Re: [spam][spam][spam] crazy

karlspam bayesian probability has always frustrated me. it doesn't look right. probability in general has frustrated me. i always thought it would be easy to learn, and then didn't try until my mind went wonky and now it's so hard to think of. wikipedia describes the bayes equation at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes%27_theorem#Statement_of_theorem and says it has a proof. maybe i can try to comprehend this proof as a fun puzzle; see if it fits into what i believe is true about the world, or what it implies about the accuracy of bayesian inferences.