Igor Chudov @ home wrote:
my predictions:
1) Dale Thorn will become another Kagalenko and will mailbomb mods
Unless someone can give me good enough reason to get involved with communications programming, even at a macro level, I doubt I'll be much of a technical threat to c-punks et al. I suspect that the main reason for much of Sandy's fear and loathing of late is not the incessant Spamming of the c-punks list, but rather the presence of a superior, dominant intellect which threatens his space here. Which would you fear most: The government looking over your shoulder, checking for possible ITAR violations, or a relentless critic who's apparently made it his current life's mission to ceaselessly point out your limitations to the whole world?
2) 90% of cypherpunks-moderated will be about moderation and censorship
This topic should be one of the easiest to cut....
3) there will be massive openings of alternative cypherpunks mailing lists, all doomed to fail
Failure or success depends on many factors. Unfortunately, most successes in real life are money-sponsored, and therefore necessarily contain a driving, but hidden agenda.
4) several alt.* newsgroups like alt.cypherpunks will be created
Most people watch TV rather than get involved in anything. Whatever is interesting about that (other than as an academic study) I don't know.
5) main business of freedom-knights will be shitting and spitting at cypherpunks in alt.cypherpunks
I've been posting some intense material to freedom-knights, but the response has been quite restrained. One could conjecture that the interest level there is not high (as far as c-punks goes), or that the maturity level is higher than other places...
6) moderators will spend increasing amounts of time on their work
In mathematics, when something doesn't compute intuitively, although on paper the proposition looks OK, you'd say "there's something wrong or missing here, it doesn't add up", etc. Moderators spending lots of time moderating postings from the hoi polloi doesn't add up either.
7) crossposting between alt.cypherpunks and mail.cypherpunks will be prohibited by alt.cypherpunks FAQ, posted monthly by Dr. John Martin Grubor
This thing about crossposting is way overblown. I was told forcefully once not to crosspost to c-punks and coderpunks, as though one list were a true subset of the other. Posters should be advised of the specific reasons for not "crossposting" to certain list combinations, unless you are referring only to commercial Spam or other 'bot-generated mail.