Whoops. You're right: I meant to type "Oregon." If it went to the House, it would be a ~25-19 vote for Bush, per my Wired article on Sat. --Declan At 12:45 11/15/2000 -0500, Trei, Peter wrote:
You're correct on the 271, but I'm *sure* you didn't mean to type 'Utah'.
Ok, two faithless electors would throw it to the house, and three would make it Gore, as I said on the 8th.
Peter
---------- From: Declan McCullagh[SMTP:declan@well.com] Sent: Wednesday, November 15, 2000 12:37 PM To: Trei, Peter Cc: cypherpunks@cyberpass.net; 'George@orwellian.org' Subject: Re: Florida Electoral defection threat!
No, if Bush won Florida but not Utah, he'd have 246+25=271, not 270 e.v.
If one elector defected, Bush would win, if two electors defected, Bush would win (in House), if three electors defected, Gore would win.
-Declan
On Wed, Nov 15, 2000 at 11:16:38AM -0500, Trei, Peter wrote:
Do the numbers:
The electoral college standings are currently:
Bush: 246 Gore: 255
Undecided states: Florida 25 New Mexico 5 Oregon 7
Total 538
If Bush gets Florida, but not OR & NM, he gets 270 votes, and Gore gets 268.
One Bush elector defecting puts both at 269, a dead heat.
Peter Trei