On 2015-06-22 05:21, dan@geer.org wrote:
The cited article strikes me as pollyannaish; Russia's next move is to do for eastern Estonia what it did for eastern Ukraine, but then we'd have NATO Article 5 invoked for an 85% Russian speaking population already living on Russia's border. It is therefore not unreasonable to predict that despite an unarguable Article 5 triggering, some set of European NATO members would decline to show up to do their duty. NATO is then dead against a backdrop of non-zero probability of EU dis-integration. If you are Putin, what's not to like?
Perhaps an equally non-zero probability that it will all go pear-shaped after all?
(What the hell this topic has to do with "the widespread use of strong cryptography as a route to progressive change" I don't know.)
+1 --Stephan