-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- Hash: SHA1 On 04/06/2016 08:49 AM, Georgi Guninski wrote:
Do you notice significant persistent change in climate during your lifetime?
Also increase in major natural disasters (not counting m$ products/ services)?
I do in Bulgaria, SE Europe.
In Central Florida in the 1960s, midwinter frost was very often present in the morning in most open areas (think suburban yards). By the 1980s frost was very rarely seen, and many who have lived in the area since 2000 or so have never seen frost. From at least the 1960s through 1980s, seasonal hard freezes were seen during most winters. Since around 2000, hard freezes only happen when major storm fronts come down from the Arctic. In the same part of the world, a widespread and very visible native plant called the beauty berry would produce the purple berries it is named for in early fall, shortly after the last hot day of the year. This performance was synchronized across hundreds of square miles. Beginning in the late 1990s, the beauty berry is no longer a reliable predictor of the weather: It now produces its berries in isolated patches, across a span of about six weeks. I think NASA, NOAA, and about 97% of geophysicists have noticed a few things, too. The physical models that account for and now predict their observations are stupidly simple and easy to understand - if one is willing to make the effort. As for natural disasters, that's an awfully broad category. The more networked the world becomes, and the more motivated press agencies are to present sensational images, the smaller the event that qualifies as a "disaster" /and/ the more people hear about them. I suspect that any observed "increase" over the last few decades would most likely be an illusion. :o) -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: GnuPG v2.0.22 (GNU/Linux) iQIcBAEBAgAGBQJXBW2dAAoJEDZ0Gg87KR0LkBQP/17SX9kicv5wg1sYgNC4Bd+v lCYGUaIU+zJXym5ps1TBZ3v9/2fTDaCJhVu4XD07K3QAQiM7UQ9z+ogvbShmOfl4 t5kzqLjBJSq2TnkzoYc5eEAgWckyXk/Ma6N/CYXlEHlxlUpYoJY7L6YzV2AE/HKq ob9ePf99AJUyJZpzxlnQzPuVB7KnNiu6An10M+b+Ne4shf9yQoaMDS3KsUMyBWpa vH1Xit9fbQomdvFNyCaXt5GWiKQHB6b51RgULXt16jEFKhOqd0adjIqN7/kbwyZW NtUreieHJ9720qD/NvBeY+V+n9+Sfs6mDaEw8H27+Y9N3ZLZXDDJYaCQD8JvNeYs uC+Jw8qJ6o4qriyQx1NFL6lADKj0FLShG/vAbfTt34xZHX5d+hpi9UAzD6xLeSjG 8D9PvhuKlND43MIHu/Z8T247lv3aFLQGb3nOycWIF8yEkhymGV8dPSdauX+TSFBl wiGEkWZTm3wy2m0GXiljrsNCyIjxMQZUjt9JMVxTwCaOAbt0agTOWLjdpKhnVZIQ SXVnGd7k6X6m0m/A4c+BNMhglczg6Z2ZiqvV9Gnax5NtwnUIJxdrlC4sbu3feXaQ BsRrCrrNI4665VL1tVoSw+aGJ5qG3Ddk7ySYXR5i44auKFQqdPhgjGCGbXwQ2dQk hN8rVA5nkUKI7dzlbWPX =Di1Y -----END PGP SIGNATURE-----