Good post. The war is about to be joined. At 7:34 PM -0700 9/14/98, nnburk wrote:
Predictions: Crime and Criminal Justice in the 21st Century
1. The United States will experience a significant economic recession/crisis very close to the turn of the Century.
Agreed. The chickens are coming home to roost. America will get what it deserves. I figure the Y2K problem will be the most significant trigger event.
2. As the large pool of young people born in the early 1990s become teenagers and young adults, there will be a dramatic increase in violent crime around the year 2005-2010.
See "A Clockwork Orange" for details. Today's Ebonics kids will be tomorrow's Droogs.
3. America will experience sporadic civil disorders/riots in many of its urban areas during the next 10-15 years -- much of it related to racial/ethnic problems.
The inner cities will burn. 10 million ethnics will wipe themselves out. White America (and Asian America, who are honorary whites, by the University of California's admissions standards) will cluck, but will watch the inner cities burn themselves out with only a "I told you so" attitude. Miami, Chicago, Washington, LA, New York, Atlanta, New Orleans, and a dozen other cities will be like Berlin after the war.
4. Terrorist acts by "fringe"/special issue groups will increase at a significant rate -- becoming a major law enforcement and security problem.
Freedom fighters, not terrorists.
5. As faith in the criminal justice system declines, there will be a rise in vigilante-based incidents where citizens take the enforcement of crime problems into their own hands.
Local justice, not vigilantism. OJ and You Know Who hanged side by side. Several million welfare thieves given the choice of hard labor for 20 or so years, to repay the money they stole, or a bullet to the head. Their choice.
6. Much of middle- and upper-class America will take a "retreatist" attitude and move into private high-security communities located in suburban or rural areas. Because of technological advances, many companies and corporations will also move out of the urban environments as well.
Yes, more and more of my wealthy friends are doing this. Most of them are moving to the country, where defenses are more naturally provided, and not necessarily moving to gate communities (which are actually quite indefensible when the welfare addicts and gangbangers start rioting and dancing.)
7. Due to many of the predictions listed above, much of law enforcement and security in the 21st Century will become privatized and contractual. Traditional law enforcement agencies will primarily serve urban and rural communities.
"Snow Crash."
8. Law enforcement will evolve into two major and divergent roles: traditional law enforcement and a more specialized military tactical role to deal with the growing urban violance and terrorist incidents.
Has already happened. The National Police Force is already mobilized against religious groups which are deemed unacceptable, pace the Branch Davidians.
9. Significant violence and unrest will plague our nation's prisons. Major prison riots will become a regular occurrence.
Burn the prisons with the inmates locked inside. Then simply execute those who commit the most serious crimes.
10. With the decrease of the possibility of major global warfare, the United States military will take on an increased domestic "peace-keeping" role with America's law enforcement agencies.
Posse comitatus is already becoming a moot point. The Army will be patrolling the streets within a few years, probably coterminous with Y2K problems and the resulting martial law. Militias and freedom fighters will have to start hitting U.S. military installations. Many will die. Eventually the military will abandon the Washington elite and will join the freedom fighters. Ten million politicians and welfare thieves will be put up against the wall. --Tim May (This space left blank pending determ. of acceptability to the gov't.) ---------:---------:---------:---------:---------:---------:---------:---- Timothy C. May | Crypto Anarchy: encryption, digital money, ComSec 3DES: 831-728-0152 | anonymous networks, digital pseudonyms, zero W.A.S.T.E.: Corralitos, CA | knowledge, reputations, information markets, Licensed Ontologist | black markets, collapse of governments.