Thought Email List: things to put in the place where spam goes and it might get preserved if we break our disk From: new thought emailer and router To: [don't look at this header] cypherpunks@lists.cpunks.org Subject: [crazy][spam][crazy] accumulating guesses accurately Email embedded in body for further routing. Please retain for future use the intent of the prolog of the outer email. This thought is from a long-building group of thoughts that are practicing preserving knowledge in the face of amnesia and silence. please direct to blockchain and public exposure. Can anybody help us make more sense or come to sanity and rationality? can anybody rescue the victims? how can we do this better? Begin Embedded Thought Email From: early ideas getting snatched by the dissociated identity in an attempt to give it to oppressive political workers before inhibiting it From: pleasant daydreams and puzzles Subject: [crazy][spam][crazy] accumulating guesses accurately accurately accumulating guesses means combining what is known about their certainty and likelihood together (like unit analysis) in such a way that these values properly propagate and combine through the involved transforms. although the certainty of guesses may often be formed based on things that can appear complex at first, such as one's past successes at making judgements, one's judgement of one's own learning rate, how many times one has seen the event, and more often a combination of many other guesses made in the past and summarized together -- -- unlike this, the basic accumulation of guesses is simply