continue to increase. What’s really ironic (and a bit comical) about this is that the FDIC is supposed to guarantee bank deposits. In fact they manage a special fund called Deposit Insurance Fund, or DIF, to insure customer deposits at banks across the US– including the deposits at the now defunct Silicon Valley Bank. But the DIF’s balance right now is only around $128 billion… versus $650 billion (and growing) unrealized losses in the banking system. Here’s what really crazy, though: where does the DIF invest that $128 billion? In US government bonds! So even the FDIC is suffering unrealized losses in its insurance fund, which is supposed to bail out banks that fail from their unrealized losses. You can’t make this stuff up, it’s ridiculous! Now there’s one bank in particular I want to highlight that is incredibly exposed to major losses in its bond portfolio. In fact last year this bank reported ‘unrealized losses’ of more than $330 billion against just $42 billion in capital… making this bank completely and totally insolvent. I’m talking, of course, about the Federal Reserve… THE most important central bank in the world. It’s hopelessly insolvent, and FAR more broke than Silicon Valley Bank. What could possibly go wrong? 3) The ‘experts’ should have seen this coming Since the 2008 financial crisis, legislators and bank regulators have rolled out an endless parade of new rules to prevent another banking crisis. One of the most hilarious was the new rule that banks had to pass “stress tests”, i.e. war game scenarios to see whether or not banks would be able to survive certain fluctuations in macroeconomic conditions. SVB passed its stress tests with flying colors. It also passed its FDIC examinations, its financial audits, and its state regulatory audits. SVB was also followed by dozens of Wall Street analysts, many of whom had previously issued emphatic BUY ratings on the stock after analyzing its financial statements. But the greatest testament to this absurdity was the SVB stock price in late January. SVB published its 2022 annual financial report after the market closed on January 19, 2023. This is the same financial report where they posted $15 billion in unrealized losses which effectively wiped out the bank’s capital. The day before the earnings announcement, SVB stock closed at $250.04. The day after the earnings call, the stock closed at $291.44. In other words, despite SVB management disclosing that their entire bank capital was effectively wiped out, ‘expert’ Wall Street investors excitedly bought the stock and bid the price up by 16%. The stock continued to soar, reaching a high of $333.50 a few days later on February 1st. In short, all the warning signs were there. But the experts failed again. The FDIC saw Silicon Valley Bank’s dismal condition and did nothing. The Federal Reserve did nothing. Investors cheered and bid the stock up. And this leads me to my next point: 4) The unraveling can happen in an instant. A week ago, everything was still fine. Then, within a matter of days, SVB’s stock price plunged, depositors pulled their money, and the bank failed. Poof. The same thing happened with Lehman Brothers in 2008. In fact over the past few years we’ve been subjected to example after example of our entire world changing in an instant. We all remember that March 2020 was still fairly normal, at least in North America. Within a matter of days people were locked in their homes and life as we knew it had fundamentally changed. 5) This is going to keep happening. Long-time readers won’t be surprised about this; I’ve been writing about these topics for years– bank failures, looming instability in the financial system, etc. Late last year I recorded a podcast explaining how the Fed was engineering a financial meltdown by raising interest rates so quickly, and they would have to choose between a rock and a hard place, i.e. higher inflation versus financial catastrophe. This is the financial catastrophe, but it’s just getting started. Like Lehman Brothers in 2008, SVB is just the tip of the iceberg. There will be other casualties– not just in banks, but money market funds, insurance companies, and even businesses. Foreign banks and institutions are also suffering losses on their US government bonds… and that has negative implications on the US dollar’s reserve status. Think about it: it’s bad enough that the US national debt is outrageously high, that the federal government appears to be a bunch of fools incapable of solving any problem, and that inflation is terrible. Now on top of everything else, foreigners who bought US government bonds are suffering tough losses as well. Why would anyone want to continue with this insanity? Foreigners have already lost so much confidence in the US and the dollar… and financial losses from their bond holdings could accelerate that trend. This issue is particularly of mind now that China is flexing its international muscle, most recently in the Middle East making peace between Iran and Saudi Arabia. And the Chinese are starting to actively market their currency as an alternative to the dollar. But no one in charge seems to understand any of this. The guy who shakes hands with thin air insisted this morning that the banking system is safe. Nothing to see here, people. The Federal Reserve– which is the ringleader of this sad circus– doesn’t seem to understand anything either. In fact Fed leadership spent all of last week insisting that they were going to keep raising interest rates. Even after last week’s banking crisis, the Fed probably still hasn’t figured it out. They appear totally out of touch with what’s really happening in the economy. And when they meet again next week, it’s possible they’ll raise rates even higher (and trigger even more unrealized losses). So this drama is far from over.
Why The Banking System Is Breaking Up by Michael Hudson The collapses of Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank are like icebergs calving off from the Antarctic glacier. The financial analogy to the global warming causing this collapse of supporting shelving is the rising temperature of interest rates, which spiked last Thursday and Friday to close at 4.60 percent for the U.S. Treasury’s two-year bonds. Bank depositors meanwhile were still being paid only 0.2 percent on their deposits. That has led to a steady withdrawal of funds from banks – and a corresponding decline in commercial bank balances with the Federal Reserve. Most media reports reflect a prayer that the bank runs will be localized, as if there is no context or environmental cause. There is general embarrassment to explain how the breakup of banks that is now gaining momentum is the result of the way that the Obama Administration bailed out the banks in 2008 with fifteen years of Quantitative Easing to re-inflate prices for packaged bank mortgages – and with them, housing prices, along with stock and bond prices. The Fed’s $9 trillion of QE (not counted as part of the budget deficit) fueled an asset-price inflation that made trillions of dollars for holders of financial assets – the One Percent with a generous spillover effect for the remaining members of the top Ten Percent. The cost of home ownership soared by capitalizing mortgages at falling interest rates into more highly debt-leveraged property. The U.S. economy experienced the largest bond-market boom in history as interest rates fell below 1 percent. The economy polarized between the creditor positive-net-worth class and the rest of the economy – whose analogy to environmental pollution and global warming was debt pollution. But in serving the banks and the financial ownership class, the Fed painted itself into a corner: What would happen if and when interest rates finally rose? In Killing the Host I wrote about what seemed obvious enough. Rising interest rates cause the prices of bonds already issued to fall – along with real estate and stock prices. That is what has been happening under the Fed’s fight against “inflation,” its euphemism for opposing rising employment and wage levels. Prices are plunging for bonds, and also for the capitalized value of packaged mortgages and other securities in which banks hold their assets on their balance sheet to back their deposits. The result threatens to push down bank assets below their deposit liabilities, wiping out their net worth – their stockholder equity. This is what was threatened in 2008. It is what occurred in a more extreme way with S&Ls and savings banks in the 1980s, leading to their demise. These “financial intermediaries” did not create credit as commercial banks can do, but lent deposits out in the form of long-term mortgages at fixed interest rates, often for 30 years. But in the wake of the Volcker spike in interest rates that inaugurated the 1980s, the overall level of interest rates remained higher than the interest rates that S&Ls and savings banks were receiving. Depositors began to withdraw their money to get higher returns elsewhere, because S&Ls and savings banks could not pay higher their depositors higher rates out of the revenue coming in from their mortgages fixed at lower rates. So even without fraud Keating-style, the mismatch between short-term liabilities and long-term interest rates ended their business plan. The S&Ls owed money to depositors short-term, but were locked into long-term assets at falling prices. Of course, S&L mortgages were much longer-term than was the case for commercial banks. But the effect of rising interest rates has the same effect on bank assets that it has on all financial assets. Just as the QE interest-rate decline aimed to bolster the banks, its reversal today must have the opposite effect. And if banks have made bad derivatives trades, they’re in trouble. Any bank has a problem of keeping its asset valuations higher than its deposit liabilities. When the Fed raises interest rates sharply enough to crash bond prices, the banking system’s asset structure weakens. That is the corner into which the Fed has painted the economy by QE. The Fed recognizes this inherent problem, of course. That is why it avoided raising interest rates for so long – until the wage-earning bottom 99 Percent began to benefit by the recovery in employment. When wages began to recover, the Fed could not resist fighting the usual class war against labor. But in doing so, its policy has turned into a war against the banking system as well. Silvergate was the first to go, but it was a special case. It had sought to ride the cryptocurrency wave by serving as a bank for various currencies. After SBF’s vast fraud was exposed, there was a run on cryptocurrencies. Investor/gamblers jumped ship. The crypto-managers had to pay by drawing down the deposits they had at Silvergate. It went under. Silvergate’s failure destroyed the great illusion of cryptocurrency deposits. The popular impression was that crypto provided an alternative to commercial banks and “fiat currency.” But what could crypto funds invest in to back their coin purchases, if not bank deposits and government securities or private stocks and bonds? What is crypto, ultimately, if not simply a mutual fund with secrecy of ownership to protect money launderers? Silicon Valley Bank also is in many ways a special case, given its specialized lending to IT startups. New Republic bank also has suffered a run, and it too is specialized, lending to wealthy depositors in the San Francisco and northern California area. But a bank run was being talked up last week, and financial markets were shaken up as bond prices declined when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced that he actually planned to raise interest rates even more than he earlier had targeted, in view of the rising employment making wage earners more uppity in their demands to at least keep up with the inflation caused by the U.S. sanctions against Russian energy and food and the actions by monopolies to raise prices “to anticipate the coming inflation.” Wages have not kept pace with the resulting high inflation rates. It looks like Silicon Valley Bank will have to liquidate its securities at a loss. Probably it will be taken over by a larger bank, but the entire financial system is being squeezed. Reuters reported on Friday that bank reserves at the Fed were plunging. That hardly is surprising, as banks are paying about 0.2 percent on deposits, while depositors can withdraw their money to buy two-year U.S. Treasury notes yielding 3.8 or almost 4 percent. No wonder well-to-do investors are running from the banks. The obvious question is why the Fed doesn’t simply bail out banks in SVB’s position. The answer is that the lower prices for financial assets looks like the New Normal. For banks with negative equity, how can solvency be resolved without sharply reducing interest rates to restore the 15-year Zero Interest-Rate Policy (ZIRP)? There is an even larger elephant in the room: derivatives. Volatility increased last Thursday and Friday. The turmoil has reached vast magnitudes beyond what characterized the 2008 crash of AIG and other speculators. Today, JP Morgan Chase and other New York banks have tens of trillions of dollar valuations of derivatives – casino bets on which way interest rates, bond prices, stock prices and other measures will change. For every winning guess, there is a loser. When trillions of dollars are bet on, some bank trader is bound to wind up with a loss that can easily wipe out the bank’s entire net equity. There is now a flight to “cash,” to a safe haven – something even better than cash: U.S. Treasury securities. Despite the talk of Republicans refusing to raise the debt ceiling, the Treasury can always print the money to pay its bondholders. It looks like the Treasury will become the new depository of choice for those who have the financial resources. Bank deposits will fall. And with them, bank holdings of reserves at the Fed. So far, the stock market has resisted following the plunge in bond prices. My guess is that we will now see the Great Unwinding of the great Fictitious Capital boom of 2008-2015. So the chickens are coming hope to roost – with the “chicken” being, perhaps, the elephantine overhang of derivatives fueled by the post-2008 loosening of financial regulation and risk analysis.
https://archive.org/details/TheCreatureFromJekyllIslandByG.EdwardGriffin G Edward Griffin's 1993 movie and 1994 book, The Creature from Jekyll Island. In it, he presents his argument that the central banking system of the United States constitutes a banking cartel and an instrument of war and totalitarianism. The book was a business-topic bestseller, and influenced Ron Paul when he wrote a chapter on money and the Federal Reserve in his New York Times bestseller "The Revolution: A Manifesto -- Ron Paul". Woke GovBankPol elite frauds investigate themselves, again, lol... Fed Announces Probe Into Its Own Regulatory Failure At SVB https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20230313a.htm https://s201.q4cdn.com/589201576/files/doc_financials/2022/q4/4Q22-SIVB-Earn... https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/silicon-valley-banks-demise-began-with-do... https://www.visualcapitalist.com/timeline-shocking-collapse-of-silicon-valle... https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/barr20230309a.htm The Federal Reserve Board on Monday announced that Vice Chair for Supervision Michael S. Barr is leading a review of the supervision and regulation of Silicon Valley Bank, in light of its failure. "The events surrounding Silicon Valley Bank demand a thorough, transparent, and swift review by the Federal Reserve," said Chair Jerome H. Powell. As a reminder, it was Moody's that initially brought up issues with SVB. When SVB reported its fourth quarter results in early 2023, Moody’s Investor Service, a credit rating agency took notice. In early March, it said that SVB was at high risk for a downgrade due to its significant unrealized losses. In response, SVB looked to sell $2 billion of its investments at a loss to help boost liquidity for its struggling balance sheet. Soon, more hedge funds and venture investors realized SVB could be on thin ice. Depositors withdrew funds in droves, spurring a liquidity squeeze and prompting California regulators and the FDIC to step in and shut down the bank. Source The Fed's review will be publicly released by May 1. "We need to have humility, and conduct a careful and thorough review of how we supervised and regulated this firm, and what we should learn from this experience," said Vice Chair Barr. Just a reminder, here's what Michael Barr said in a speech Thursday as the run was in full swing: "The banks we regulate, in contrast, are well protected from bank runs through a robust array of supervisory requirements." In case you wondered where we stand on this... This is a regulatory failure of historic proportions by both the Fed and Treasury. Instead of preventing billions in losses, the Fed was worrying about board diversity and Yellen was flying to Ukraine. Everyone should be sacked immediately. https://t.co/XDd5LTI6hF — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 12, 2023 What are the chances anyone is found responsible in any way?
Biden claims "Funds are SAFU", meanwhile continuing to claim that outright stealing 50% of your income under threat of prison and death is "legitimate taxation", and that inflating your purchasing power away by printing money for GovPol power excess and pocketing at 35% every 10 years is OK... lol... Billion of activist via bitcoin, crypto, and gold fix this... Biden Insists "The Banking System Is Safe" US President Joe Biden attempted to calm the markets in a Monday morning speech, where he insisted that "Americans can have confidence that the banking system is safe," and that US bank regulators and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen took "immediate" action to stop contagion among small and medium-sized banks following the Friday collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. "Americans can rest assured that our banking system is safe," he reiterated. Biden made clear that investors in the failed banks will not be protected. "They knowingly took a risk, and when the risk didn’t pay off, investors lose their money," he said, adding that the people running the troubled banks should be fired. When asked by reporters if there would be a ripple effect, and whether he could explain how and why this happened, Biden ignored the questions. Watch: * * * With bank stocks - most notably small/medium-sized banks - deeply in the red, it appears at first glance that The Fed/TSY/FDIC cunning plan to implicitly backstop every deposit is not stemming the contagion's tide. However, don't let that 'fact' get in the way of some good politics as President Biden readies to deliver remarks that 'you have nothing to fear but fear itself' as he explains how his admin will maintain a resilient banking system. "Tomorrow morning, I will deliver remarks on how we will maintain a resilient banking system to protect our historic economic recovery," Biden was cited in the White House statement Is he really going to maintain the narrative that the economy is 'strong as hell' amid a systemic financial crisis? White House statements claimed Biden had directed US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and National Economic Council Director to work with banking regulators to address problems at Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. “I’m pleased they reached a solution that protects workers, small businesses, taxpayers, and our financial system,” he added. He also assured action against “those responsible for the mess”. “I’m firmly committed to holding those responsible for this mess fully accountable and to continuing our efforts to strengthen oversight and regulation of larger banks so that we are not in this position again,” he tweeted. The messaging will be clear: 1) This is not 2008 (correct, this is a good old-fashioned traditional bank run at the speed of light with mobile banking) 2) This is not a bailout (except that it 100% bails out all the VC and startup depositors everywhere all at once) 3) Someone will take the blame (Barney Frank already blamed crypto, the 'woke' risk managers didn't hedge rate risk, and The Fed was the main regulator and also caused the hole in SVB's balance sheet via rate-hikes) 'Mission Accomplished'?
Making Common, Golden Sense Of The Next Senseless Bank Crisis Matthew Piepenburg via GoldSwitzerland.com, The latest headlines, of course, are all pointing toward the ripple effect of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), and they should be. This banking metaphor for the tech sector in particular and the previously described disaster in California as a whole or the matter of banking risk as a theme, require understanding and attention, provided below. Once we get past a forensic look at the data and forces which explain SVB’s demise, we quickly discover that SVB is itself just a symbol of a much larger financial (and banking) crisis which ties together nearly all of the major macro forces we’ve been tracking since Powell began his QE to QT quest to be Volcker-reborn. That is, we confirm that everything comes back to the Fed and bond market in general and the UST market in particular. But as I’ve argued for years, and will say again now: The bond market is the thing. By the end of this brief report, we also discover that SVB is just the beginning; contagion inside and outside of the banking sector is about to get worse. Or stated more bluntly: “We ain't seen nothing yet.” But first, let’s look at the banks in Silicon Valley… Two Failed Banks The tech-friendly SVB story (i.e. FDIC shutdown) is actually preceded by another failed bank, namely the crypto-friendly Silvergate Capital. Corp, now heading into voluntary liquidation. Because SVB was a much larger bank (>$170B in deposits) than Silvergate (>$6B in deposits), it got and deserved more headlines as the largest bank failure since well, the 2008 bank failures… Unlike Lehman or Bear Stearns, the recent disasters at SVB and Silvergate were not the result of concentrated and levered bets/loans negligently packaged as investment-grade credits, but rather the result of a good ol’ fashioned bank run. Bank runs happen when depositors all want to get their money out of the banks at the same time—a scenario of which I’ve warned for years and compared to a burning theater with an exit door the size of a mouse-hole. Banks, of course, use and lever depositor funds to lend and invest at risk (which is why Henry Ford warned of revolution if folks actually understood what banks actually do). Thus, if a mass of depositors suddenly wants their money at the same time, it’s just not gonna be there. So, why were depositors in a panic to exit? It boils down to crypto fears, tech stress and bad banking practices. No Silver Lining at Silvergate At Silvergate, they provided loans to crypto enterprises, which were the belle of the speculation ball until Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX implosion made investors weary of crypto exchanges. Nervous depositors withdrew billions of their crypto-linked deposits at the same time. Silvergate, of course, didn’t have the billions needed to meet depositor requests, because, well… banks by their operational (fractional reserve) nature never have the money when needed at the same time. Thus, the bank had to quickly and desperately sell assets, which meant selling billions worth of non-mature Treasuries whose prices had tanked in the interim thanks to the Powell rate hikes. (See how the Fed lurks, head down and silent, as the source behind nearly every crisis?) This was selling bank assets at the worst time imaginable and immediately sent Silvergate into the red and toward the cold dark ocean floor. Once DOJ investigations end and the FDIC insurance runs out, we’ll discover just how “whole” the bigger depositors at Silvergate will be—but this will take time and end in some degree of pain for many of them. Death Valley for Silicon Valley Bank As for the bigger disaster at SVB, they mostly serviced start-ups and technology firms with a major focus on life sciences start-ups—i.e., yesterday’s unicorns and tomorrow’s donkeys. These unicorns, of course, were not only under the cloud of the FTX fears in particular and falling faith in tech miracles in general, but equally under the pressure of Powell’s rate hikes, which made funding (or debt-rollovers) harder and more expensive to obtain for tech names. In short, the keg party of easy money for questionable tech enterprises was beginning to unwind. SVB’s slow and then rapid demise came as depositors (at the advice of their VC advisors) withdrew billions at the same time, which SVB (like Silvergate) could not match after selling UST assets at a massive loss to save the first withdrawals while burning the later movers. In short, and like all Ponzi schemes, banks suffering a bank run can’t and won’t make everyone whole—just the first money out—i.e., the fastest runners in the burning theater. Burn Victims, Recovery? Banks, ironically, can’t technically go bank-rupt. Silvergate plans to eventually make all depositors whole as they sift through their assets in liquidation. Hmmm. Good luck with that. SVB, however, waited too long for voluntary liquidation procedures and was instead taken over by the FDIC as a receiver to manage the sale of assets to return investor deposits as a dividend over time. Furthermore, the FDIC “insures” investor deposits up to $250K, but that won’t help the vast majority of SVB deposits (95.5%) not covered by this so-called insurance. The Contagion Effect? Notwithstanding the pain felt by depositors at Silvergate and SVB, the fear there has spread to the broader banking sector (big bank to regional), which saw expected sell-offs at the end of last week and has prompted the inevitable question, namely: Is this another Lehman moment? For now, we are talking about bank runs rather than banks failing ala 2008 due to massive derivative exposures and bad loans. In short, this is not (yet at least) a 2008-like banking crisis. That said, and as we’ve reported countless times, post-2008 banks are still massively over-levered and over-exposed to that toxic waste dump otherwise known as the COMEX and derivatives market. Each day, the headlines change. Signature Bank, this time in New York, was just shuttered by New York regulators. The Fed then announced over the weekend that they will make depositors whole, which is tantamount to confessing yet another Fed bailout of bad banks under the new name of the $25B “Bank Term Funding Program”—or BTFP, an acronym which spurs reminders of the 2009 TARP days… Such a bailout policy makes the odds of further Fed rate hikes in 2023 a bit less likely, and already the traders on Wall Street are renaming BTFP as “Buy The F***ing Pivot.” As I’ve written for months (and show below), Powell’s QT plan would last until something inevitably broke, and it would seem that day has come, as expected. Many are suggesting that the BTFB will need to be funded to at least $2T, not $25B, to backstop further banking risk. Easy Prognosis Based on context and current data, however, we can begin to make certain objective and early conclusions. Cash flow from VC into tech is about to get a lot tighter, as we’ve been warning for the last 2 years. SVB depositors may eventually get some or much of their money back over time once the bank’s assets (Treasuries, loans etc.) are sold off by the FDIC. Despite my very, very low opinion of bank regulators, at least SVB, unlike FTX, was regulated. As to a full-on crisis across all banks, it’s a bit early to say that the foregoing regional cancers will spread across all banks of all flavors, though our blunt reports on banking risk in the past suggest that banks as a whole are anything but safe. Cryptos, already under the cloud of FTX and now SVB, saw more pain, as the sell-offs in this space last week confirm. However, as banking fears prompt a more dovish Fed in Q2, many cryptos could rise. The Bigger, Scarry Picture In the still evolving nature of the current banking crisis, we see reasons to be concerned, very concerned, about systemic risk in the banking sector. Banks, and banking practices, are complex little beasts. Just across town at that gasping entity known as Credit Suisse, for example, they have been too afraid to publicly report their cash-flow statements as the bank’s stock fell yet another 60%. So, yeah, things are complex… But returning to the US in particular and banks in general, one can still derive the simple from the complex, which is simply scarry. Keep It Simple At the most basic level, banks fail when the cost of funding their operations rises dramatically above the returns or yields on their performing/earning assets. It is our view that such a set-up for further pain across the banking sector is real, a set-up made all the worse by—you guessed it—that entirely un-natural destroyer of natural markets forces, free price-discovery and honest capitalism otherwise known as the U.S. Federal Reserve. Central Bankers and Broken Bonds As I’ve written and spoken, everything is connected, and everything eventually takes it signals from the bond market, which was long ago hijacked by the Fed. Powell’s rate hikes, for example, don’t just occur in a vacuum to fight his bogus war on an inflation nightmare which he once promised was only “transitory.” Fed QT and QE, for example, are more than just words, experiments or theories, they are un-natural, artificial and powerful toxins which can’t be contained to just making central bank balance sheets thinner or fatter and bogus CPI data higher or lower. Instead, the Fed’s little tweaks, tricks and madness impact just about everything, and always end up screwing everything up. Why? Because markets were designed to be managed by natural forces of supply and demand not artificial forces of fake money from central bankers. By raising the Fed Funds Rates toward 5% and above at rapid pace, for example, Powell has done more than just make a tiny $300B dent in the Fed’s nearly $9T balance sheet. He has engineered a dis-inflationary recession and sent combined nominal returns in stocks AND bonds to levels not seen since 1871. But when it comes to banking risk, Powell has also gut-punched that sector with criminal negligence. How so? Even the Banks Can’t Fight the Fed? When the Fed began raising rates, it sent bonds to the floor and hence yields to the moon (yields and bond price are inversely related). This impacts bank balance sheets because banks make a living by paying depositors at rate X while earning X+; but now those banks are in a deadly corner of the Fed’s own mis-design. That is, the Fed has sent bond yields higher than the rates/yields which commercial banks offer depositors, which is why many depositors are questioning the advantage of being, well…depositors. This mis-match, of course, will likely require banks to raise depositor rates to compete with rising UST yields, a costly tactic which cuts their profits and reddens their balance sheets. Alternatively, banks could offer/issue more bank shares to increase their capital, but this dilutes existing share counts and value, which is how bankers are paid. To add insult to injury, banks (and bankers) are also facing the real risk of rising or at least persistent inflation, which means that the real return on even “enhanced” depositor rates is ultimately a negative return when adjusted for the invisible tax of inflation. All Conversations Return to Gold So, no, we hardly think the commercial banking system, the massive and compounding risks of which we have reported for years, is anything remotely healthy, safe or credible. All frowns and inevitable (yet increasingly empty) gold-bug critiques notwithstanding, we think holding a physical bar of segregated, allocated and non-levered gold in one’s own name in the world’s safest private vaults and jurisdictions makes a lot more sense than trusting your increasingly worthless paper or digital money to the world’s increasingly fractured banks, be they SVB, Credit Suisse or JP Morgan. Just saying…
Biden claims "Funds are SAFU", meanwhile continuing to claim that outright stealing 50% of your income under threat of prison and death is "legitimate taxation", and that inflating your purchasing power away by printing money for GovPol power excess and pocketing at 35% every 10 years is OK... lol...
Bank bailouts ultimately come out of your ass not theirs, plus the interest on that debt they made payable by your families for generations to come... Federal Reserve Launches "QE Extra Lite" To Bail Out Banks Via SchiffGold.com, In the wake of two bank failures, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury announced a bank bailout program that could be dubbed “QE Extra Lite.” Last week, Silicon Valley Bank was shuttered by federal authorities after the bank suffered significant losses selling bonds in order to raise capital. When that news hit, depositors rushed to pull funds from the bank, making it functionally insolvent. Then over the weekend, federal authorities shut down Signature Bank. On Sunday, the FDIC created “bridge banks” to handle both insured and uninsured customer deposits. Banking regulators assured depositors that they would have full access to all of their funds. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve announced a loan program that will allow other banks to easily access capital “to help assure banks have the ability to meet the needs of all their depositors.” The Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) will offer loans of up to one year in length to banks, savings associations, credit unions, and other eligible depository institutions pledging US Treasuries, agency debt and mortgage-backed securities, and other qualifying assets as collateral. Banks will be able to borrow against their assets “at par” (face value). According to a Federal Reserve statement, “the BTFP will be an additional source of liquidity against high-quality securities, eliminating an institution’s need to quickly sell those securities in times of stress.” The US Treasury will provide $25 billion in credit protection to the Fed from the Exchange Stabilization Fund. This will ostensibly help banks avoid the situation that brought down Silicon Valley Bank. Backdrop Last week, SVB sold a large portion of its bond portfolio at a $1.8 billion loss. SVB CEO Greg Becke said the bank made the sale “because we expect continued higher interest rates, pressured public and private markets, and elevated cash burn levels from our clients.” The bank bought the bonds when interest rates were low. As a result, the $21 billion available for sale (AVS) bond portfolio was not yielding above cash burn. Meanwhile, rising interest rates caused the value of the portfolio to fall significantly. The plan was to sell the longer-term, lower-interest-rate bonds and reinvest the money into shorter-duration bonds with a higher yield. Instead, the sale dented the bank’s balance sheet and caused worried depositors to pull funds out of the bank. Many other US banks are likely in the same situation. As the Fed jacked up interest rates to fight price inflation, it decimated the bond market. (Bond prices and interest rates are inversely correlated. As interest rates rise, bond prices fall.) With interest rates rising so quickly, banks have not been able to adjust their bond holdings. As a result, many banks have become undercapitalized on paper. The banking sector was buried under some $250 billion in net unrealized losses on bond portfolios as of Dec. 31. The BTFP gives banks a way out, or at least the opportunity to kick the can down the road for a year. Instead of selling bonds that have dropped in value at a big loss, banks can go to the Fed and borrow money at the bonds’ face value. QE Extra Lite You could categorize this plan as quantitative easing extra lite. Understand, this is not exactly QE. The Fed is not buying Treasuries. It will only hold them as collateral for the loans. Once the loans are paid back, the Treasuries will go back on the bank’s books. But it is like QE in the sense that the Fed will create money out of thin air to make these loans. That is inflationary, just like quantitative easing, although the inflation is ostensibly temporary. When the bank pays back the loan, that money will drain out of the system. Of course, that assumes the loans get paid back. Also like QE, the Fed is putting its thumb on the bond market by incentivizing banks and other institutions to hold Treasuries instead of selling them into the market. In effect, it creates an artificial limit on the supply of Treasuries, which will artificially keep prices higher than they otherwise would be. In effect, this Federal Reserve loan program will have some of the same systemic impacts as QE, but on a much more limited basis – thus the term “QE Extra Lite.” Is This a Bailout? The powers that be insist this is not a bailout. But it is absolutely a bailout. The plan creates a mechanism for banks to acquire capital they couldn’t otherwise access under normal market conditions. Meanwhile, uninsured depositors will get their money back. The government can plausibly claim it is not bailing out SVB or Signature Bank. Both institutions appear to be doomed. But the government is bailing out uninsured depositors and it is setting the stage to bail out other banks that would have suffered the same fate without the loan program. In effect, the loan program and deposit guarantee signal to other banks that they have nothing to worry about. It also calms the public and lowers the likelihood of bank runs. Will Taxpayers Foot the Bill? The powers that be also insist this won’t cost taxpayers. Agins, in one sense, this is true. The US government isn’t going to raise taxes. And the only way the taxpayer would be directly implicated is if any of the banks taking loans defaults and Fed taps into the $25 billion in credit protection extended by the US Treasury. But as Peter Schiff pointed out in a tweet, the taxpayer will be on the hook for the inflation tax. According to @POTUS the government bank #bailout won't cost taxpayers any money. That's a lie. While it's true that no one's taxes will be raised to pay for it, the #Fed will print lots of money to cover the cost. That's #inflation and everyone will pay higher prices as a result. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) March 13, 2023 Even if it’s only temporary, the loans will inflate the money supply. That is the definition of inflation. And looking at the bigger picture, this bailout likely means the end of the Fed’s inflation fight.
Save The Dollar Or The Financial System - Not Both Via Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com, Precious metals expert and financial writer Bill Holter said last summer that the Fed rate increases would tank the economy. The collapse of SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) is the latest sign the Fed is breaking the financial system. Will it continue to raise interest rates as Fed Head Jay Powell said this past week? Holter says that is the biggest question out there because it comes down to picking what you want to save. It’s the U.S. dollar or the financial system. Holter explains, “They can save one thing or the other. They can save the financial system, or they can save the dollar. If they save the dollar, they will have to raise rates, and they will have to keep tightening. To save the financial system, they will have to loosen. They have tightened so hard and so fast over the last year they have raised rates and tightened faster than anytime before. This is in the face of the biggest over-levered situation in history no matter how you look at it... They can only do one or the other, and they already look like fools. The world is already laughing at the United States. Think of what Russia and China think when we are walking out some army general wearing a skirt. We are getting to the end game.” Holter, who is also a precious metals broker from Miles Franklin, says the bankruptcy of SVB is just the tip of the default iceberg. Holter says, “The problem is a global bankruptcy. In order to avoid the bankruptcy, you don’t go from bank A to bank B or some sovereign treasury. You don’t go to paper because paper can bankrupt. It’s going to dawn on people all of a sudden that gold and silver are the safe havens. That’s going to create a ‘failure to deliver’ event, and when you get failure to deliver, all confidence is gone. This is all about confidence. Failure to deliver is coming soon because you are talking about big, big money, and there is not big, big supply... My phone has been blowing up all weekend. People are wanting wiring instructions so they can wire money Monday morning... This failure to deliver event is right in front of us.” You might think everything will be safe in the bank because of FDIC deposit insurance. That is not totally true because the government basically turned depositors into creditors in 2012. Holter says, “In 2012 or 2013, the FDIC amended their rules and said there would no longer be bailouts, but bail-ins. People don’t understand that when there is a bail-in and a bank goes down, it takes all or part of the money they are holding on your behalf to make themselves solvent. It is no surprise that Janet Yellen (Treasury Secretary) is saying there are not going to be bailouts because it’s been official policy for ten years or more... There are cockroaches everywhere. The whole system is rotten to the core. The whole system is over-levered. The whole system is fraudulent. The entire system is a Ponzi scheme... The government of the reserve currency of the world has to borrow a trillion dollars a year to stay solvent. That’s ridiculous.” Holter thinks big inflation is coming when the Fed has to cut rates to save the system. He says, “The government will inflate or die.” There is a lot more in the 46-minute interview. Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with financial writer and precious metals expert Bill Holter for 3.12.23. To Donate to USAWatchdog.com Click Here
Inflation Smokescreens The Economic Dumpster Fire Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.us, The inevitable outcome was clear for a decade at least, but in the run up to the Covid lockdowns there were many economists in the corporate media that outright denied the reality of an inflationary or stagflationary crisis. Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, Paul Krugman and a host of journalists claimed that concerns about inflation were “overblown” and that the Federal Reserve had everything under control. Some might say they were ignorant. Some might say they knew the danger and they were lying about it. In any case, reality always wins in the long run and those who refuse to take facts and evidence seriously will eventually be exposed. This is exactly what happened from 2020 to 2023 as the stagflationary spiral took hold. While some people might attribute this outcome to the Covid pandemic, Covid stimulus or the war in Ukraine, though the signs were evident well before either of those events. During the build-up to this disaster, the Federal Reserve has been tightening and hiking interest rates into economic weakness. It’s the same thing they did in the early 1980s and the same thing they did at the onset of the Great Depression (which made the crash a hundred times worse). In 2019 I outlined this conundrum in my article The Crash In U.S. Economic Fundamentals Is Accelerating. The U.S. economy was already on the verge of a major crash by 2020 on top of an inflationary crisis. The $8 trillion Covid stimulus delayed the economic depression for a couple of years. However, as we can see from the explosion in prices, it was also the straw that broke the camel’s back. I noted in 2019 that there were a host of negative signals piling up and predicted that the Fed would continue to hike interest rates anyway: For the past ten years, the Fed has refused to acknowledge that there is no recovery. For the past two years, the Fed has been tightening liquidity despite the lack of recovery. And, even in the past four months with all the talk of the Fed “retreating” on QE and going “dovish”, Fed bankers still claim in their public statements that the US economy is enjoying a “solid” recovery. The Fed will not be cutting interest rates anytime soon. In fact, I continue to believe the Fed will hike rates again this year. Not that it matters, because the Fed’s benchmark interest rate has been climbing anyway, which may indicate the central bank is seeking to tighten liquidity while pretending it is “remaining patient.” In 2021, Joe Biden claimed that infrastructure spending would be a solution to the inflation problem while ignoring the fact that government spending was the primary cause of inflation in the first place. In my article Infrastructure Bills Do Not Lead To Recovery, Only Increased Federal Control, I noted that: Production of fiat money is not the same as real production within the economy… Trillions of dollars in public works programs might create more jobs, but it will also inflate prices as the dollar goes into decline. So, unless wages are adjusted constantly according to price increases, people will have jobs, but still won’t be able to afford a comfortable standard of living. This leads to stagflation, in which prices continue to rise while wages and consumption stagnate. Another Catch-22 to consider is that if inflation becomes rampant, the Federal Reserve may be compelled (or claim they are compelled) to raise interest rates significantly in a short span of time. This means an immediate slowdown in the flow of overnight loans to major banks, an immediate slowdown in loans to large and small businesses, an immediate crash in credit options for consumers, and an overall crash in consumer spending. You might recognize this as the recipe that created the 1981-1982 recession, the third-worst in the 20th century. In other words, the choice is stagflation, or deflationary depression. Right now, the U.S. is entering the “end of the honeymoon” stage of stagflation. The initial months of a mass stimulus program always creates indicators of economic health. But the truth is, these indicators are fleeting and the appearance of health is an illusion. The irony (or perhaps the agenda) when dealing with inflation induced growth is that the central bank often uses these signals to justify fiscal tightening and higher interest rates until the economy breaks. For example, mainstream economists noted a sharp increase of 3% in retail sales in January, after two consecutive months of steep declines. They interpreted this as a sign of recovery, but also as a sign of an overheating economy. So, more rate hikes are now expected. But did retail sales really increase? Or, are most goods and services just becoming too expensive and this is being translated as higher sales? If people are buying more, then why do business inventories continue to rise each month? Maybe because Americans are spending more but buying less due to inflation. Consumers have also been leaning heavily on credit cards the past year. Does this mean they are recovering and are more apt to spend recreationally, or, does it mean they are using credit cards to cover the price increases on their normal monthly expenditures? In polls, 33% of Americans say it will take them at least 2 years to pay off their credit card debts, and 50% of Americans say they need their credit cards just to cover normal essential living expenses. Furthermore, 45% of people said they had to take on more debt during the pandemic – and 40% say they are worse off financially since Joe Biden took office and only 16% said their situation has improved. This is not a recovery for the average American, but inflation in some areas of the economy can make it seem like things are improving on paper, if you only look at it from a narrow perspective. Employment stats are another indicator used to promote the concept of recovery, and here we get into the real smoke and mirrors of inflation. Biden often brags about creating 12 million jobs in the U.S. since he took office. What he doesn’t mention is that he destroyed over 25 million jobs with Covid lockdowns. And, the vast majority of jobs that have returned are low wage part time work. These jobs were essentially purchased with $8 trillion in fiat stimulus, as well as unemployment checks and the moratorium on rent payments. Americans were flush with a sudden influx of cash and so they went out and spent it, causing a temporary retail rush. However, the money has run out. The credit cards are maxed out, and time is short. Many in the public are awake to the threat because it is hitting them directly in their wallets. Yet, many others are oblivious. In my view the talk of an economic “soft landing” is yet another deliberate disinformation narrative being fed to the citizenry to keep people docile and unprepared. But even if you think there is no agenda and no malice intended within our government or within the establishment media you still have to consider the reality that they have been wrong over and over again when it comes to the economy. Why should anyone listen to them anymore? The gullible will assume, once again, that the mainstream analysis is accurate and that the ship is righting itself. They will assume that the worst of the storm has passed. I’m here to say the worst of the storm has just begun. As the Fed continues its policy of tightening, many people will find that stagflation is persisting and that QT is making little difference. Prices will remain high on most necessities, but other parts of the economy will be shrinking. Jobs markets will begin to falter, probably in Spring, along with stock markets, overseas trade, retail sales and wages. The initial indictors of “strength” will fall away revealing the true health of the system. Historically, this is usually when the populace gets very angry, and people are already on edge as it is. A rather dramatic distraction would be needed to keep the public busy and their minds off the central bankers and politicians that created this mess. Something even bigger than the pandemic scare. Economic disinformation is a double-edged sword – it buys the establishment time and keeps the public off balance, but by telling people circumstances are not as bad as they appear the shock is even greater when the crash occurs. Because a crash is coming – make no mistake. I don’t expect most paper assets to survive, let alone entitlement programs. Social Security, pensions, annuities? Either gone completely, or shambling on like zombies, sending out increasingly-worthless paper checks so politicians can tell us they kept their promises. For those of us who see the future clearly, there are very few “safe havens” for our money: farmland, livestock and commodities (particularly physical gold and silver). Resilient households will be prepared for much more than a 72-hour emergency. Start preparing yourself and your family without delay. The mainstream media and the administration are lying to us. Most Americans will be taken by surprise when the crash materializes – once they realize how thoroughly they’ve been duped, they’ll be looking for heads to roll. * * * After 8 long years of ultra-loose monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, it’s no secret that inflation is primed to soar. If your IRA or 401(k) is exposed to this threat, it’s critical to act now! That’s why thousands of Americans are moving their retirement into a Gold IRA. Learn how you can too with a free info kit on gold from Birch Gold Group. It reveals the little-known IRS Tax Law to move your IRA or 401(k) into gold. Click here to get your free Info Kit on Gold.
Not your keys, Not your Money...
"The US Government is about to gaslight the failure of banks as a failure of crypto. Dont be fooled - the bank failure has nothing to do with crypto, and everything to do with banks buying treasuries/MBS and regulatory failure" "Just got off of a zoom meeting with Fed, Treasury, House, and Senate. A Democrat Senator essentially asked whether there was a program in place to censor information on social media that could lead to a run on the banks. -- @RepThomasMassie" https://youtu.be/833SRSJceqk https://youtu.be/wcpRW4ySaG8 "Don't tell anyone 🤫 Next up - CBDCs are the way foward" "Just a reminder we live in a fraudulent system" "…and some people wonder “why bitcoin”…here is one answer" "banks go to fucking zero, Bitcoin not." "Documentary: 2023 Bank Run 🏦🏃| The Rise of #Bitcoin" "Bitcoin rated as being the 12th most valuable asset in the world" "Where we’re headed, we won’t need centralized intermediaries anymore Once the #crypto ecosystem is complete there will be no need for on/off-ramps back to traditional finance - Byron" "Confirmed: Bull Market is in!" "Bitcoin and Gold are on fire!" "I wonder when the media will post about Bitcoin's increase today.." "Trying to understand how the Fed makes decisions ? Consult the rule book... Monopoly 👇😅"
Yes, The Latest Bank Bailout Is Really A Bailout, And You Are Paying For It https://mises.org/wire/yes-latest-bank-bailout-really-bailout-and-you-are-pa... Ryan McMaken, The Mises Institute https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1634028534107602944 https:/twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1634564398919368704 https:/www.usbank.com/financialiq/improve-your-operations/investments-and-controls/protecting-cash-balances.html https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230312a.ht... http://www.fdic.gov/analysis/quarterly-banking-profile/qbp/2022dec/ https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/bank-term-funding-progra... https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/files/monetary202303... https://mises.org/wire/why-fed-bankrupt-and-why-means-more-inflation https://mises.org/wire/dont-call-it-capitalism-feds-8-trillion-hoard-financi... https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230312b.ht... https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/1635272942660784133 https://www.barrons.com/articles/svb-fdic-news-what-to-know-10bd0471 https:/fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPSACBW027SBOG https://www.statista.com/chart/29478/share-of-fdic-protected-deposits-at-sel... Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed on Friday and was shut down by regulators. It was the second-largest failure in US history and the first since the global financial crisis. Almost immediately, the calls for bailouts started to come in. In fact, on March 9, even before SVB failed, billionaire investor Bill Ackman took to Twitter to insist a federal “bailout should be considered” if the private sector could not save the bank. Hours after SVB officially failed, Ackman was still at it, and in a 646-word panicky screed, he demanded that the federal government “guarantee SVB deposits” and essentially backstop the entire banking industry to keep failing, inefficient, and poorly managed banks afloat. Now, many readers might be saying to themselves, “I thought bank deposits were insured!” That, of course, is correct, but deposits are only legislatively insured up to $250,000 by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Given that most normal people keep less than this in their bank accounts, that means the majority of bank users are not going to lose any of their money should their banks fail. Moreover, it is extremely easy to acquire deposit insurance on much more than $250,000 by simply keeping money at more than one bank. That $250,000 limit applies to the deposits at each bank where a depositor keeps funds. For customers with high liquidity needs, the financial sector offers tools for dealing with the risk of exceeding FDIC limits. In an illustration of the laziness and arrogance that so characterizes our modern financial class, however, many of the wealthiest depositors at Silicon Valley Bank couldn’t be bothered with managing their deposits, and they essentially ignored the deposit-insurance rules that even a ten-year-old understands when opening his first bank account. As a result, many venture capitalists and other wealthy SVB customers stand to lose a lot of money. At least, they stood to lose a lot of money before Sunday evening, when the Federal Reserve announced its new “Bank Term Funding Program” (BTFP), which promises to flood the banking system with new money and shore up the personal finances of wealthy depositors. This is part of a two-pronged effort to both make banks appear more financially sound, and to greatly expand FDIC payouts to depositors who have their funds in these banks. The official propaganda coming out of the administration, and from the usual Fed fanboys, is that none of this is a bailout. That’s a lie. The new steps being taken by the Fed and by the Treasury Department's FDIC are indeed ultimately bailouts for billionaires and other wealthy depositors. Moreover, this new program will require at least a partial return of quantitative easing. There’s no way to guarantee such huge sums of money without having to fall back on inflationary monetary policy yet again. This also means price inflation won’t be going away. Here is why. Propping Up Asset Prices with New Money The first prong of the bailout plan is to use extremely low-cost loans to shovel more money at banks in order to make them look more financially sound. The idea here is to head off depositor panics over uninsured deposits before they start. The first indication that this scheme is a bailout comes from the text of the press release on the creation of the BTFP. It states that the new program will be offering loans of up to one year in length to banks, savings associations, credit unions, and other eligible depository institutions pledging U.S. Treasuries, agency debt and mortgage-backed securities [MBS], and other qualifying assets as collateral. These assets will be valued at par. The BTFP will be an additional source of liquidity against high-quality securities, eliminating an institution’s need to quickly sell those securities in times of stress. The key phrase is “These assets will be valued at par.” That’s important because these banks are facing huge unrealized losses, many stemming from losses on assets whose market prices plummeted as interest rates rose. Part of the reason these banks are in trouble is because their assets are no longer worth anywhere near par value in the marketplace: Yet, the Fed has decided to simply declare that banks' assets sit at par value and thus far more valuable than is really the case. It will let banks use these assets as collateral at the imaginary (higher) prices. Moreover, the terms of the BTFP loans reiterate how these are loans designed to hand money to banks for little in return. According to the Fed, “there are no fees associated with the Programs” and there is no penalty for prepayment. Foreign banks are also eligible, by the way. And, of course, “the Department of the Treasury . . . [will] provide $25 billion as credit protection.” If history is any guide, we can expect that Treasury backstop to get a lot bigger. If and when some of these banks default on the loans, the collateral won’t come close to covering the value of the loans. The banks are essentially getting free money. Where will the money to provide these loans come from? It will be printed, of course. The Fed is already bankrupt and has no extra money lying around. The Fed can’t just start selling off its $8.5 trillion hoard of Treasurys and MBS to get cash. That would drive down the prices of those assets even further, and this would make balance sheets at banks—who also own Treasurys and MBS—even worse. So, new loans and guarantees will have to come from new money. Another phrase for that is "monetary inflation." The FDIC Will Need a Bailout The second prong of the bailout is the FDIC's promise to cover all depositors at troubled banks, rather than just those with deposits up to the usual limit. The not-a-bailout narrative claims that the new promised expansion of insurance will all be funded by FDIC fees and imposes no costs on taxpayers. "The banks will pay for it," we are told. That’s not how it will actually work. In this three-minute video, Peter St. Onge explains the real problem: Is the FDIC bailout a bailout? pic.twitter.com/MHuEsEe3Z1 — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) March 13, 2023 St. Onge notes that the FDIC fund available for backstopping deposits is less than $130 billion. Yet deposits in US banks total approximately $22 trillion. The FDIC fund is equal to about 0.6 percent of all the deposits. And it appears that even at the banks with the highest proportion of FDIC-covered accounts, only 42 percent of deposits are covered by insurance. So, clearly, extending FDIC coverage to all deposits means the FDIC will have nowhere near the funds it needs to cover potential depositor losses. The FDIC was never intended to insure rich people with deposits well in excess of FDIC insurance maximums. Yet that is exactly what is now happening. When the FDIC runs out of money, what happens? The FDIC runs to the US Treasury to get a bailout. Where does the money to bail out the FDIC come from? It comes either from current tax revenues or from borrowed money. Either way, the taxpayers are on the hook. Moreover, if the Fed intervenes to buy up some of that new government debt—to keep federal interest obligations low, of course—then taxpayers will also pay via the inflation tax. When we consider all this, we can see how the grift works: the Fed or the Treasury Department creates a “fund” and claims that it will be financed by fees and other nontax revenue sources. Thus, when the FDIC or the Fed rush to bail out banks, the politicians can claim the taxpayers will pay nothing. That is only true if the programs themselves receive no backstopping from the Treasury or from monetary inflation. But if we’ve learned anything since 2008, it’s that these programs all enjoy implicit guarantees of taxpayer backing, and that any “caps” on these amounts can be increased at any time. Expect More Price Inflation In any case, the ordinary taxpayer will certainly feel the pain in terms of ongoing price inflation. Current bailout efforts are inflationary and are thoroughly opposed to the Federal Reserve’s recent attempts at “quantitative tightening.” The whole point of the bailouts, after all, is to loosen financial conditions for banks. So the Fed will almost certainly be backing off whatever it had planned in terms of raising the target interest rate and reducing its portfolio at the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Now the Fed will be looking at whatever strategy it can find to increase the flow of dollars to banks, and that will mean more money creation, even if the Fed’s official position remains ostensibly hawkish. Put another way, get ready for more entrenched price inflation. But don’t forget that the primary focus of all of this is to bail out wealthy depositors and bankers. On top of it all, there’s no guarantee that it will even work. There’s a reason the financial technocrats are in panic mode. They don’t know what will happen next.
https://usdebtclock.org/ https://usdebtclock.com/ https://usdebtclock.day/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vk7gPypWP3Y Maxed Out 2006 Maxed Out: Hard Times, Easy Credit and the Era of Predatory Lenders (2006) And Then Something Broke... https://schiffgold.com/exploring-finance/and-then-something-broke/ https://schiffgold.com/exploring-finance/calling-the-feds-bluff-they-are-hol... https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html Peter Schiff via SchiffGold.com, Over the past several months, Mike Maharrey and I have posted numerous articles that conclude the same way… the Fed is bluffing and when something breaks, they will fold. On every podcast, Mike has walked through exactly why this is inevitable. Back in September, I laid out the math that showed why the Fed would fold and laid out a series of risks that may cause such an event. One of those risks was “What if the financial markets freeze because there is a credit event somewhere?”. Well, that just happened. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and now Signature Bank has collapsed. Sure enough, the Fed folded within 48 hours. They stood with the Treasury and FDIC and explained how they are stepping in to prevent systemic risks from spreading. They have established a new Bank Term Funding Program (BTFB) to allow banks to borrow billions and blah blah… Sure, okay. Everything is now fine, right? Nope, sorry, it’s not. SVB is just the latest domino. The dominos have been moving down the risk curve. It started in Crypto with Three Arrows Capital and Luna. Then FTX was exposed for being a fraud. We were told these issues were contained. And they were! SVB didn’t collapse because of FTX contagion or anything related to Crypto. It collapsed all on its own because it was the next step along the risk curve. Let’s do a quick replay… SVB gets tons of cash and capital all through 2021. They have so much cash they don’t have anywhere to put it. They could go into Treasury Bills, but that was yielding 0.25%, so they decide to take a bit more risk. They buy longer-dated treasuries to get more yield. NOT Bitcoin, NOT high-risk stocks. They bought some of the safest securities you can buy… US Treasuries. The mistake they made was forgetting to hedge their interest rate exposure… whoopsie. Fast forward 12 months… yields have been pushed higher by the Fed, and all those Treasuries have lost value. Forced to sell, SVB realizes huge losses, and poof… they gone! Were they surprised? Was the Fed surprised? Because anyone with a calculator wasn’t surprised. This was going to happen; it was just about when. If it wasn’t SVB, it would be someone else. This is what happens when the tide goes out, you see who has been swimming naked. I won’t link to every article on SchiffGold where this was discussed because it’s essentially every article. I think Mike and I are pretty good analysts, but we don’t have PhDs in Economics and our primary job is not about trying to protect the economy from systemic risks. How did we see this coming and the Fed, FDIC, and Treasury all missed it? No doubt I was early, I thought this would have happened months ago… but it was always going to happen! What did the regulators just do? The Fed has come out and said that anyone with “high quality” debt like Treasuries can pledge it as collateral and get back par value for up to a year. So, you bought a Treasury Note for $100 in 2021, it’s now worth $95. Whatever you do… DO NOT SELL IT. Come to the Fed and they will give you $100 for the debt. Treasuries don’t get dumped on the market and everyone is made whole. BOOM, everyone wins and problem solved, right? Sure, for now. But let’s think through a couple of things: First, SVB was not the first domino to fall, and it won’t be the last. The Fed just set up a program for a very specific issue. The next domino will likely be another issue. What then? Another emergency measure? If it doesn’t pose systemic risks then maybe the domino will be allowed to fall. Where does the Fed draw the line? What is systemic? Second, what if you are an unsecured bond holder or stock holder in a smaller regional bank? Well, the government just said you are getting zero if your bank collapses. So, do you really want to be a stock or bond holder in a small regional bank? Probably not. What does that mean? Third, the FDIC just raised its insurance from $250k to basically infinity… overnight! I mean, that’s like every insurance company dropping premiums to zero and saying that all claims will be paid in full without question. Sounds like a party at first, but the hangover could be deadly. The moral hazard here is undeniable. Fourth, the Fed just guaranteed all US Debt at 100% of par value. What are the implications of this incredible Put in the market? If the market decides to test the Fed, they may end up printing boat loads of money. What’s next? The Fed, Treasury, and FDIC just stood together and backed the entire US financial system. But really, this amounts to another big fat Band-Aid. The Fed also officially pivoted, as has been obvious for months. Sure, they may hike rates in 10 days, but that would just be to save face. Powell cannot come out, put a 50-point hike back on the table, and say “The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated” … and then two weeks later not raise rates. That’s not how you bluff! Then again Goldman is already saying hikes are off the table, so we shall see. The broader market sees a 25% chance of no hike next week and is now predicting that 50bps is all the Fed has left in this entire rate hiking cycle. That’s half what it was a week ago. Well, it’s going to be really hard to get inflation back down to 2% if the Fed is almost done hiking… but that’s a future problem, right? I would be surprised if the Fed even made it another 50bps. SVB was not FTX. SVB was a well-established and respected institution. Everyone can look in the rear-view mirror and understand why SVB collapsed, but it doesn’t seem obvious until it happens. And wow! It happened really fast! The stock was trading at $270 on March 8th and on March 10th it was worth exactly $0. Holy smokes! Powell just said everything looks fine on March 7th and 4 days later he is in emergency meetings trying to save the entire US Financial System. That’s not such a good look. In the end, the Fed has bought itself time, but it also likely just damaged its reputation and announced to everyone that they can talk tough but can’t act tough. So, how much time did they buy? Is it more than a week? Probably. But we have seen this show before. Bear Stearns collapsed on March 14th, 2008. It wasn’t until 6 months later that the Global Financial Crisis started with the collapse of Lehman on September 15th, 2008. The Fed brokered the sale of Bear Stearns to JPM and bought itself 6 months. This time around, did the Fed buy 1 month, 6 months, a year? Impossible to know. But if I was a betting man, I wouldn’t bet on more than 6 months. That means you still have time to protect yourself from the obvious outcome that lies ahead. Buy an insurance policy with no counterparty and that needs no bailout. Buy some physical gold and silver!
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-14/why-did-signature-bank-fa... “In five years a number of banks will not be around because of blockchain technology. -- Joseph DiPaolo, Signature Bank CEO, 2018" "BREAKING: the US banking system" "Bitcoin has been waiting for 14 years to exist during a period of bank collapses and financial crisis." Anyone can "investigate" anything... https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/03/15/us-doj-was-investigating-signatur... https://cointelegraph.com/news/signature-bank-investigated-for-money-launder... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-15/signature-bank-faced-crim... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Croesus#War_against_Persia_and_defeat https://v.redd.it/7dw6jdlw6ona1 Bitcoin FTW @pledditor https://v.redd.it/nr8mmzlrwuna1 Satoshi
"BTC > SVB" https://v.redd.it/3bemuc8iltna1 SVB: Orange Pilled FTW @CryptoGraffiti "New York regulator says Signature Bank closure ‘nothing to do’ with cryptocurrencies: Reuters" The NYDFS said the lender had “a significant crisis of confidence in the bank’s leadership” and the closure was “based on the current status of the bank and its ability to do business in a safe and sound manner,” according to the report. The authority’s statement came after former congressman Barney Frank, a Signature Bank board member, told CNBC that the closure was related to “regulators wanted to send a very strong anti-crypto message.” "Safe and Sound = FED and SEC latest buzzphrase for Anti-Crypto, used it to kill Custodia, Crypto ETF's, and many other solid Crypto services..." "IMMEDIATE FOIA against NY Regulator re SBNY Anti-Crypto" "This was not only a bailout, but a disguised attack on crypto that will lay the groundwork for CBDCs" "Choose Freedom. Choose Bitcoin #NoCBDC" Route around GovBankPol's FUD Fraud Lies and Theft, go crypto. https://techcrunch.com/2023/03/14/svb-crypto-regulation-decentralization/ Chaos in US banks could push crypto industry toward decentralization U.S. Treasury Poised to Release View on How DeFi Used in Illicit Finance "Illicit [adjective] - Anything that takes power back from Govt and Banks"
"My conclusion is that politicians like Liz Warren together with regulatory bodies fragilized crypto banks and encouraged runs against them, then used withdrawals as a pretext to close them down. What was meant to be a surgical operation became a massive banking crisis."
Credit Suisse implodes after months of agony. Signature Bank was done by the corrupt Anti-Crypto GovBankPol's of the Deep State... “Any buyer of Signature must agree to give up all the crypto business at the bank” https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-regulator-taps-piper-sandler-new... https://apnews.com/article/signature-bank-fdic-barney-frank-silicon-valley-6... A regulatory takeover of a New York-based bank was intended to send a message to U.S. banks to stay away from the cryptocurrency business, a former member of Congress who was on the bank’s board says. " Quite alarming. This is how revolutions begin. ... The American government must be stopped at all costs. ... The Biden administration gotta go. This is ridiculous! "
Signature Bank was done by the corrupt Anti-Crypto GovBankPol's of the Deep State...
They corruptly shut down Silvergate too... https://www.piratewires.com/p/crypto-choke-point https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/03/barney-frank-says-more-shuttering-si... https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-regulator-taps-piper-sandler-new... https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/03/15/silvergate-was-not-cut-off-from-f... “Any buyer of Signature must agree to give up all the crypto business at the bank, the two sources added.” Wait WHAT, the government making explicit decisions on who gets a bank account. And confirmed. This was an effective operation to shut down the crypto activities of the last remaining pro crypto bank reuters.com/business/finance… Let this settle any remaining doubt. The Signature closure was a targeted takeover in the darkness of a Sunday night to kill off legal activity from banking rails. Operation Chokepoint 2 is real. C2.0 confirmed nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 6h it's perfectly normal to seize a solvent $100b bank on a sunday because you dont like their clientele 90 202 15 1,519 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 14h Shocking interview with Barney Frank -- pushes back at DFS' assertion that Signature wasn't closed due to an anti-crypto animus... whole thing worth reading @jenwieczner 👏👏 nymag.com/intelligencer/2023… Barney Frank Says More on Shuttering of Signature Bank “I was sort of vindicated — they have not argued that we were insolvent,” says the author of the Dodd-Frank Act. nymag.com 52 319 52 1,118 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h the whole thing is absolutely bananas. some extracts - if FDIC/Fed had acted on Friday, the run wouldn't have taken place - Signature was ready and able to open on Monday 4 28 1 209 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h - NYDFS never admitted that Signature was insolvent (!!!) - instead, they claimed that Signature didn't give them sufficient data - but that's no reason to nationalize a bank - reiterates that DFS' main intention was to send an anti-crypto message 7 50 4 303 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h The government can apparently seize banks that are not insolvent just because they do not like them. 15 74 7 443 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h Frank alleges that the Signature scalping was a warning shot to any other pro-crypto bank. Confirms Chokepoint 2.0 and says it's working 6 28 5 261 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h - confirms that he's not saying this out of a pro-crypto bias (has always been skeptical) - says there should be a way for banks to support crypto, and it can be done responsibly - thinks it's wrong for banks to be deputized as crypto regulators, should be left to SEC 3 10 2 186 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h the whole thing is just astounding. nymag.com/intelligencer/2023… Barney Frank Says More on Shuttering of Signature Bank “I was sort of vindicated — they have not argued that we were insolvent,” says the author of the Dodd-Frank Act. nymag.com 4 23 2 258 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 13h this wasn't some two-bit bank, this was a renowned NY institution with a large practice outside of crypto. they had >$100b in assets, this was the 3rd largest bank failure in US history. and they were nationalized, while not insolvent. absolutely insane 17 82 5 569 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 12h so the government is going to need to furnish some very good explanations for why they zeroed out $7b of equity market cap ($22b at peak) arbitrarily nationalising firms is something thuggish banana republics do, not the USA 37 55 9 516 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 11h ppl calling me a conspiracist for pointing out SI and SBNY shutdowns were political & suspicious ppl called me a conspiracist when i broke this news in early feb too. piratewires.com/p/crypto-cho… Operation Choke Point 2.0 Is Underway, And Crypto Is In Its Crosshairs detailing the Biden Admin's coordinated, ongoing effort across virtually every US financial regulator to deny crypto firms access to banking services piratewires.com 17 27 1 322 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 10h One last thing, to determine whether this theory has legs. If another bank acquires SDNY and Signet is _not_ included in the package, it is clear that DFS took them down to take Signet (critical crypto infra) offline. Watch this part carefully. 18 20 5 311 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 7h And confirmed. This was an effective operation to shut down the crypto activities of the last remaining pro crypto bank reuters.com/business/finance… Exclusive: U.S. regulator taps Piper Sandler in new bid to sell Silicon Valley Bank -sources Regulators at the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) have tapped investment bank Piper Sandler Companies to relaunch the auction of failed lender Silicon Valley Bank, people familiar with the... reuters.com 34 52 18 340 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 7h Where were the people telling me this had absolutely nothing to do with Signature’s crypto activities a couple hours ago? Leo Schwartz @leomschwartz 7h Now I think we can safely say that (crypto) Signet is done Show this thread 20 90 12 526 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 7h Took three hours for my “baseless conspiracy” to be proven correct nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 10h Replying to @nic__carter @jenwieczner One last thing, to determine whether this theory has legs. If another bank acquires SDNY and Signet is _not_ included in the package, it is clear that DFS took them down to take Signet (critical crypto infra) offline. Watch this part carefully. Show this thread 6 5 3 191 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 14h So FHLB says they didn't compel Silvergate to prepay their advance; however, that prepayment is what triggered SI's collapse So Silvergate inexplicably committed suicide? That's the best explanation we have right now? coindesk.com/policy/2023/03/… 23 29 6 284 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 14h No one appears to know why SI abruptly prepaid their FHLB loan (and plunged themselves into bk), except presumably SI execs, who aren't saying anything, probably bc of pending lawsuits. So we have mysteries on mysteries. 6 7 2 100 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 16h Whip Emmer nails it. Coincidence that the three most prominent crypto-focused banks were taken down/nationalized in a week? Despite all surviving the crypto drawdown prior? Deliberate regulatory fragilization + opportunism is what killed them, not crypto. Tom Emmer @GOPMajorityWhip 19h Today, I sent a letter to FDIC Chairman Gruenberg regarding reports that the FDIC is weaponizing recent instability in the banking sector to purge legal crypto activity from the U.S. 👇 23 170 10 780 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 16h This outcome is extremely convenient for regulators that have been the _warpath_ against crypto-servicing banks. These 3 were not the 3 most HTM-security exposed banks, but they were the only 3 that were taken out I look forward to answers from the FDIC & NYDFS 5 5 1 148 nic carter 🌠 @nic__carter 17h USG- running critical infra powering the crypto industry thank u mr biden
US Republicans might be understanding that crypto can help them lower taxes and reduce the size of government... two of their consistent talking points if not action points for decades. https://twitter.com/GOPMajorityWhip/status/1636008298481680384 Tom Emmer @GOPMajorityWhip Today, I sent a letter to FDIC Chairman Gruenberg regarding reports that the FDIC is weaponizing recent instability in the banking sector to purge legal crypto activity from the U.S. 👇
https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2023/03/14/crypto-didnt-create-t... Crypto up 85% thanks to all the free advertising :)
Biden In Touch With Buffett On Bank Crisis What do you call it when an 80-year-old seeks the advice of a 92-year-old? Answer: the worst financial crisis since Lehman.TM Realizing that Berkshire Hathaway had a near-record $128 billion in cash at the start of the year, more than most countries... ... Joe Biden, who on Monday lied to the American people that the "our banking system is safe"... The bottom line is this: Americans can rest assured that our banking system is safe, and your deposits are safe. pic.twitter.com/hM36ZmZ22x — Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) March 13, 2023 ... appears to have changed his mind and is urgently hoping to recreate the zeitgeist surrounding the infamous Oct 16 "Buy American" NYT op-ed by Warren Buffett. ... which ended up being memorable but only after the biggest bailout of US banks and capital markets in history and the start of the neverending QR/ZIRP->bust->QE/ZIRP cycle. According to Bloomberg, Berkshire’s Warren Buffett has been in touch with senior officials in President Joe Biden’s administration in recent days as the regional banking crisis goes from bad to worse to Savings And Loan 2.0 (if only America had any savings left). The buzz of private jet activity centering on Omaha was first reported by Fuzzy Panda who noted that "a large number (>20) of Private Jets landed in Omaha yesterday afternoon" with jets flying from HQs of Regional Banks, Ski Resorts & DC, and prompting the question "Did Buffett just fly all the regional bank CEOs into Omaha & offer a deal to SAVE the banks?" The Private Jets arrived in Omaha in multiple groups. Sometimes landing at almost the same exact time. Did Buffett schedule some meetings with different groups of CEOs every hour? Number of Jets arriving: 5 ~10am (est) 3 ~2pm 5 ~3:30pm 5 ~5pm 6 ~6:15pm 3 ~7:30pm pic.twitter.com/68Ok6zl8cA — FuzzyPanda 🇺🇦 (@FuzzyPandaShort) March 17, 2023 For now the answer is unclear, nor is it clear what role, if any, the billionaire investor may play to contain the crisis after the cascading failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and Silvergate. Buffett, who will be 100 years old in 2031, has a long history of stepping in to aid banks in crisis, providing funding at daylight robbery terms (10% prefs + warrants), and leveraging his cult investing status to restore confidence in ailing firms. Bank of America won a capital injection from Buffett in 2011 after its stock plunged amid losses tied to subprime mortgages. Buffett also tossed a $5 billion lifeline to Goldman in 2008 to shore up the bank following the Lehman Brothers collapse. Meanwhile, Biden’s team, wary of political blowback among progressives, has sought to implement bailouts that are spun as magically not being bailouts and which don’t require direct government spending from taxpayers, including the Federal Reserve’s actions (narrator: of course they require taxpayer backing). Alas, so far Biden's plan has been a disaster: on Thursday, big US banks voluntarily deposited $30 billion to stabilize First Republic Bank this week, a move regulators described as “most welcome.” On Friday, the stock collapsed another 50%. Any investment or intervention from Buffett or other figures would continue that playbook, looking to stem the crisis without direct bailouts.... until of course direct bailouts, rate cuts and QE are inevitable since a cascading wave of defaults among the regional banks would lead to another great depression as small/medium banks account for 50% of US commercial and industrial lending, 60% of residential real estate lending, 80% of commercial real estate lending, and 45% of consumer lending. This is a serious risk — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 18, 2023 But before we get there, and since we are now following the playbook of the 2008 crisis, expect the SEC to "halt short selling of financial stocks to protect investors and markets", just like it did 3 days after Lehman collapse sparking the worst banking crisis... until now.
Fed Panics, Announces "Coordinated" Daily US Dollar Swap Lines To Ease Banking Crisis "The market stops panicking when central banks start panicking" In January 2022, just around the time the Fed announced it was launching its most aggressive tightening campaign since Volcker, we warned "remember, every Fed tightening cycle ends in disaster and then, much more Fed easing" Remember, every Fed tightening cycle ends in disaster and then, much more Fed easing pic.twitter.com/zX7Dur8nLG — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 5, 2022 Fast forward to just over a week ago, when the Fed tightening cycle indeed ended in disaster when SIVB became the first (of many) banks to fail, triggering a chain of dominoes that culminated with today's collapse of Credit Suisse - a systematically important bank with $600BN in assets. And then, at 5pm, the easing officially began, because while a bunch of laughable macrotourists were arguing on FinTwit whether last week's record surge in the Fed's discount window was QE or wasn't QE (answer: it didn't matter, because as we said, it assured what comes next), the Fed finally capitulated, just as we warned over and over and over that it would... Every time FRAOIS has been here, the Fed capitulated — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 17, 2023 If the Fed does not contain the regional bank collapse, there will be another great depression. Small/medium banks account for 50% of US commercial and industrial lending, 60% of residential real estate lending, 80% of commercial real estate lending, and 45% of consumer lending pic.twitter.com/wzTMHxSnXI — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 18, 2023 "Fed either pivots too early and turns dovish in to a high inflation scenario which is fairly bearish the USD thus helping gold or they pivot too late and cause a much bigger recession than is priced in right now, resulting flight to safety helps gold." - Goldman — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 5, 2023 ... and at exactly 5pm the Fed announced "coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity" by opening daily Dollar Swap lines with all major central banks, in a carbon copy repeat of the Fed's panicked post-covid crisis policy response playbook. The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Swiss National Bank are today announcing a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity via the standing U.S. dollar liquidity swap line arrangements. To improve the swap lines' effectiveness in providing U.S. dollar funding, the central banks currently offering U.S. dollar operations have agreed to increase the frequency of 7-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations will commence on Monday, March 20, 2023, and will continue at least through the end of April. The network of swap lines among these central banks is a set of available standing facilities and serve as an important liquidity backstop to ease strains in global funding markets, thereby helping to mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses. And once the USD swap lines are reopened, the rest of the cavalry follows: rate cuts, QE (the real stuff, not that Discount Window nonsense), etc, etc. In fact, we have already seen a near record surge in reserve injections: The Fed may as well formalize it now and at least preserve some confidence in the banking sector, even if it means destroying all confidence left in the "inflation fighting" Fed, with all those whose were in charge handing in their resignation for their catastrophic handling of this bank crisis. Powell/Yellen out. Just a matter of time now — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 19, 2023 Then again, maybe they should just wait until he Fed hikes its inflation target to 3% or more - something else we predicted... At some point Fed will concede it has no control over supply. That's when we will start getting leaks of raising the inflation target — zerohedge (@zerohedge) June 21, 2022 ... because now that we are back in liquidity injection mode, well, say goodbye to hopes of seeing affordable eggs every again.
Wokies SocComs and LGBTs, berating each other and imploding the USA... Warren ♥ Dimon, hates Hayek Austrian Hazlitt etc Liz Warren Makes War On Powell, And How 'Woke' SF Fed Chief Failed On SVB Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) says Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has racked up "an astonishing list of failures," which contributed to the implosion of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, Bloomberg reports. "SVB and Signature accumulated risk and made dangerous decisions about how to manage that risk," said Warren in a Wednesday letter to Powell. "They did so in part because of greed and incompetence – but were allowed to do so under faulty supervision and in a weakened regulatory environment that you helped to create." "You owe the public an explanation," Warren continued, demanding that Powell respond to 11 questions by March 29. This is the biggest disaster in recent Fed history. Four days ago, Powell was saying he could hike 50bps. Powell has to be fired immediately — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 12, 2023 Warren's letter outlines several efforts to weaken regulations that were implemented following the 2008 financial crisis, which was enabled by lax supervision by the Fed. Warren also demanded that Powell recuse himself from an internal investigation by the Fed into regulatory failures concerning SVB - the results of which will be made public by Vice Chair Michael Barr by May 1. Instead, a bipartisan group of lawmakers wants an independent investigation. The Fed and other regulators announced emergency measures to help contain the budding crisis, including a new loan program from the central bank that will make is easier for banks to borrow to meet deposit withdrawal demand. In her letter, Warren also said Powell supported a 2018 law that exempted mid-sized banks like SVB from the same stringent oversight requirements faced by the biggest banks, a change that she and some other progressives have said contributed to SVB’s demise. Testifying about the bill at the time, Powell said the Fed would still have the ability to regulate mid-size banks if warranted, and that gave them “the tools that we need.” -Bloomberg "Make no mistake: your decisions aided and abetted this bank failure, and you bear your share of responsibility for it," wrote Warren. Meanwhile, woke 'Frisco Fed' chief Mary Daly has also come under fire. As Paul Sperry writes in the NY Post: "Wokeness has replaced competence and merit across the banking sector, and San Francisco Fed Chief Mary Daly is the poster child of this pernicious trend." A protege of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and short-list candidate for Federal Reserve vice chair, Daly was supposed to be supervising Silicon Valley Bank but apparently was too busy playing politics and pushing woke agendas to regulate rogue banks like SVB, the second-biggest bank failure on record. Daly had other priorities, including climate change, George Floyd and Black Lives Matter, inequities between blacks and whites, LGBTQ+ rights and a host of other woke social-justice issues that had nothing to do with banking and finance. -NY Post According to Daly's bio, her commitments include "understanding the economic and financial risks of climate change and inequities." Sperry highlights a recent LinkedIn post from Daly, in which she appears 'sidetracked' by racial justice, writing "What Black voices have I lifted up? Equity & inclusion begins with me. #GeorgeFloyd." And while Daly has been focused on everything but banking, she was completely oblivious to the warning signs of inflation. Two years ago, as inflation was spiraling out of control, she said: "I am not thinking that we have unwanted inflation around the corner. I don’t think that’s a risk." Last year, she denied that the economy was suffering from horrific inflation, saying "That's not what I see." And in August, Daly - who makes $422,000 per year, said "I don’t feel the pain of inflation anymore." "I’m not immune to gas prices rising, food prices rising," she continued, adding "But I don’t find myself in a space where I have to make trade-offs, because I have enough, and many, many Americans have enough." From her policy papers, speeches and interviews, it’s clear that Daly thinks the Fed’s core mission isn’t controlling inflation but achieving full employment — and raising interest rates just hurts that goal. Her agenda is more jobs and higher wages for minorities, so sound money is not a priority for her — even though inflation is a huge tax on the working class and especially minorities. Until recently, Daly was opposed to the Fed’s hawkish shift to tightening credit to fight inflation. Her bank examiners no doubt shared her dovish mindset and didn’t anticipate rates increasing, which may also explain why alarms weren’t raised at SVB. -NY Post Sperry also notes that Daly has zero experience in banking or managing risk. According to her, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has been an "important mentor in my life . . . [S]he made my career kind of explode." And now banks under her watch are, 'kind of imploding.'
'Occupy Wall Street' Redux Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, “The bank is something more than men, I tell you. It’s the monster. Men made it, but they can’t control it.” – John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath Negative Carry Borrowing short and lending long works mostly well most of the time. This is how modern banking works. You may be a customer at a bank. But you also supply the product. In short, a bank will pay you a small percent for the deposits in your checking and savings accounts, which you can withdraw at any time. This is the borrowing short side of the operation. The bank then takes your deposits and invests the money in some longer-term assets, such as loans and bonds that aren’t paid back for years. Say the bank earns 2 percent on its money while paying depositors a fraction of a percent. The bank pockets the spread, the net interest margin. Easy money. However, when the Federal Reserve intervenes in the market and presses the federal funds rate to zero and holds it there for 2 years (March 2020 to March 2022), driving yields across the range of maturities to 5,000-year lows, something bad is bound to happen. The experience for consumers over the last 24 months has been raging consumer price inflation. But that’s only a small part of the bad stuff that can happen. Because as the Fed jacked up the federal funds rate starting in March 2022, to contain the consumer price inflation of its own making, the yield curve has inverted. Short term yields are higher than long term yields. And banks, having borrowed short to lend long, have negative carry. Perhaps it would all works out for the banks if depositors stayed put. But in a world where you can score nearly 5 percent from Treasury Direct – with no brokerage fees – why keep excess deposits in the bank when you only get a fraction of a percent? It’s a good question… Answering the Call Customers at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) recently answered this question by pulling their deposits en masse. On March 9, SVB customers withdrew more than $1 million per second for 10 hours straight – totaling $42 billion – before the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) seized the bank and declared it insolvent. This, in essence, was an old fashion bank run with a twist. The digital age pushed the bank run into hyperdrive. SVB isn’t the first bank to go bust borrowing short and lending long. It certainly won’t be the last. In fact, since SVB failed, Signature Bank has also failed. In addition, Credit Suisse is now getting a bailout from the Swiss National Bank. At this rate, any number of other banks could soon be toast. Quite frankly, we don’t’ care what banks go bust. What we’re really interested in is what happens after these banks go bust. In the case of SVB, a bailout – above and beyond FDIC deposits – is in the works, through the creation of something called the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP). What you need to know about BTFP is that it’s code for socializing losses. The regulators may say it isn’t a bailout. The taxpayer isn’t directly paying for it. Nonetheless, if you – the taxpayer – have a bank account, you will be picking up the tab via surcharges and fees your bank imposes to bailout SVB depositors. Is that fair? Should you have to pick up the tab for California Governor Gavin Newsom’s wineries, billionaire businessman Mark Cuban’s drug company, or any of the other rich elites that failed to appropriately manage their risk? On top of that, what will ultimately happen to the remains of SVB or other failed banks? Will the FDIC sell them off to one of the big banks like Washington Mutual (WaMu) was to JPMorgan Chase in 2008? Government bailouts and the consolidation of the banking business does not make banking safer. Rather it spreads the risk across the whole landscape like mustard seeds on a hillside. This, in effect, propagates a much larger banking crisis sometime in the future. It also propagates civil disorder and social discontent. And for what? When banks merge and consolidate over and over again the implications can be heinous. To this point, for fun and for free, we’ll take a look back at the quintessential bank failure of the 20th century. Where to begin… Epic Bank Failure In 1820, Salomon Mayer von Rothschild (1774-1855) established his business, S M von Rothschild, Vienna. Vienna was the capital of the Austrian Empire at the time. When S M von Rothschild died in 1855, his son Anselm von Rothchild (1803-1874) founded Credit-Anstalt as K. k. priv. Österreichische Credit-Anstalt für Handel und Gewerbe. This Rothchild bank became the largest bank in Eastern Europe before World War II. Credit-Anstalt held assets and took deposits from all over Europe. Then, in 1931, it failed at the worst possible time. The bank’s failure was a direct result of the United States’ Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, which raised tariffs on over 20,000 imported goods. The act crippled Europe’s economy and led investors to redeem all the capital they’d lent to the bank. The failure of Credit-Anstalt caused Austria to abandon the gold standard, which set off a series of economic dominoes. Germany left gold. Then Great Britain. And finally, in 1933, so did America. The failure of Credit-Anstalt is what really kicked off the Great Depression. The real story, of course, is not Credit-Anstalt’s collapse. It’s what let up to its collapse. Today, with the Federal Reserve having first compelled banks to stretch for yield in long dated maturities, before then hiking short-term interest rates, banks are being put to an extraordinary test. Without question, there will be more SVBs in the coming weeks. What’s more, a series of bank bailouts and consolidations could be the perfect setup for a very destructive Credit-Anstalt situation. The BTFP bailout of SVB – and Gavin Newsom – offers a pathway to a mega crisis. Here’s why… Forced Mergers When the Austro-Hungarian Empire collapsed at the end of World War I, Credit-Anstalt continued to offer commercial, investment and savings to customers in both the former empire states as well as Amsterdam, Berlin, Bucharest, Paris, and Sofia. Its shares were traded on eleven exchanges, including New York. Credit-Anstalt became the largest bank in Austria through a series of forced mergers to bailout other Austrian banks that had failed. These forced mergers may have been expedient. But they were not intelligent. That is, they did not always pencil out. Moreover, it resulted in the creation of a bank that was larger than the rest of Austria’s banks put together. It also concentrated the accumulated losses of Austrian industry in a single super bank. Over time, Credit-Anstalt’s balance sheet eclipsed the size of the government’s expenditures. Approximately, 70 percent of Austria’s corporations did business with it. In 1925, Credit-Anstalt’s equity was only 15 percent of what it had been in 1914 (at the onset of WWI) and its debt-to-equity ratio rose from 3.64 in 1913 to 5.68 at the end of 1924. By the end of 1930 it had ballooned to 9.44. Part of the increase in the size of the bank came from loans which Credit-Anstalt made to businesses of the former Austro-Hungarian Empire. To make these loans, Credit-Anstalt borrowed money, primarily from Great Britain and the United States. However, the loans from Great Britain and the United States were only on a short-term basis. Any failure to renew these loans would lead to the demise of the bank. The effect of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act essentially toppled the credit pyramid. On May 11, 1931, the bank announced that it had lost more than half of its capital. This was a criterion under Austrian law by which a bank was declared failed. The announcement of losses led to a panic and bank runs on Austrian banks. Occupy Wall Street Redux The crisis that started in Austria and extended to the European continent, continued to Great Britain. The island nation went off the Gold Standard on September 21, 1931, after its gold reserves shrank from £200 million to £5 million. Twenty-five countries soon followed in Britain’s footsteps, depreciating their currency against the U.S. dollar or leaving the gold standard. By the end of 1931, the Depression (with a capital D) was global. FDR took the U.S. off the Gold Standard in April 1933, confiscated the gold of U.S. citizens, and devalued the dollar. By this, workers, savers, and taxpayers got a raw deal. They always do. For example, during the 2008-09 great financial crisis and bank bailouts, workers, savers, and taxpayers also got a raw deal. They lost their jobs. They lost their houses. They lost their life savings. Yet the big bankers still got their big bonuses. If you recall, these bailouts triggered major social discord where the 99 percent took to the streets to Occupy Wall Street. The current bailout of SVB depositors – above and beyond FDIC limits – is resurfacing these same strifes. California Governor Gavin Newsom’s wineries got a bailout. Billionaire businessman Mark Cuban’s drug company got a bailout. Many other Silicon Valley rich elites got a bailout. Therefore, shouldn’t students get a bailout of their student loans? Shouldn’t mortgage and credit card debt be cancelled? Shouldn’t RIFed Googlers get a bailout so they can keep making big bucks sitting in padded hypnotic meditation chambers? These questions are absurd. But so are the bailouts of SVB’s big depositors and the further consolidation of the banking industry. What if, like Credit-Anstalt, JPMorgan Chase or Bank of America were to fail? These are the grim opportunities that bank bailouts and bank consolidations make available. After decades of prolificacy, followed by decades of ambivalence and apathy, America’s headed for complete financial, economic, and societal catastrophe. You can see it. You can hear it. You can feel it. You can taste it. You can smell it. First stop: Occupy Wall Street Redux. In closing, owning physical gold and silver has never been more critical.
Is Your Bank "Important" Enough To Save? Don't Count On It... Authored by Mark Jeftovic via BombThrower.com, The Elites are bailing out their own banks, not yours The systemic banking and financial crisis I’ve been warning about for years has arrived. (In fact, the report I put out in January seems to be playing out in spades). The printing of 37 trillion dollars out of thin air over the pandemic widened the wealth inequality gap – and they followed that up with the most drastic and rapid interest rate hiking cycle in Fed history. What did they think was going to happen? Now the banks are failing – Silicon Valley Bank went from passing its KPMG audit with flying colours and getting their debt rated “A” by Moody’s mere weeks ago, to the executives frantically paying themselves bonuses and selling their shares in the hours and days before the bank failed and was taken over by the FDIC. 98% of the deposits in SVB were uninsured, meaning that those deposits wouldn’t shouldn’t have been covered by FDIC insurance. That means any accounts with balances above $250K were facing the loss of their funds. But this is Silicon Valley Bank – this is where the elites place their bets on Silicon Valley unicorns. So we can’t have that. In a hastily convened meeting between the FDIC, the Fed and the US Treasury, it was decided that all deposits would be covered, insured or not. Crisis averted, right? Wrong. It turns out that only SVB and Signature banks would be covered; if any other banks fail, like your bank, your community co-op in your hometown or state, or any other bank in flyover America far away from the Coastal elites – if they get into trouble (because people are moving their money into “protected” banks), then that’s not covered. ... That’s tough titties for you. Here it is folks - from the mouth of the US Treasury Secretary herself: Silicon Valley (mostly profitless unicorns incubated with printed money) are anointed and protected. But your community bank can go fuck itself, and so can you. Eat cake pleb. pic.twitter.com/o6rBFGghFi — Mark Jeftovic, The ₿itcoin Capitalist (@StuntPope) March 17, 2023 In a stunning admission, when asked point blank by Rep. James Lankford (R-OK) whether a community bank in his home state of Oklahoma would have uninsured depositors made whole the same way the Silicon Valley Unicorns did, Yellen had to come clean: “A bank only gets that treatment if a super-majority of the Fed board, and I, in consultation with the President conclude that failure to protect uninsured depositors would create systemic risk to the banking system” In short “not necessarily”. While Yellen was bobbing and weaving around the question, Lankford stated it clearly: “If you’re a depositor with a Big Bank, preferred by the Fed, you’re fully insured no matter what. If you’re a depositor with a small bank, you aren’t”. Once again, the government is picking winners and losers; just like under lockdowns, when they shut down small businesses and forced everybody into Costco and Wal-Mart. “It’s called stakeholder capitalism”, I’ve mused, “and you’re not a stakeholder”. Well, this time they’ve blown up the banking system real good – and this time they may not be able to kick the can down the road. They may not even be able to save the “Too Big To Fail” banks by the time this is all over. This could be the early innings of the final breakdown of the financial system I’ve been warning about for almost two years, when I released The Crypto Capitalist Manifesto. Since then, we’ve been in a crypto-winter, and starting a few months ago I started to sense a thaw. In fact, the way things are playing out right now are so closely resembles what I put out in my most recent report, that it’s downright eerie. What to look for in the breakdown of the financial system Why Bitcoin was poised to break out of its slumber (written before it exploded 65% higher year-to-date and became the best performing asset of 2023) What the narrative would be from the establishment shills when it all came unglued, and Which stocks would be the leading sector in the next Bitcoin super-cycle It was written in early January and when I compare it to what’s happening now, I kinda scare myself…Read The Bitcoin Bottom Report here.
SVB's London Bankers Received Up To $36 Million In Bonuses Days After BoE-Orchestrated Bailout Bankers at the London branch of Silicon Valley Bank reportedly received tens of millions of dollars in bonuses just days after the Bank of England orchestrated a rescue package that led to Europe's largest lender, HSBC, buying the failed bank's subsidary for just £1, Sky News reports.
https://www.sovereignman.com/trends/the-federal-reserve-just-hijacked-americ... The Fed Just Hijacked American Democracy You know the old joke – “Predictions are hard… especially about the future.” And it’s true, nobody has a crystal ball. But it’s astonishing to see just how horribly wrong the people in charge can be in their predictions, especially about the very near future. You probably remember Joe Biden famously insisted in the summer of 2021 that the Taliban was “highly unlikely” to take over Afghanistan. Boy did he turn out to be wrong. Only a few weeks later, the Taliban was in control of the entire country… and the world watched in utter astonishment as US military helicopters evacuated embassy personnel from Kabul in one of the most shameful episodes in modern American history. Not to be outdone, it appears that the Federal Reserve has just had its own Afghanistan moment. It was only Tuesday of last week that the Fed Chairman testified before a committee of concerned senators who thought the Fed may be tightening monetary policy (i.e. raising interest rates) too quickly. This was a valid concern; rapid interest rate hikes DO create a LOT of risks. And one of those risks is that asset prices– especially bond prices– plummet in value. This risk is particularly problematic for banks because they tend to invest their customer deposits in bonds. In fact, now that the Fed has tightened its monetary policy so quickly, banks across the US have more than $600 billion in unrealized losses on their bond portfolios. This is a pretty major problem… because that $600 billion is ultimately YOUR money. And it’s not like the Fed doesn’t have access to this information; after all, the Fed supervises nearly EVERY bank in the US financial system. And yet last week the Fed Chairman completely rejected this risk, telling worried senators flat out that “nothing about the data suggests to me that we’ve tightened too much. . .” In other words, he believed the Fed’s rapid interest rate hikes posed ZERO risk. Talk about a terrible prediction; just THREE DAYS LATER, one of the largest banks in the US imploded, multiple bank runs unfolded across the country, the bond market fell into turmoil, and the Fed had to essentially guarantee the entire US banking system in order to restore confidence. (More on that in a moment.) The mental image of bank runs in America, just days after the Chairman dismissed any risk, is the Fed’s equivalent of the Afghanistan debacle. It’s shameful. But what’s REALLY concerning is the Fed’s response to this panic– their de facto guarantee of the entire US banking system. Because ultimately they just put YOU on the hook for the potential bond losses of every bank in America. I’ll explain– After Silicon Valley Bank went bust, the FDIC announced that they will guarantee ALL deposits at the bank. This is a departure from the FDIC’s normal pledge to guarantee deposits of up to $250,000, and their decision drew a lot of ire from pundits and politicians across the ideological spectrum. Many people concluded that the FDIC’s pledge was tantamount to a “taxpayer-funded bailout.” But that assessment is wrong. Anyone who is intellectually honest and well-informed will easily understand that the FDIC is not funded by taxpayers. The FDIC is funded by charging fees to its member banks. So when the FDIC decided to guarantee every depositor at Silicon Valley Bank, including those with balances exceeding $250,000, it means they’re bailing out SVB’s wealthy customers at the expense of big Wall Street banks. But most people seem to have missed the real story… because the ACTUAL bailout is coming from the Fed, not the FDIC. Despite the Chairman’s terrible prediction in front of the Senate Banking Committee last week, the Fed now seems keenly aware of the risks in the US banking system. They realize that there are LOTS of other banks that are sitting on massive unrealized losses, just like SVB. So in order to prevent these banks from going under, the Fed invented a new facility they’re calling the “Bank Term Funding Program”, or BTFP. But the BTFP is really just an extraordinary lie designed to make you think that the banking system is safe. They might as well have called it, “Believe This Fiction, People”, and I’ll show you why. Whenever people borrow money from banks, we normally have to provide some sort of collateral. Banks make home equity loans using real estate as collateral. They make car loans where the car is collateral. Manufacturing businesses borrow money using factory equipment as collateral. Well, banks do the same thing when they borrow money. And sometimes banks will even borrow money from the Federal Reserve. This is actually one of the reasons why the central bank exists– to act as a “lender of last resort” if banks need an emergency loan. And when banks borrow money from the Fed, they have to post collateral too. Instead of automobiles and houses, though, banks use their financial assets as collateral– specifically their bonds. This is actually codified by law (12 CFR 201.108) whereby Congress lists specific assets that the Fed can accept as collateral when making loans to banks. The list is basically different types of bonds. But this is the root of the problem. Banks are in financial trouble because their bond portfolios have lost so much value. Some banks (like SVB) are even insolvent because of this. So now, through the BTFP, the Fed will now accept banks’ sagging bond portfolios as collateral, but loan the bank MORE money than the bond portfolios are worth. Let’s say you’re an insolvent bank that invested, say, $100 billion in bonds. Those bonds are now worth $85 billion, and your bank is about to go under. “NO PROBLEMO!” says the Fed. The bank simply posts their bond portfolio (which is only worth $85 billion) as collateral, and the Fed will loan the bank the full $100 billion… as if those losses never occurred. It’s a complete lie. Everyone is pretending that the banks haven’t lost any money to give you a false sense of confidence in the financial system. “Believe the Fiction, People.” Remember that banks in the US have more than $600 billion in unrealized bond losses right now. And that number will keep increasing if interest rates continue to rise. So this means that the Fed has essentially guaranteed that entire $600+ billion. Commercial banks won’t lose a penny— they can now pass their financial risks down to the Federal Reserve. This isn’t a bailout… it’s a time bomb. We can keep our fingers crossed and hope that this time bomb never explodes. But if it does, the Federal Reserve is going to be looking at hundreds of billions in losses… which would trigger devastating consequences for the US dollar. This means that everyone who uses US dollars… including every man, woman, and child in America, is ultimately on the hook for the potential consequences of the BTFP. And that’s what is so remarkable about this: the Fed just made this decision all on its own. Congress didn’t pass a law. There were no hearings, no judicial oversight, no votes. Instead, several unelected bureaucrats who have been consistently wrong got together in a room and decided to guarantee $600+ billion in bank losses… and stick the American people with the consequences. This is the same organization that said in February 2021 that there was no inflation. The same organization that said in July 2021 that inflation was transitory and would pass in a few months. The same organization that said in June 2022 that they finally understand “how little we understand about inflation.” The same organization that said THREE DAYS before SVB’s collapse that “nothing about the data” suggested any risks with their policy actions. The Fed has been wrong at every critical point over the past few years. And they’ve now unilaterally signed up every single person in America to a $600+ billion bank bailout without so much as a courtesy phone call to Congress. This is apparently what Democracy means in America today. We’ve all been subjected to endless vitriol over the past few years with people on all sides howling that “Democracy is under attack.” Well, we just watched an unelected committee of central bankers hijack democracy and stick the American people with a potential $600+ billion bank bailout.
Ted Cruz Blasts Biden For Bailouts Of Corrupt 'Bonnie And Clyde' Banks Authored by Steve Watson via Summit News, Senator Ted Cruz has slammed the Biden Administration for effectively bailing out Silicon Valley Bank, labelling it a ‘corrupt Bonnie and Clyde’ like operation. On his “Verdict” podcast, Cruz stated that the failure of SVB has “called into question a lot of the financing for venture capital, and it has potentially imperiled a significant number of mid-sized banks.” SVB was more focused on virtue signaling than protecting their investments. More on the latest episode of #Verdict: Don't Call It A "Bailout", But It's a Massive Big Tech & China Bailout Full episode here:https://t.co/7GWJppnm9F pic.twitter.com/82qCnoNu49 — Ted Cruz (@tedcruz) March 16, 2023 “In response to this, the Biden administration rolled out a major bailout, conveniently bailing out the politically connected friends of the Biden White House in a way that will have lasting repercussions for the economy, and will almost certainly incentivize future bad conduct by other banks,” Cruz asserted. The Senator continued, “They were gambling that the Fed would not raise rates even though they’d been screaming from the mountaintops that they were going to raise rates.” “A bank that is being prudent can hedge its investments against interest rates rising by investing also in counterbalancing investments that will go up when interest rates go up. They didn’t do that! They were focused on virtue signaling. They were focused on showing just how woke they are,” Cruz added referring to the revelation that SVB was obsessed with pushing ‘diversity and inclusion’ policies: Remember that time Signature Bank cut ties with President Trump and called for his resignation? Or that time SVB and Signature started going woke? Well now the sayings are true… Go Woke Go Broke… Everything Woke Turns to Shit… pic.twitter.com/z3WcJ1lYLb — Bryan McNally (@BryanDMcNally) March 13, 2023 “These bank officers were bad actors,” Cruz continued, adding “Let me let me tell you two data points that have been vastly underreported. Number one, hours before the bank was shut down Silicon Valley Bank gave very substantial bonuses to all of its employees. They just began writing checks to everyone hours before they were shut down. Data point number two: in the two weeks prior to their being shut down, the CEO and the CFO sold large amounts of stock. The CEO ended up making over a $2 million profit from selling stock less than two weeks before the bank was shut down. Both of those indicate corrupt intent.” Cruz also noted that he “had a conference call in the last 48 hours with all 100 Senators were invited to participate and Treasury and the FDIC was on there and I asked I said, ‘Look, is it true that they gave bonuses to their employees, number one? If so, I think it is outrageous. And number two, has there been any investigation into clawing back those bonuses?’” “As far as I’m concerned, this is like Bonnie and Clyde,” Cruz charged, urging that “They’re robbing the bank as they know their customers’ deposits are about to get blown up. And much of the media coverage has ignored the exceptionally bad conduct by the bank’s officers.”
Watch: Yellen Stammers After Senator Corners Her On Bailouts, Protecting CCP-Linked Deposits Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was caught flat-footed on Thursday during testimony before the Senate Finance Committee, after Sen. James Lankford (R-OK) grilled her over whether all deposits at Oklahoma community banks would now be fully insured like those at Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. "Will they get the same treatment that SVB just got, or Signature Bank just got?" asked Lankford. "I'm concerned you're...encouraging anyone who has a large deposit at a community bank to say, 'we're not going to make you whole, but if you go to one of our preferred banks, we will make you whole," Lankford said. "That is certainty not something that we’re encouraging," Yellen replied. "A bank only gets that treatment" under the systemic risk exception rule, Yellen continued, explaining that it takes a 'supermajority' vote to do so. "I, in consultation with the president, determine that the failure to protect uninsured depositors would create systemic risk and significant economic and financial consequences," she said. Chinese investors made whole? Lankford then noted that it has been reported that many Chinese funds and startups, including those with ties to the CCP, had invested with SVB. "Will my banks in Oklahoma pay a special assessment to be able to make Chinese investors whole from Silicon Valley Bank?" Lankford asked, to which Yellen replied, "I suppose that could include foreign depositors." "I don’t believe there’s any legal basis to discriminate among uninsured," she continued. Watch: Here is the snippet: pic.twitter.com/85iBeXC0Wn — Seidler (@SeidlerCorp) March 17, 2023 In a Wednesday letter to Yellen, Sen. Marco Rubio requested that the US government must ensure that "hostile, foreign adversaries" must not benefit from the collapse of SVB. "I ask the department to ensure that foreign adversarial regimes, as well as companies subject to their jurisdiction, are unable to exploit this moment for their own material benefit," wrote Rubio. "As the Department of Treasury, in tandem with the Federal Reserve and the FDIC, continues its response, I request information from the Department of Treasury regarding depositors from the PRC, including Hong Kong and Macau, that can expect to receive federal reimbursements from the Deposit Insurance Fund and other federal relief," the letter continues. A customer stands outside of a shuttered Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) headquarters in Santa Clara, Calif., on March 10, 2023. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) SVB reportedly had an estimated $13.9 billion in uninsured or uncovered foreign deposits. In a March 11 statement, SPD Silicon Valley Bank—a joint venture with the state-owned Shanghai Pudong Development Bank—confirmed that its operations were “sound.” “The bank has a standardized corporate governance structure and an independent balance sheet,” the company said in a statement. Andon Health, a medical devices manufacturer, confirmed in a filing to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that all of its deposits at SVB “can be used in full and have not suffered any losses.” BeiGene, one of the largest drug companies in China, announced that it had $175 million in uninsured cash deposits at SVB. Pharmaceutical firm Zai Lab maintained $23 million in deposits. Others, such as Everest Medicines and CStone Pharmaceutical, assured investors that the SVB failure would not affect their overall operations. -Epoch Times How reassuring!
Get Woke, Go Broke? It's Time To Talk About SVB's Ties To The World Economic Forum https://alt-market.us/get-woke-go-broke-its-time-to-talk-about-svbs-ties-to-... https://www.svb.com/globalassets/library/uploadedfiles/wef-index.pdf https://www.svb.com/globalassets/library/uploadedfiles/svb-environmental-soc... https://www.forbes.com/sites/worldeconomicforum/2016/11/10/shopping-i-cant-r... After the implosion of the FTX crypto exchange run by Sam Bankman Fried, questions of due diligence and competency immediately arose, suggesting that perhaps the company mishandled assets “accidentally” and that Fried was naive and “in over his head.” Numerous central bank officials and globalist organizations jumped into the debate almost immediately, arguing that FTX was a perfect example of why centralized regulation of crypto and digital currencies was necessary. They claimed that without oversight by banking elites, disaster was inevitable. Of course, what they did not mention was that FTX and Sam Fried already had extensive connections with globalist groups including the World Economic Forum. In fact, the very basis of Fried’s business model was the WEF’s “Stakeholder Capitalism” theory, which he often referred to as “Effective Altruism.” Stakeholder Capitalism is essentially the opposite of free markets – It is a socialist/globalist framework which uses corporations as a kind of economic enforcement tool. Corporations are already highly socialistic in their operations, and their existence is completely dependent on their special relationship with government. Corporations are created through government charter, enjoy special protections under “corporate personhood” laws and avoid direct consequences for criminal activities through limited liability. Many corporations are not even allowed to fail because governments backstop their operations. That’s socialism, not free markets. However, “stakeholder capitalism” expands on this dynamic a hundred-fold. Where free markets assert that businesses must make profit their primary objective for the overall economy to function, the WEF asserts that companies including banking institutions have a social obligation that goes beyond making money. To the typical leftist this probably sounds like a Utopian vision filled with promise, but to anyone that actually understands economics it sounds like a recipe for the collapse of civilization. The WEF paints stakeholder capitalism an effort to reign in the power of the corporate system in favor of social causes. In reality, it’s a way to give corporations ultimate power over everything, including ultimate influence over public behavior. We have seen extensive evidence of this through widespread corporate ESG investment programs implemented in the past several years. It is no coincidence that the invasion of woke ideology into the mainstream happened at the exact same time that ESG-based lending accelerated. The institutions lending to various companies were able to set social rules for access to credit, and these rules required businesses to adopt far-left politics in their marketing and policies as a result. Stakeholder capitalism is about homogenizing all business into a single ideological entity – Instead of competing with each other for market share through innovation, companies have been abandoning merit based competition and are colluding to saturate the mainstream with social justice cultism, climate change propaganda and globalist rhetoric. By making corporate elites “responsible” for society, we give them the power to engineer society. However, the WEF’s model of false altruism is turning out to be a disaster for corporate survival. I have to wonder now if this was the intent all along – To create a kind of ESG fueled woke financial bubble that was always intended to come crashing down, leaving the western world in ruins. Ever since the fall of FTX, the WEF has been quietly erasing all traces of their involvement with the company and with Fried from their website and YouTube channel. However, the WEF’s influence is widely evident in the operations of FTX and Fried’s philosophy. There were multiple reasons for FTX capital losses, from plunging crypto prices to embezzlement. That said, the root cause was stakeholder capitalism ideology and it’s reliance on cheap liquidity to support ESG policies. And, we are seeing the exact same dynamic within other institutions like Silicon Valley Bank. Surprisingly, even the International Monetary Fund (like many of us in the alternative economic media) warned about the potential frailty of ESG related lending in an environment where central banks are tightening liquidity and raising interest rates. The IMF stated in 2022: “Financial stability risks include the different investor base relative to more traditional investors and a potentially higher sensitivity to global financial conditions, given the technology-heavy composition of many ESG indices. That’s an important consideration in the current policy environment, with central banks in advanced economies raising interest rates and reducing policy accommodation put in place during the pandemic—a development that is starting to tighten financial conditions around the world.” Looking into SVB’s operational history, the company was a woke nightmare. Take a gander at their 66 page ESG report compiled in 2021 to get a sense of how far to the extreme political left the bank was. SVB is the pinnacle example of why “Get Woke, Go Broke” is more than a mantra, it’s a rule. Digging even deeper we then find that SVB’s leadership was highly involved in the WEF and their Stakeholder Capitalism Metrics (SCM), along with corporate governance. SVB was not only implementing every single policy the WEF outlines in its agenda, they were reporting back to the WEF on their progress. SVB’s capital exposure was heavily tied up in securities, but also venture capital for woke tech startups, climate change related projects and leftist activist groups which qualified for ESG loans; everything from BLM to Buzzfeed. In other words, they were investing aggressively into money-pit projects that devoured cash and gave nothing back. The real question is, how many US banks are involved in ESG and WEF operations at the same level as SVB? Dozens? Hundreds? As I have noted in recent articles, the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes have made ESG liquidity untenable. It is much too expensive now for banks to lend (or borrow) to finance losing ventures such as woke tech companies and climate change non-profits. All “too big to fail banks” are involved, this is well known, but do they have the capital and the protection to stay afloat despite the central bank’s liquidity noose? Clearly, mid-tier banks like SVB are highly vulnerable. Was the main goal of ESG lending NOT to lure corporations into promoting woke causes, but to trick them into ignoring competent profit models and innovation, making them weak and easy to topple? The woke invasion within the US business world is starting to die anyway. You can already see the shift back to a search for profits and an abandonment of social justice virtue signaling. Peak woke happened over the course of the covid lockdowns, and now it is fading. It was never going to have staying power because it is far too unhinged and cultish to be widely accepted in American society. Beyond that, the WEF’s “Great Reset” concept will require a substantial economic crisis in order to be achieved. There’s no way they will ever get Americans to embrace stakeholder capitalism or the “I own nothing and I’m happy” sharing economy under normal economic conditions. So, they need a crisis event to create desperation within the populace. Look at it this way: In order for globalists to get the total corporate governance they want, they might be using woke ESG to destroy the existing system, so that they can then replace it with an even more pervasive woke structure. All while blaming free market capitalism in the meantime. It’s a very similar idea to the globalist strategy of blaming “nationalism” for the very geopolitical crisis events that globalism is triggering. Given the sheer scale of woke saturation within the current corporate world, I can’t help but wonder if the entire economy is utterly rotted from within due to ESG and WEF related financial cancers, and is simply waiting to crumble just like SVB did.
https://internationalman.com/articles/unsound-banking-why-most-of-the-worlds... Unsound Banking: Why Most Of The World's Banks Are Headed For Collapse You’re likely thinking that a discussion of “sound banking” will be a bit boring. Well, banking should be boring. And we’re sure officials at central banks all over the world today—many of whom have trouble sleeping—wish it were. This brief article will explain why the world’s banking system is unsound, and what differentiates a sound from an unsound bank. I suspect not one person in 1,000 actually understands the difference. As a result, the world’s economy is now based upon unsound banks dealing in unsound currencies. Both have degenerated considerably from their origins. Modern banking emerged from the goldsmithing trade of the Middle Ages. Being a goldsmith required a working inventory of precious metal, and managing that inventory profitably required expertise in buying and selling metal and storing it securely. Those capacities segued easily into the business of lending and borrowing gold, which is to say the business of lending and borrowing money. Most people today are only dimly aware that until the early 1930s, gold coins were used in everyday commerce by the general public. In addition, gold backed most national currencies at a fixed rate of convertibility. Banks were just another business—nothing special. They were distinguished from other enterprises only by the fact they stored, lent, and borrowed gold coins, not as a sideline but as a primary business. Bankers had become goldsmiths without the hammers. Bank deposits, until quite recently, fell strictly into two classes, depending on the preference of the depositor and the terms offered by banks: time deposits, and demand deposits. Although the distinction between them has been lost in recent years, respecting the difference is a critical element of sound banking practice. Time Deposits. With a time deposit—a savings account, in essence—a customer contracts to leave his money with the banker for a specified period. In return, he receives a specified fee (interest) for his risk, for his inconvenience, and as consideration for allowing the banker the use of the depositor’s money. The banker, secure in knowing he has a specific amount of gold for a specific amount of time, is able to lend it; he’ll do so at an interest rate high enough to cover expenses (including the interest promised to the depositor), fund a loan-loss reserve, and if all goes according to plan, make a profit. A time deposit entails a commitment by both parties. The depositor is locked in until the due date. How could a sound banker promise to give a time depositor his money back on demand and without penalty when he’s planning to lend it out? In the business of accepting time deposits, a banker is a dealer in credit, acting as an intermediary between lenders and borrowers. To avoid loss, bankers customarily preferred to lend on productive assets, whose earnings offered assurance that the borrower could cover the interest as it came due. And they were willing to lend only a fraction of the value of a pledged asset, to ensure a margin of safety for the principal. And only for a limited time—such as against the harvest of a crop or the sale of an inventory. And finally, only to people of known good character—the first line of defense against fraud. Long-term loans were the province of bond syndicators. That’s time deposits. Demand deposits were a completely different matter. Demand Deposits. Demand deposits were so called because, unlike time deposits, they were payable to the customer on demand. These are the basis of checking accounts. The banker doesn’t pay interest on the money, because he supposedly never has the use of it; to the contrary, he necessarily charged the depositor a fee for: Assuming the responsibility of keeping the money safe, available for immediate withdrawal, and Administering the transfer of the money if the depositor so chooses by either writing a check or passing along a warehouse receipt that represents the gold on deposit. An honest banker should no more lend out demand deposit money than Allied Van and Storage should lend out the furniture you’ve paid it to store. The warehouse receipts for gold were called banknotes. When a government issued them, they were called currency. Gold bullion, gold coinage, banknotes, and currency together constituted the society’s supply of transaction media. But its amount was strictly limited by the amount of gold actually available to people. Sound principles of banking are identical to sound principles of warehousing any kind of merchandise, whether it’s autos, potatoes, or books. Or money. There’s nothing mysterious about sound banking. But banking all over the world has been fundamentally unsound since government-sponsored central banks came to dominate the financial system. Central banks are a linchpin of today’s world financial system. By purchasing government debt, banks can allow the state—for a while—to finance its activities without taxation. On the surface, this appears to be a “free lunch.” But it’s actually quite pernicious and is the engine of currency debasement. Central banks may seem like a permanent part of the cosmic landscape, but in fact they are a recent invention. The US Federal Reserve, for instance, didn’t exist before 1913. Unsound Banking Fraud can creep into any business. A banker, seeing other people’s gold sitting idle in his vault, might think, “What is the point of taking gold out of the ground from a mine, only to put it back into the ground in a vault?” People are writing checks against it and using his banknotes. But the gold itself seldom moves. A restless banker might conclude that, even though it might be a fraud on depositors (depending on exactly what the bank has promised them), he could easily create lots more banknotes and lend them out, and keep 100% of the interest for himself. Left solely to their own devices, some bankers would try that. But most would be careful not to go too far, since the game would end abruptly if any doubt emerged about the bank’s ability to hand over gold on demand. The arrival of central banks eased that fear by introducing a lender of last resort. Because the central bank is always standing by with credit, bankers are free to make promises they know they might not be able to keep on their own. How Banking Works Today In the past, when a bank created too much currency out of nothing, people eventually would notice, and a “bank run” would materialize. But when a central bank authorizes all banks to do the same thing, that’s less likely—unless it becomes known that an individual bank has made some really foolish loans. Central banks were originally justified—especially the creation of the Federal Reserve in the US—as a device for economic stability. The occasional chastisement of imprudent bankers and their foolish customers was an excuse to get government into the banking business. As has happened in so many cases, an occasional and local problem was “solved” by making it systemic and housing it in a national institution. It’s loosely analogous to the way the government handles the problem of forest fires: extinguishing them quickly provides an immediate and visible benefit. But the delayed and forgotten consequence of doing so is that it allows decades of deadwood to accumulate. Now when a fire starts, it can be a once-in-a-century conflagration. Banking all over the world now operates on a “fractional reserve” system. In our earlier example, our sound banker kept a 100% reserve against demand deposits: he held one ounce of gold in his vault for every one-ounce banknote he issued. And he could only lend the proceeds of time deposits, not demand deposits. A “fractional reserve” system can’t work in a free market; it has to be legislated. And it can’t work where banknotes are redeemable in a commodity, such as gold; the banknotes have to be “legal tender” or strictly paper money that can be created by fiat. The fractional reserve system is why banking is more profitable than normal businesses. In any industry, rich average returns attract competition, which reduces returns. A banker can lend out a dollar, which a businessman might use to buy a widget. When that seller of the widget re-deposits the dollar, a banker can lend it out at interest again. The good news for the banker is that his earnings are compounded several times over. The bad news is that, because of the pyramided leverage, a default can cascade. In each country, the central bank periodically changes the percentage reserve (theoretically, from 100% down to 0% of deposits) that banks must keep with it, according to how the bureaucrats in charge perceive the state of the economy. In any event, in the US (and actually most everywhere in the world), protection against runs on banks isn’t provided by sound practices, but by laws. In 1934, to restore confidence in commercial banks, the US government instituted the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) deposit insurance in the amount of $2,500 per depositor per bank, eventually raising coverage to today’s $250,000. In Europe, €100,000 is the amount guaranteed by the state. FDIC insurance covers about $9.8 trillion of deposits, but the institution has assets of only $126 billion. That’s about one cent on the dollar. I’ll be surprised if the FDIC doesn’t go bust and need to be recapitalized by the government. That money—many billions—will likely be created out of thin air by selling Treasury debt to the Fed. The fractional reserve banking system, with all of its unfortunate attributes, is critical to the world’s financial system as it is currently structured. You can plan your life around the fact the world’s governments and central banks will do everything they can to maintain confidence in the financial system. To do so, they must prevent a deflation at all costs. And to do that, they will continue printing up more dollars, pounds, euros, yen, and what-have-you.
FDIC Demands Signature Bank Buyers Stop All Crypto Business: Report Authored by Helen Partz via CoinTelegraph.com, The FDIC regulators have reportedly required any buyer of Signature to agree to give up all cryptocurrency business at the bank... The United States Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has reportedly asked potential rescuers of some failed U.S. banks not to support any crypto services. The FDIC regulators have asked banks interested in acquiring failed U.S. lenders like Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank to submit bids by March 17, Reuters reported. The authority will only accept bids from banks with an existing bank charter, prioritizing traditional lenders over private equity firms, the report notes, citing two sources familiar with the matter. The FDIC aims to sell entire businesses of both SVB and Signature, while offers for parts of the banks could be considered if the whole company sales do not happen. The FDIC has also required any buyer of Signature to agree to give up all cryptocurrency business at the bank. New York-based Signature is a major crypto-friendly bank in the United States. The bank is known for many partnerships in the crypto industry, servicing companies like Coinbase exchange, stablecoin issuer Paxos Trust, crypto custodian BitGo, and bankrupt crypto lender Celsius — among others. The news comes amid U.S. Representative Tom Emmer sending a letter to the FDIC, expressing concerns that the federal government is “weaponizing” issues around the banking industry to go after crypto. “These actions to weaponize recent instability in the banking sector, catalyzed by catastrophic government spending and unprecedented interest rate hikes, are deeply inappropriate and could lead to broader financial instability,” Emmer said in the letter to FDIC chairman Martin Gruenberg. Today, I sent a letter to FDIC Chairman Gruenberg regarding reports that the FDIC is weaponizing recent instability in the banking sector to purge legal crypto activity from the U.S. 👇 pic.twitter.com/fDmaA0XGWv — Tom Emmer (@GOPMajorityWhip) March 15, 2023 The New York State Department of Financial Services officially closed down and took over Signature on March 12, appointing the FDIC as the receiver. To protect depositors, the FDIC transferred all the deposits and most of the assets of Signature Bank to Signature Bridge Bank, a full-service bank that will be operated by the FDIC as it markets the institution to potential bidders. According to Barney Frank, a former member of the U.S. House of Representatives, New York regulators closed Signature Bank despite no insolvency. Frank speculated that the action was to demonstrate force over the crypto industry, being a “very strong anti-crypto message.” However, the FDIC in January said that it didn’t prohibit or discourage banking organizations from providing banking services to customers of “any specific class or type, as permitted by law or regulation.” Later reports suggested that Signature CEO Joseph DePaolo and chief financial officer Stephen Wyremski allegedly committed fraud by falsely claiming the bank was “financially strong” just three days before it was shut down. The bank has also reportedly been investigated for alleged money laundering.
Make no mistake, SI, SIVB, SBNY, Custodia, Kraken, Coinbase, ETF's and many more, were all coordinated immoral and illegal US Govt targeted attacks on Crypto Freedom. Balaji @balajis This shows how the Fed caused the banking crisis. They deny licenses to full reserve banks like Custodia and the Narrow Bank. And they cause bank runs and mass withdrawals by crushing the balance sheets of fractional reserve banks. Financial chaos in the name of stability. Custodia Bank ™ @custodiabank CUSTODIA STANDS FIRM IN RESPONSE TO THE FED Pomp @APompliano Custodia Bank sought Fed approval as a bank that holds $1.08 for every $1 deposited. No fractional reserve lending. No non-sense. They were denied. The Fed blamed bank runs as one reason — the irony of saying this while approved banks have lost BILLIONS in customer funds. Cathie Wood @CathieDWood Why have bitcoin and other crypto assets appreciated during this banking crisis? In our view and in contrast to those in the traditional financial world, many crypto assets face no central points of failure: they are decentralized, transparent, and auditable. Think of the Fed and friends as the system administrators of Western fiat economies. With the press of a key they can seize, freeze, create, or inflate any fiat asset. But they can’t do that to Bitcoin. It’s outside their control. Instead, it’s under your control. BIG BANKS OR BITCOIN? This is why conventional macroeconomic theories of what is about to happen may break down. Because confidence in the US banking system has broken down. More than $500B[1] in wires has already flown through the air in recent days
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