Any newer Vinge estimates of arrival time for the Singularity? I saw an article a while back by Vinge and I think he was estimating 2013-2030 timeframe. I've been thinking of starting a Singularity Watch type Web-page/email list, as I am often struck by technological newsbits that seem enough out-of-the-ordinary and potentially status quo shattering that they seem to indicate some sort of potential for breakthrough. Some recent examples: *human genome project *quantum mechanical teleportation *high energy ion bombardment of nuclei in Germany yields something besides quarks, gluons in protons (potential challenge to QCD, is this our photoelectric effect finally?) *quantum computing *etc Despite the romantic appeal of the idea, though, I think it is a bit farther off than Vinge imagines--maybe 2050. -- Benjamin McLemore analyst@onramp.net