Rob Carlson wrote:
Statistics are a useful tool, but they have their problems. Their accuracy is often in doubt. Most scientific data comes with an error analysis so you can tell what the figure means. For some reason statisticians never do this so we cannot tell whether their numbers are accurate to within 0.1%, 1.0%, 10%, or even worse.[snip] Of course, anecdotal evidence also suffers from all of these problems. And in greater magnitude. This is true since it is a special case of statistical evidence. With a non-random sample set of one and no controls for observer bias. Humans are poor observers. The data processing unit is easily fooled. Many
On Thu, 12 Dec 1996 14:12:23 -0800, Huge Cajones Remailer wrote: people make a living off of this fallability such as magicians and politicians. This doesn't make studies or statistical evidence true. Just more reliable than anecdotal evidence.
Yes and no. Depends on the objective. If I had to purchase and install a new server for my employer, and not being an expert in security myself, I would (barring having a very trusted friend for advice) certainly be inclined to trust the published reports more than anecdotes, even when the anecdotes come from erstwhile reputable posters on these lists. OTOH, if I were about to hire an employee to do that very job (and other similar jobs as time goes on), I would be much more inclined to trust my instincts, my perceptions during the interview(s), and specific data handcarried in by the prospective hiree than any published statistics or recommendations in hiring methodology that are generally used in large-corporation hiring. Perhaps even this last paragraph wouldn't apply if I were a large-corpor- ation personnel recruiter, since in that case I'd not only be further removed from the IS dept., but I'd be representing people with agendas that aren't necessarily similar to what I deal with in the small company I work in now.